The 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship odds are effectively Kimi Antonelli's race to lose. The 20-year-old needs just two more points to secure a maiden title, and clinching it in Mexico City is the most likely outcome.
Attention now turns to the race for second place, as George Russell, Lewis Hamilton, Max Verstappen, and Charles Leclerc are all separated by just nine points.
Meanwhile, the 2026 Constructors' Championship odds favor the Silver Arrows, led by Antonelli and Russell, as they continue to pull away mainly due to Antonelli's dominance.
Let's take a look at the latest Formula 1 odds to win the Drivers' and Constructors' Championships.
F1 Drivers' Championship odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds converter.
| Driver |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Kimi Antonelli |
99.8% |
Odds from Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps, as of 10-29.
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account
Drivers' Championship odds movement
- Kimi Antonelli rises from 98% to a demanding 99.8% after his ninth win of 2026 in Austin. He can clinch the title with a win in Mexico City.
- Podium finishes in Austin from Charles Leclerc and Max Verstappen have tightened the race for second place to just nine points between four drivers.
Drivers' Championship favorite
Kimi Antonelli (99.8%)
Kimi Antonelli was an early betting favorite despite the 20-year-old having never won an F1 race prior to this year.
He won his maiden title in Shanghai, then came out on top at the Japanese GP to draw near-even in odds with Russell.
Antonelli caught and passed his Mercedes teammate in Miami, following his third straight victory, and extended that lead after winning in Montreal and Monaco.
He's maintained this position ever since, and it would take an absolute miracle for anyone to catch him at this point in the season. He's one race away from locking it up.
F1 Constructors' Championship odds
Odds as of 10-29. For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
Past Drivers' Championship winners
| Year | Champion | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 |  Lando Norris |
 Max Verstappen |
| 2024 | Max Verstappen |
Lando Norris |
| 2023 | Max Verstappen |
Sergio Perez |
| 2022 | Max Verstappen |
 Charles Leclerc |
| 2021 | Max Verstappen |
Lewis Hamilton |
| 2020 | Max Verstappen |
Valtteri Bottas |
| 2019 | Lewis Hamilton |
Valtteri Bottas |
| 2018 | Lewis Hamilton |
Sebastian Vettel |
| 2017 | Lewis Hamilton |
Sebastian Vettel |
| 2016 | Nico Rosberg |
Lewis Hamilton |
Past Constructors' Championship winners
| Years | Champion | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | McLaren |
Mercedes |
| 2024 | McLaren |
Ferrari |
| 2023 | Red Bull |
Mercedes |
| 2022 | Red Bull |
Ferrari |
| 2021 | Mercedes |
Red Bull |
| 2020 | Mercedes |
Red Bull |
| 2019 | Mercedes |
Ferrari |
| 2018 | Mercedes |
Ferrari |
| 2017 | Mercedes |
Ferrari |
| 2016 | Mercedes |
Red Bull |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
