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Phills/STL Game 5

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Rookie
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Posted: #1
Leaning towards Philly with Oswalt on the mound. -119 seems like a short price. It can't be just because there away. Am i missing something. This smells like those too good to be true
 
Prospect
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Posted: #2
 Game 4
 
All-Star
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Posted: #3
i got a weird feeling Jackson throws a gem
 
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Posted: #4
Baker I'm starting to lean that way also. He's going to throw a gem or play mediocre and Oswalt is going to get lit up. FWIW 74% on Phills ML and only an 8 cent move. I believe that if the line makers thought this game was ending tonight they would have opened the line higher.
 
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Posted: #5

FWIW 74% on Phills ML and only an 8 cent move

my local has dropped Phillies to -125 from -130 earlier when the line was opened.

 
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Posted: #6
Jackson is 12-9 with a 3.79 ERA, 148 K's and a 1.44 WHIP with 199.2 Innings pitched.

Oswalt is 9-10 with a 3.69 ERA, 93 K's and a 1.34 WHIP with 139 Innings pitched.

Seems to me Jackson has a Slight edge if any at all so taking the + money seems like the way to go.
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

FWIW 74% on Phills ML and only an 8 cent move

my local has dropped Phillies to -125 from -130 earlier when the line was opened.


Local got hit with STL money it seems.

I didn't specify but as you know it went from -115 to -123.

At the Hilton its only moved 4cents with such a high % of  on the ML.
 
Legend
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Posted: #8
Best of Luck 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by TommyGunzz:

Jackson is 12-9 with a 3.79 ERA, 148 K's and a 1.44 WHIP with 199.2 Innings pitched.

Oswalt is 9-10 with a 3.69 ERA, 93 K's and a 1.34 WHIP with 139 Innings pitched.

Seems to me Jackson has a Slight edge if any at all so taking the + money seems like the way to go.

Jackson also throws better at night and a few of the Cardinals have lit up Oswalt from what I've seen. I'm taking Cards +118
 
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Posted: #10
at bookmaker they have the odds to win the NL Pennant, here they are....


Phil -160

STL +950


MIL +160

ARZ  +950
........

    
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by LovetheTide:


Jackson also throws better at night and a few of the Cardinals have lit up Oswalt from what I've seen. I'm taking Cards +118
 


Good Luck Bud
 
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Posted: #12
The Pennant odds might be something to take into consideration for tonights game.
 
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Posted: #13
Might Lay Off until i find a better angle besides PHIL ML keep dropping with +70% on ML 

GOOD LUCK ALL
 
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Posted: #14

Went with the Phillies more based on gut. Oswalt finished StL off once before in the playoffs. They won 102 games this year (12 more than StL). They should win the World Series. Don't think they want to fuck around with a Game 5 in this series.

Hope I'm right.

 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by mtbaker:

i got a weird feeling Jackson throws a gem



Yeah, on average, the obvious choice is usually the wrong choice. I've made more money consistently taking the side opposite the obvious public choice. Sure, I've lost now and then. But I've won more than I've lost.

So I'll take the Cards.
 
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Posted: #16

Initially i like philly too...usually favorite will win when public is lower than 65% and juice is like higher than -130 for away favorite clearly the line is moving in favor of St.  Louis.  If it falls below -120 definitely the play is St. louis. 

Grand Salami is at Away -125 Home is at +105....becuz of that i am sensing based on all these lil hints i try to take in....If i pick st. Louis....milwuake will win on second game becuz i do feel Away grand salami will win.  Or i can be totally wrong and it goes other way Philly and AZ

 
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Posted: #17
Vegasinsider has Las Vegas hilton and Sportsbook Philly at -116/-115 and 74% public on them this line is a suspect.  Like lastnight both the line move in favor of Yanks and Texas and both those teams won...My lean for Cards getting alot stronger. 
 
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Posted: #18

add

Phil -120  1u

o7.5-110  1.5u

 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by 2_For_Da_Money:

Vegasinsider has Las Vegas hilton and Sportsbook Philly at -116/-115 and 74% public on them this line is a suspect.  Like lastnight both the line move in favor of Yanks and Texas and both those teams won...My lean for Cards getting alot stronger. 

And yesterdays PH/STL game line went STL way but lost. Depending where you look you can also say yesterday Milk line went their way and they lost as well. 2-2 
 
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Posted: #20
Shot my self in the foot on that one. On to the next.
 
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by TommyGunzz:

add

Phil -120  1u

o7.5-110  1.5u

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