Arizona at St. Louis (10/04/2012)
prior to reading, understand that I haven't hit a Thursday Night Game since they started Thursday Night Games...
but I think the Cards roll... their defense is real good and I believe just had a mulligan last week....
Plus they are favored by 1 so the home dawg angle that I usually play on prime time games is pretty irrelevant...... better team on a short week..... and they did beat the Patriots in Foxborough albeit Replacement Refs....
They should be able to handle the Rams...
Kolb breakout game?
prior to reading, understand that I haven't hit a Thursday Night Game since they started Thursday Night Games...
but I think the Cards roll... their defense is real good and I believe just had a mulligan last week....
Plus they are favored by 1 so the home dawg angle that I usually play on prime time games is pretty irrelevant...... better team on a short week..... and they did beat the Patriots in Foxborough albeit Replacement Refs....
They should be able to handle the Rams...
Kolb breakout game?
There are six home dogs and three have a legitimate chance to win outright and the Rams are in the three....Rams,Skins with KC as the trap of the week over Balt possiility.Though Jac is looking like an winner over Chi...
STL-19
Ari-17
There are six home dogs and three have a legitimate chance to win outright and the Rams are in the three....Rams,Skins with KC as the trap of the week over Balt possiility.Though Jac is looking like an winner over Chi...
STL-19
Ari-17
Rams won against the seahawks on the virtue of russell wilson's young ineptitude. 3 picks leads to the seahawks getting slaughtered in the turnover battle and especially when you just aren't moving the ball through the air, that's a recipe to get slaughtered in the box score. Yet the hawks had a chance for a last drive comeback.
Meanwhile, the hawks D did everything they could to win that game, as the best unit on the field, but could only do so much while the rams were giftwrapped with field position all day and their kicker is capable of making good on mediocre field position.
All that said... again, zona's defense is the best unit on the field here, not close. The rams run defense was nothing special as lynch and turbin racked up a ton on the ground. Ryan williams should be able to put up a reasonable facimile of that performance, while Kolb has enough experience and much better weapons in the receiving game to keep from throwing up the disaster performance that wilson did. Kolb has also been a good game manager this year. Simply put, zona's passing game is a tier or two above the hawks at the QB and WR position.
Zona's cougher was last week against the fins, and I think they've been playing too well to expect another. A look at recent history shows that zona is 5-0 SU last 5 visits to the STL and 3-2 ATS there, but 3-0 ATS when laying 3 or less (or catching points). Overall, zona is 7-2 last 9 games vs. the rams.
Also, I don't remember the numbers but I've seen something about road favs of less than 3 sporting a pretty solid record and off a flip of that script, I don't think the numbers get beat in consecutive weeks by the same team. These Thursday games have been a little ugly, but week 1 notwithstanding, short prep time favors the better team and that's zona.
I put no stock in traveling east as this is in the middle of the day, much different than at 10 am. Bottom line, I'm a historic contrarian, but sometimes you just gotta go with the better team, even when the public sees what you're seeing.
CARDS ML
Not much of a totals player, but I have made some coin betting unders (4-0 so far) on inflated numbers, and as someone noted earlier, that's been the theme on Thursday. I cashed UNDER in green bay and carolina, both floating up around 50 (SEA/GB, WAS/TB were the other two under cashes if anyone cares). Well, it looks like a correction is in and the only way to play the total in my mind is the OVER. Don't know if i'll nut up and grab a slice as, like I said, totals ain't normally my thing, but it does look like the play here.
Rams won against the seahawks on the virtue of russell wilson's young ineptitude. 3 picks leads to the seahawks getting slaughtered in the turnover battle and especially when you just aren't moving the ball through the air, that's a recipe to get slaughtered in the box score. Yet the hawks had a chance for a last drive comeback.
Meanwhile, the hawks D did everything they could to win that game, as the best unit on the field, but could only do so much while the rams were giftwrapped with field position all day and their kicker is capable of making good on mediocre field position.
All that said... again, zona's defense is the best unit on the field here, not close. The rams run defense was nothing special as lynch and turbin racked up a ton on the ground. Ryan williams should be able to put up a reasonable facimile of that performance, while Kolb has enough experience and much better weapons in the receiving game to keep from throwing up the disaster performance that wilson did. Kolb has also been a good game manager this year. Simply put, zona's passing game is a tier or two above the hawks at the QB and WR position.
Zona's cougher was last week against the fins, and I think they've been playing too well to expect another. A look at recent history shows that zona is 5-0 SU last 5 visits to the STL and 3-2 ATS there, but 3-0 ATS when laying 3 or less (or catching points). Overall, zona is 7-2 last 9 games vs. the rams.
Also, I don't remember the numbers but I've seen something about road favs of less than 3 sporting a pretty solid record and off a flip of that script, I don't think the numbers get beat in consecutive weeks by the same team. These Thursday games have been a little ugly, but week 1 notwithstanding, short prep time favors the better team and that's zona.
I put no stock in traveling east as this is in the middle of the day, much different than at 10 am. Bottom line, I'm a historic contrarian, but sometimes you just gotta go with the better team, even when the public sees what you're seeing.
CARDS ML
Not much of a totals player, but I have made some coin betting unders (4-0 so far) on inflated numbers, and as someone noted earlier, that's been the theme on Thursday. I cashed UNDER in green bay and carolina, both floating up around 50 (SEA/GB, WAS/TB were the other two under cashes if anyone cares). Well, it looks like a correction is in and the only way to play the total in my mind is the OVER. Don't know if i'll nut up and grab a slice as, like I said, totals ain't normally my thing, but it does look like the play here.
i'm liking AZ here,more offense and in my mind a little better D,wondering about the over also?watching for late line change before i pull the trigger.
i'm liking AZ here,more offense and in my mind a little better D,wondering about the over also?watching for late line change before i pull the trigger.
Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
On a Thursday night thats typically a under trend. Everything tells me to bet the over but I can compete with these trends...might have to lay off
Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
On a Thursday night thats typically a under trend. Everything tells me to bet the over but I can compete with these trends...might have to lay off
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