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Forum: Sports Lottery
Author: [Sports Lottery] Topic: OLG Props - SUPER BOWL
DeTerMiNeD PM DeTerMiNeD
Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 2672
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Posted: 2/5/2012 4:31:28 PM
The problem with Super Bowl is that we have 2 weeks to analyze, and in some cases OVER ANALYZE props and sides... that said, feeling really good about these 3 props:

Brady Over 25.5 Completions 
Giants front 7 won't allow Green-Ellis or Woodhead to get going. This game is entirely on the arm of Brady, and his talented receiving corps. Lucky for him, the Giants secondary is average at best, and the NE spread offense will provide some real match-up issues. 

Gronks Over 5.5 Receptions 
Some may find this bet questionable given the unknown status of his high ankle sprain, but this kid is tough, and a main part of the NE offense.  Without his injury, the over is easily 6.5 @ 1.55.  At 1.80 today, it's tremendous value! 

Longest Punt Return Under 16.5
I have a tough time understanding how either of these defenses will stop one another.  If there are any punts, I suspect they'll be for positioning in fair catch territory

Certainly open to talking props, but I'll definitely have a large play on these 3. 

Forum: Sports Lottery
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