NBA Power Rankings: Week 25

By Power Sports - Covers Expert

No surprise, the Golden State Warriors firmly stand on the top of the final NBA Power Rankings of the 2016-2017 and are the clear betting favorite to win the NBA title.

NBA Power Rankings

Rank Last Week Change Team W-L (ATS) Power Rating Team Comments
1 1 same 64-14
(37-38-3)
-15.1 Golden State
Though the win total decreased (rather minimally), this year the Warriors should be considered stronger favorites to win the NBA Title than they were last year.
2 2 same 60-17
(40-36-1)
-10.9 San Antonio
Since posting 60+ wins for the 1st time under Gregg Popovich, the Spurs have dropped three of four, all relatively meaningless games.
3 3 same 52-25
(42-35-0)
-8.4 Houston
Of the top seven teams out West, the Rockets rank lowest in defensive efficiency. That is what will ultimately end up costing them.
4 5 up 1 47-31
(42-35-1)
-7.8 Toronto
I think the Cavs potentially ending up as the two seed works against the Raptors, who I definitely would have favored against the Celtics.
5 4 down 1 48-30
(35-40-3)
-7.8 Utah
As I've been harping on, not having homecourt advantage against the Clips would be a killer. The Jazz are just 5-17 SU as an underdog.
6 6 same 47-31
(37-41-0)
-7.3 L.A. Clippers
Unlike the majority of teams at the top of the rankings, the Clippers' saw their rating rise this week. That's due to a six-game win streak.
7 8 up 1 50-27
(34-40-3)
-6.1 Cleveland
It should be pointed out that the defending NBA Champs are 0-7 SU when LeBron James does not play. They are 51-24 SU when he does.
8 7 down 1 50-27
(38-37-2)
-5.9 Boston
This would probably represent one of the lowest ranked #1 seeds in some time.
9 9 same 47-31
(40-37-1)
-4.7 Washington
If the Wizards beat Miami in the reg season finale (big if!), they would join Cleveland and Toronto as the only two teams in the East to have a winning record against .500 or better opposition.
10 11 up 1 37-40
(45-31-1)
-4 Miami
After all those years of having "The Big 3," no one is going to feel sorry for Miami. But they were a better team than half the Eastern Conference playoff field according to these numbers.
11 12 up 1 40-38
(34-44-0)
-3.8 Milwaukee
The Bucks slightly overachieved this season thanks to an 8-3 SU record in games decided by three points or less. Potential Game 1 Trend: they are 0-8 SU/ATS this year playing with three or more days rest.
12 10 down 2 36-42
(35-40-3)
-3.3 Charlotte
This will be my pick for most improved team in the league this year. They were priced as a 53-win team, yet won only 36 times. That's a pretty significant discrepancy.
13 13 same 42-36
(40-38-0)
-3.2 Memphis
Note for the playoffs: The Grizz are 1-10 SU/ATS when playing with exactly two days rest.
14 15 up 1 38-40
(37-41-0)
-3 Portland
At the end of March this team caught fire, winning 9 of 11 (10-1 ATS). That's entering the reg season finale. But it promises to be a short playoff stint against the Warriors.
15 14 down 1 44-33
(42-34-1)
-2.9 Oklahoma City
I feel this is one of the more overrated playoff teams. Don't like their chances against Houston at all.
16 19 up 3 38-40
(39-39-0)
-2.6 Chicago
If they do end up making the playoffs, it will be because of a very soft schedule the final week or so.
17 17 same 38-40
(35-42-1)
-2.6 Indiana
Dramatic home vs. road split here: 28-12 SU at home (22-17-1 ATS) vs. 13-27 SU on the road (16-24 ATS).
18 21 up 3 39-38
(35-42-0)
-2.4 Atlanta
This was one of the top Under teams in the league. As much I feel they overachieved, the Hawks were actually priced to win 52 games.
19 18 down 1 37-40
(42-35-0)
-2.4 Denver
The Nuggets finished the regular season as the top Over team in the league.
20 16 down 4 31-46
(35-41-1)
-2.1 Minnesota
There were 21 times this season (more than a quarter of the season!) that the T'wolves held a double digit lead and lost straight up!
21 20 down 1 33-45
(38-39-1)
-1.3 New Orleans
While we think of this team as an underachiever, they were only priced to win 27 games.
22 23 up 1 35-42
(36-41-0)
-1.1 Detroit
This was a very disappointing season in the Motor City. Maybe a move back downtown can reinvigorate things.
23 22 down 1 32-45
(42-35-0)
-0.3 Dallas
After making the playoffs 15x in 16 years, this is the first of what will likely be several non-playoff years in a row.
24 24 same 30-48
(41-37-0)
1.1 New York
The Knicks were favored in only 22 games all year, so despite what everyone thinks, they actually overachieved.
25 25 same 31-47
(39-36-3)
1.3 Sacramento
The Vlade Divac era was great was he was on the court. When in the front office, not so much.
26 27 up 1 22-56
(38-39-1)
2.4 Phoenix
Before Sunday's win and cover over Dallas, the Suns were just 3-10 SU and ATS when favored.
27 28 up 1 19-59
(39-36-3)
2.7 Brooklyn
Yes, even the Nets were favored seven times. A major problem is that they owe Boston their lottery pick.
28 26 down 2 28-50
(48-30-0)
2.7 Philadelphia
How did the Sixers do so well at the betting window this year? They were favored only twice, a league-low!
29 30 up 1 22-55
(33-42-2)
4.1 L.A. Lakers
The regular season finale (at Golden State) pending, the Lakers are perfect ATS in April!
30 29 down 1 27-51
(30-47-1)
4.1 Orlando
Not surprisingly, the Magic were awful when favored: 4-12-1 ATS.

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.

Desktop View: Switch to Mobile View