WNBA Player Props & Best Bets Today for June 21: Collier By Her Name

Napheesa Collier cooked the Sparks in their last meeting, and tonight's matchup will provide the same result.

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Jun 21, 2025 • 08:47 ET • 4 min read
Naphees Coliier Minnesota Lynx WNBA
Photo By - Imagn Images. Napheesa Collier (24) dribbles the ball past Las Vegas Aces center Kiah Stokes

Today’s WNBA slate may be sparse, but the Phoenix Mercury taking on the Chicago Sky and the L.A. Sparks at the Minnesota Lynx should provide ample betting opportunities. 

Alyssa Thomas, Kamilla Cardoso, and Napheesa Collier have excellent matchups to exploit, and my WNBA picks for June 21 expect the trio to dish, swish, and grab some boards.

WNBA player prop bets for June 21

  • Sparks Thomas o8.5 assists (-110)
  • Sparks Cardoso o7.5 rebounds (-105)
  • Sparks Collier o21.5 points (-130)

Today's best WNBA player props bets

Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 assists (-110 at DraftKings)

Phoenix Mercury point forward Alyssa Thomas spent some time on the shelf with a calf injury but has returned with a vengeance, and a poor Chicago Sky defense will suffer for it.

Thomas scores, rebounds, and has also dropped 10 or more dimes in three of her previous four since returning to the lineup.

Thomas and the Mercury shooters can exploit the Sky as they allow the most made threes (10.3) with the worst defensive field goal percentage in the game. 

That bad defense is responsible for allowing the 10th-most assists (21) and points per game (86.3). Phoenix is beginning to score more consistently, and Thomas should find enough wide-open shooters to dish nine dimes today.

Kamilla Cardoso Over 7.5 rebounds (-105 at DraftKings)

The Mercury struggles on the glass. They’ve allowed the 10th-most boards per game, and cleaning the glass on both ends of the floor is where Kamilla Cardoso has excelled.

While Angel Reese gets all the headlines, Cardoso has quietly averaged seven rebounds per game. Three of those boards are on the offensive end, where she’ll get her chances as the Mercury are stout defenders inside and outside the arc, but falter by allowing eight offensive rebounds an outing. 

Cardoso has played 25 or more minutes in each of her last three. She’ll likely see at least that many minutes today and has snared a minimum of eight rebounds in five of 11 games this season.

Napheesa Collier Over 21.5 points (-130 at FanDuel)

The last time the Minnesota Lynx and Los Angeles Sparks met, Lynx forward Napheesa Collier shot 13-for-15 from the field for 32 points.

That’s because the Sparks' defense struggles to contain shooters from anywhere. L.A. allows 44% shooting from inside, 34% from downtown, and 36.5 points per game in the paint.

Collier leads the WNBA in scoring on 52% shooting from the field. MVPhee makes 42% of her four attempts from downtown and 93% of her five attempts from the charity stripe.

The reigning DPOY has scored 22 points or more in four of her previous six, and Los Angeles won’t stop her from clearing her prop number tonight.

Today’s WNBA games

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the tennis betting podcast, This Week in Tennis.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications including SB Nation, FanSided and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. Phil curates the Chip and Charge Tennis Newsletter and pens a weekly tennis column called “10 Things About the ATP Tour," for Passing Shot Productions. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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