WNBA Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Thursday, August 27

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 27, 2026 , 08:22 AM ET • 4 min read

The Washington Mystics beating the Phoenix Mercury as 64% favorites highlights our Thursday moneyline predictions!

Shakira Austin of the Washington Mystics WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Shakira Austin of the Washington Mystics WNBA

Tonight’s two-game WNBA slate doesn’t give us many options, but both matchups offer playable moneyline trades.

The New York Liberty get another shot at a Golden State Valkyries team that has already beaten them twice this season, while the Washington Mystics look to make it two straight over a struggling Phoenix Mercury squad.

Find out why I’m backing the Liberty and Mystics in the best WNBA picks and moneyline predictions for Thursday, Aug. 27.

WNBA moneyline picks for August 27

Matchup Pick (Probability)
Suns Valkyries
vs
Liberty Liberty
Liberty 61%
Mystics Mystics
vs
Lynx Mercury
Mystics 64%
💰 All moneylines parlayed 2.56x

Prices courtesy of Kalshi as of August 27.

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Expert WNBA moneyline picks for August 27

Valkyries vs Liberty pick: Liberty

Kalshi probability: 61%

The Golden State Valkyries have beaten the New York Liberty twice this season, so I’m not pretending this is some easy spot.

But this is also the healthiest version of the Liberty the Valkyries have seen, and New York owns the better recent offense with a 109.9 offensive rating over its last five games compared with Golden State’s 102.1.

The Valkyries rested their starters heavily Wednesday, so I’m not leaning on fatigue. I’m leaning on New York being home, healthier, and with more ways to score, and on improving their home record to 14-5 at Barclays Center. 

Give me the Liberty up to 66%. 

Mystics vs Mercury pick: Mystics

Kalshi probability: 64%

The Washington Mystics already went into Phoenix and beat the Phoenix Mercury Tuesday night, and I see no reason to jump off the Mystics now.

Washington is 4-1 over its last five with a 115.2 offensive rating and +6.6 net rating, while Phoenix is 1-4 with a 103.9 offensive rating and -9.6 net rating.

The Mystics are also doing real damage inside, averaging 46.4 paint points and 15.6 second-chance points per game.

With DeWanna Bonner off to the Atlanta Dream and Kelsey Plum on a minutes restriction or possibly out, I’ll ride with the Mystics again tonight. 

Today's WNBA moneyline parlay

Liberty moneyline

Mystics moneyline

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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