The Phoenix Mercury will look to build on their four-game winning streak when they visit the Chicago Sky this afternoon.
Chicago has had trouble staying close with the better teams in the W, so I’ll be taking Phoenix to cover in my Mercury vs. Sky predictions.
Read on for a full breakdown of today’s early matchup in my free WNBA picks for Saturday, June 21.
Mercury vs Sky predictions
My Mercury vs Sky best bet: Mercury -10.5 (-105 at bet365)
The Chicago Sky continue to struggle, having made little progress since 2024 when they finished at the bottom of the Eastern Conference. The Sky have lost four in a row and seven of their last nine games overall, with their issues primarily on the offensive end.
There are a couple of clear issues to point out for Chicago. It lacks a true leading scorer: While four players are in double figures for the Sky, none are averaging more than Ariel Atkins at 12.6 ppg.
They're near the bottom of the league in shooting percentage at 41.2%, and rank 12th in scoring (75.3 ppg). That lack of efficiency is unfortunately paired with fewer effective possessions than most teams, as Chicago averages 18.7 turnovers per game — worst in the WNBA — and more than two turnovers worse than the next closest squad.
That could be an especially damaging problem against the Phoenix Mercury, who force more turnovers (17.9 per game) than any team in the league.
They also allow just 77.6 ppg, and are third in the WNBA in defensive rating (96.9). It’s rare to find a matchup where one team’s weaknesses play right into the strengths of their opponent any better than in this contest.
Phoenix is also playing well lately. Not only are the Mercury riding a four-game winning streak, but they're fresh off of an 89-81 road win over the New York Liberty, handing the defending champions only their second loss of the season.
The Mercury sprang that upset despite heading into New York as 11.5-point underdogs. Meanwhile, the Sky haven’t been able to perform nearly as well when getting that many points, going 0-3 against the spread when getting 10+ points this season.
Mercury vs Sky same-game parlay (SGP)
Mercury -10.5
Under 159.5
Satou Sabally Over 26.5 points+rebounds
Yes, the first game between these two ended up being a high-scoring affair (183 points), but that was unusual. Both teams are middle of the pack in pace metrics, and each ranks in the bottom half of the league in offensive rating. The Sky have hit the Under in five straight games, and I’m backing that trend to continue.
I’ll also take Mercury forward Satou Sabally to hit her Over on her combined points and rebounds combo. Sabally is averaging 19.6 points and 8.5 rebounds per game.
In her last outing against the Liberty, she went for 20 points and eight rebounds despite shooting just 7-for-21. I’m expecting similar numbers, but with better shooting tonight.
Mercury vs Sky odds
Mercury vs Sky live odds
Mercury vs Sky opening odds
- Spread: Phoenix -8 | Chicago +8
- Moneyline: Phoenix -370 | Chicago +290
- Over/Under: Over 158 | Under 158
Mercury vs Sky trend
Chicago is 1-4 ATS over its last five games overall. Find more WNBA betting trends for Mercury vs. Sky.
How to watch Mercury vs Sky
| Location | Wintrust Arena, Chicago, IL |
| Date | Saturday, 6-21-2025 |
| Tip-off | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC, ESPN+ |
Mercury vs Sky latest injuries
Mercury: Megan McConnell G (Out).
Sky: Courtney Vandersloot G (Out)..
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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