The WNBA Commissioner’s Cup round-robin phase wraps up with a massive mismatch on paper as the powerhouse New York Liberty look to dismantle the struggling Chicago Sky.
Breanna Stewart is coming off a rare off-night in the scoring column, but my Liberty vs. Sky predictions and WNBA picks look for the former MVP to bounce back in dominant fashion tonight.
Liberty vs Sky prediction
Liberty vs Sky best bet: Breanna Stewart Over 19.5 points (-112)
Don't let Breanna Stewart's 14-point performance against Washington fool you. The New York Liberty star is in an excellent bounce-back spot tonight against the Chicago Sky, and her scoring prop is too low.
Stewart leads New York with a 27.1% usage rate and generates 34.8% of her scoring from the free-throw line. That's important against a Chicago team committing 21.0 personal fouls per game and 24 free throws per game.
With Sabrina Ionescu back to stretch the floor and limit double teams, Stewart should find plenty of scoring opportunities. She's playable to Over 20.5 points.
COVERS INTEL: Breanna Stewart boasts the highest usage rate of her career, but her offensive rebounding percentage of 6.2% is also a career-best mark.
Liberty vs Sky same-game parlay
Sabrina Ioenescu returned to the Liberty lineup and promptly laid an 0-2 stinker from downtown.
The encouraging sign? She saw 26 minutes of playing time, and, as a career 35% shooter, in a fast-paced game with Stewie going off, makes her landing a pair of triples a strong possibility.
Skylar Diggins is Chicago’s engine. She’s scored at least 16 points in three of her previous four games and should have success against a Liberty defense allowing 40 points per game to guards.
Liberty vs Sky SGP
- Breanna Stewart Over 19.5 points
- Sabrina Ionescu Over 1.5 threes
- Skylar Diggins Over 15.5 points
- Best bet: 6-5, +0.81 units
- SGP: 2-9, -1.80 units
Liberty vs Sky odds
- Spread: New York -8.5 (-105) | Chicago +8.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: New York -350 | Chicago +275
- Over/Under: Over 169.5 | Under 169.5
Liberty vs Sky trend
The Liberty are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Liberty vs Sky
| Location | Wintrust Arena, Chicago, IL |
| Date | Wednesday, June 17, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | WCIU, WNYW |
Liberty vs Sky latest injuries
Liberty: Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (Questionable).
Sky: Courtney Verdersloot (Out), DiJonai Carrington (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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