Liberty vs Aces Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Zak Hanshew - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Zak Hanshew • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 30, 2026 , 11:45 AM ET • 4 min read

Laying the juice on Breanna Stewart is usually a winning proposition, but with injuries forcing her to carry New York's offense, the tax on her props is as justified as ever. Expect Stewart to command high usage and clear her projections against the Aces tonight.

WNBA

Match starts: 8 hrs
NY
50 %
LV
50 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Breanna Stewart o32.5  Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-120) Breanna Stewart o32.5 Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-120)
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Breanna Stewart New York Liberty WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. New York Liberty forward Breanna Stewart (30) dribbles against Golden State Valkyries forward Laeticia Amihere (3) in the fourth quarter at Chase Center.

Stewie and Wilson clash in storied WNBA rivalry!

Breanna Stewart and A’ja Wilson meet tonight at Michelob ULTRA Arena for their 21st head-to-head matchup in one of the WNBA’s best on-court rivalries.

My Liberty vs. Aces predictions expect both stars to have strong performances, and my WNBA picks hone in on combo lines for the pair.

Read on to see why I expect Stewie and Wilson to stuff the stat sheet and how I’m building a +390 SGP focused on a tight, high-scoring affair on Thursday, July 30.

Liberty vs Aces prediction

Liberty vs Aces best bet: Breanna Stewart Over 32.5 points + rebounds + assists (-110)

Breanna Stewart has found success against A’ja Wilson, averaging 34.5 PRA and going for 33+ 11 times. She averaged 33.5 PRA across 10 games at Las Vegas.

Stewart is averaging 32.9 PRA per game this season. She’s eclipsed 33 only 10 times but finished with 32 or 33 in six more contests.

Across the last eight games, Stewart ranks third in minutes (35.9) behind Kayla McBride and teammate Leonie Fiebich. With Fiebich sidelined, Stewart should see additional work, putting her in a great position to cash this combo line.

Play up to 34.5.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Over the last eight games, Breanna Stewart is one of only two players (A’ja Wilson) to average at least 25 points, eight rebounds and three assists.

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Liberty vs Aces same-game parlay

The New York Liberty have owned this head-to-head matchup since Stewart joined the team, and NY is 7-2 straight up in games with both Stewart and A’ja Wilson on the court since 2023. New York is missing multiple key options, but the Liberty have enough fire power to keep this one close, and I’ll play down to 3.5.

Both offenses are humming thanks to strong play from catalysts Stewart and Wilson. Each team ranks in the Top 5 in ppg on the season, and over the last eight games, each squad has averaged 92+ points. Play to 183.5.

Liberty vs Aces SGP

  • Breanna Stewart Over 32.5 points + rebounds + assists
  • Liberty +5.5
  • Over 181.5

Want more basketball parlays? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!

Zak Hanshew's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bet: 19-21, -3.59 units
  • SGP: 6-34, -1.9 units
  • Player prop: 6-8, -2.89 units

Liberty vs Aces odds

  • Spread: New York +4.5 | Las Vegas -4.5
  • Moneyline: New York +185 | Las Vegas -225
  • Over/Under: Over 181.5 | Under 181.5

Liberty vs Aces trend

New York has covered in five of its last six meetings with Las Vegas. Find more WNBA betting trends.

How to watch Liberty vs Aces

Location Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Date Thursday, July 30, 2026
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV Prime Video

Liberty vs Aces latest injuries

Liberty: Marine Johannes (ankle), Satou Sabally (concussion), & Leonie Fiebich (foot) ruled out.
Aces: Cheyenne Parker-Tyus (concussion) & Janiah Barker (leg) ruled out.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Zak Hanshew - Covers
Betting Analyst

Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In addition to Covers, he has also written for Rotoworld and has spent time at FantasyPros, RotoWire, OwnersBox and Sportsbook Review. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.

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