WNBA Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Thursday, July 30

Aisha Quiñones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Aisha Quiñones • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 29, 2026 , 08:30 PM ET • 4 min read

The Liberty may have had the upper hand, but Las Vegas finally flips the script as the Aces lead Thursday’s top WNBA moneyline plays.

Breanna Stewart A'ja Wilson New York Liberty Las Vegas Aces WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Las Vegas Aces center A'ja Wilson (22) fouls New York Liberty forward Breanna Stewart (30) during the fourth quarter of a WNBA basketball game at Michelob Ultra Arena.

The New York Liberty may have swept the season series so far, but Thursday night marks a turning point in Sin City.

With momentum shifting and revenge on the menu at Michelob ULTRA Arena, A'ja Wilson and the surging Las Vegas Aces headline our top WNBA picks & moneyline plays for a small, but loaded slate on Thursday, July 30.

WNBA moneyline picks for July 30

Matchup Pick
Lynx Lynx
vs
Aces Tempo
Lynx
-567
Suns Sun
vs
Sky Sky
Sky
-156
Liberty Liberty
vs
Aces Aces
Aces
-163
💰 All moneylines parlayed +186

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Expert WNBA moneyline picks for July 30

Lynx vs Tempo: Minnesota Lynx (-567)

Lynx win probability: 85%

And so they meet again.

Fresh off a 100–93 victory on Tuesday, the Minnesota Lynx hit the road for a quick rematch against the Toronto Tempo at Scotiabank Arena.

Toronto continues to play with energy in its debut season, but its defensive interior remains severely exposed against top-tier frontcourts. Minnesota exploited those gaps effortlessly in their first meeting while putting on a shooting clinic from downtown, converting 14-of-25 attempts (56%).

Kayla McBride paced the perimeter effort with 18 points (4-for-7 from deep), supported by a efficient 12-point night off the bench from Antonia Delaere.

Despite playing in a hostile road environment, Minnesota’s championship pedigree and ball movement should dictate the pace once again.

Back Minnesota for a sweep of this home-and-home series.

Sun vs Sky: Chicago Sky (-156)

Sky win probability: 61%

The Chicago Sky are in search of getting their lick back.

Chicago enters Thursday’s matchup looking to avenge a blowout loss to the Connecticut Sun in their previous tilt. The Sun will be without center Brittney Griner, opening a massive interior window for Kamilla Cardoso to exploit in the rim area.

Chicago has proven resilient of late, covering or keeping games within a single possession in three of their last five outings. Following a tight one-point loss to New York prior to the All-Star break, the Sky offer strong value on their home floor at Wintrust Arena.

Expect extra motivation from Chicago on their home floor.

Liberty vs Aces: Las Vegas Aces (-163)

Aces win probability: 62%

The Las Vegas Aces have been surging with seven wins in their last ten games, anchored by MVP favorite A’ja Wilson. The Aces enter as the league's top paint offense, posing a formidable challenge inside.

Meanwhile, the New York Liberty have struggled for consistency, dropping six of their last ten contests.

Though Breanna Stewart remains dangerous coming off a 29-point night, New York's defensive inconsistencies (allowing 94.1 points per game recently) will be difficult to overcome in a hostile environment.

Back the Aces moneyline to protect home court.

Today's WNBA moneyline parlay

Minnesota Lynx moneyline

Chicago Sky moneyline

Las Vegas Aces moneyline

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Aisha Quiñones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Hailing from Harlem, New York, Aisha Quiñones joined Covers in 2024 after an illustrious career with several other major media outlets. A proud Johnnie, after graduating from the Big East basketball powerhouse St. John's University, Quiñones earned her bachelor's degree in sport management and journalism, then obtained her master's degree in media studies from The New School.

Over a span of 12+ years, Quiñones has built her portfolio as a writer, dipped her toe into on-camera work, and also been behind the scenes in producing sports content.

Despite being a New Yorker, Quiñones has always been a lifelong Los Angeles Lakers fan thanks to her mom's joy of watching Kobe Bryant play — so much of a fan to the point that Quiñones named her toy poodle after the late-great legend.

Her hometown roots stay true to her MLB and WNBA choice in teams, as a Yankees and Liberty fan, due to her uncle and grandmother's love for the sports throughout her childhood.

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