The UFC 329 prelims kick off one of the year's deepest fight cards as the action heads to T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday.
The prelims feature former contenders, rising prospects, and several fights with rankings implications.
Below are our predictions, best bets and the latest UFC odds for every preliminary bout.
UFC 329 prelim picks and predictions
Durden vs. Costa
• Prediction: Costa moneyline (-245)
• Best Bet: Costa Round One (+285)
Whittaker vs. Krylov
• Prediction: Whittaker moneyline (-135)
• Best Bet: Whittaker To Win by Decision (+275)
Cortez vs. Wang
• Prediction: Wang moneyline (-110)
• Best Bet: Wang To Win by Decision (+205)
Click on each fight to jump to the full analysis.
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UFC 329 prelim odds and picks
Cody Durden vs. Alessandro Costa fight odds
| Method of Victory | Durden | Costa |
|---|---|---|
| To win outright | +190 | -245 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +675 | +215 |
| To win by decision | +475 | +250 |
| To win by submission | +1100 | +380 |
| Total rounds | Over 1.5 -200 | Under 1.5 +150 |
Odds as of 7-10.
Alessandro Costa continues to fill in fights on short notice, and he has a winnable assignment against the chinny, defensively challenged Cody Durden. Durden is a brave and relentless wrestler who won’t be able to execute his strategy due to Costa’s size and proficiency in BJJ.
Costa is a considerably strong striker, and he won’t have to wait for Durden to open up to land a big shot.
The main concern is Costa’s endurance due to his coming in on short notice yet again, but this is expected to be a short fight for him. I’m taking Costa to win this fight in Round One.
Prediction: Costa moneyline (-245 at BET99)
Best Bet: Costa to win in Round 1 (+285 at BET99)
Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov fight odds
| Method of Victory | Whittaker | Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| To win outright | -135 | +110 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +250 | +380 |
| To win by decision | +270 | +375 |
| To win by submission | +1000 | +700 |
| Total rounds | Over 1.5 -210 | Under 1.5 +160 |
Odds as of 7-10.
After back-to-back losses at middleweight, Robert Whittaker is moving up to 205 to face division staple Nikita Krylov in a risky move, considering that Whittaker started his MMA career at welterweight and Krylov, while flawed, is not a bad fighter.
While Krylov is dangerous offensively, he has consistently struggled against disciplined, high-IQ opponents who outclass and ultimately finish him.
Although he never relied on one-punch knockout power, his ability to manage distance should be enough. Krylov's size and aggression will make this competitive, but Whittaker's experience and the totality of his skill are more than enough for me to pick him to win by decision.
Prediction: Whittaker moneyline (-135 at BET99)
Best Bet: Whittaker to win by decision (+275 at BET99)
Tracy Cortez vs. Cong Wang fight odds
| Method of Victory | Cortez | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| To win outright | -105 | -120 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +1550 | +575 |
| To win by decision | +150 | +190 |
| To win by submission | +790 | +700 |
| Total rounds | Over 2.5 -280 | Under 2.5 +210 |
Odds as of 7-10.
In a battle of one-dimensional fighters, we have a grappler whose game plan is based on top control with Tracy Cortez and an excellent kickboxer who is learning MMA nuances in Cong Wang.
Cortez has lost two of her last three and hit a developmental ceiling, whereas Wang has shown growth since her last loss 19 months ago, particularly in her takedown defense.
Wang’s mobility and precise striking, along with her measured improvements over her past few fights, indicate that she’s up for the task, though she’s being overlooked by bettors as Cortez has exposure in losing efforts to better competition.
Wang by decision is my pick.
Prediction: Wang moneyline (-110 at BET99)
Best Bet: Wang to win by decision (+205 at BET99)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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