Jets vs Blues Picks & Props

The Blue are reeling along a 6-7-4 stretch with the sixth-worst Corsi For percentage and fourth-worst expected goals percentage in the league. Add St. Louis allowing the most goals per game for the season while sporting the fourth-worst team save percentage at 5-on-5, and I’m anticipating the Jets soaring out of the Enterprise Center with a win tonight. 

There’s been a recent uptick in shot volume from Morrissey, and he’s recorded two or more shots in six of his past seven games for 19 total on 31 attempts. Both marks rank second on the Jets during the stretch, and I also value the go-to defenseman averaging a monster 24:25 of ice time per game while also skating with the No. 1 power-play unit. The recent run is sustainable, too. Morrissey’s 4.45 shots and 9.44 attempts per 60 minutes this season are well below his 5.29 and 13.31 marks from 2024-25.

Buchenvich has recorded two or more shots in seven of his past 10 games for 18 total on 40 attempts. The numbers don’t jump off the chart, but the Blues will hit the ice at the Canada Life Centre tonight without their four forwards leading the team in shots per 60 minutes, so I like Buchnevich to continue filling some of the void and hit this Over against the Jets. The matchup also checks out. Winnipeg ranks 26th in Corsi For percentage at five-on-five while allowing the ninth-most shots per game (28.8), too.

I think we're getting a solid number here of 5.5. Both teams are in the bottom third in goals and SOG allowed, while killing PK's at a sub 80% clip. These offenses have enough firepower to generate at least a 4-2 type of game.