New York Giants

4th in NFC East (2 - 13 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Dec 28 16:05 ET

NYG @ LV Picks

NFL Picks
Rushing Yards
Tyrone Tracy Jr. logo Tyrone Tracy Jr. o58.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

Try telling Tyrone Tracy Jr. that these are just meaningless late-season contests. Though the Giants have stumbled to loss after loss, Tracy Jr. continues to run hard, and I expect New York to stick with a run-heavy script this weekend against the Raiders.

The Giants rank third in the league with 29.9 rushes per game, and there’s a lot of sense in easing the pressure on Jaxson Dart in the pocket by handing the ball off to capable running backs. So this prop jumps off the screen, with Tracy Jr. racking up 60+ rushing yards in five of his last six outings.

Score First Touchdown
Tyrone Tracy Jr. logo Tyrone Tracy Jr. Score First Touchdown (Yes: +800)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Sam Farley image
Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

The Giants, even with their injuries, are the better of the two teams, and without Maxx Crosby, I’m confident the Giants score first. Tracy has now had 15+ carries in each of the past two weeks and scored two touchdowns. 

The Raiders have given up 16 touchdowns to opposing running backs in just 15 games, and Tracy is the most likely player to score first.

Score a Touchdown
Michael Mayer logo Michael Mayer Score a Touchdown (Yes: +500)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

This number is likely to move once Brock Bowers being shut down is fully reflected in the market, but in an indoor matchup against the Giants, there’s value on backing the new TE1 at +300 or better. Michael Mayer steps into a featured role in an offense that relies heavily on tight ends. He’s a former second-round pick and already had meaningful usage even with Bowers active. Last week against Houston, Las Vegas ran two-tight-end sets on more than 50% of its snaps, and Mayer still ran routes on 58% of passing plays. With Bowers out, that route share could climb toward 90%, putting Mayer in line for five to eight targets. At that usage, this price won’t last long.

Score a Touchdown
Michael Mayer logo
Michael Mayer Score a Touchdown (Yes: +340)
Projection 0.29 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.5% of their chances: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. Right now, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (60.5% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Las Vegas Raiders.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The predictive model expects Michael Mayer to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack near the goal line in this week's game (20.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (11.8% in games he has played).
Receptions Made
Michael Mayer logo
Michael Mayer o4.5 Receptions Made (+150)
Projection 5.16 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.5% of their chances: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The model projects Michael Mayer to garner 7.2 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs.. The leading projections forecast Michael Mayer to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack in this contest (21.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.2% in games he has played).
Passing Completions
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o19.5 Passing Completions (+100)
Projection 22.76 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.5% of their chances: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Passing Completions
Jaxson Dart logo
Jaxson Dart o17.5 Passing Completions (+105)
Projection 19.98 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Giants have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.5 plays per game.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Raiders defense this year (73.0% Adjusted Completion%).. The Raiders safeties project as the 3rd-worst safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.
Passing Attempts
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o29.5 Passing Attempts (+100)
Projection 32.95 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.5% of their chances: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Passing Yards
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o203.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 248.81 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.5% of their chances: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Giants pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency this year, giving up 7.88 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-most in the NFL.
Passing Yards
Jaxson Dart logo
Jaxson Dart o183.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 208.69 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Giants have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.5 plays per game.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Raiders defense this year (73.0% Adjusted Completion%).. The Raiders safeties project as the 3rd-worst safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.
Interceptions Thrown
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+111)
Projection 0.41 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Raiders to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.0 plays per game.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Raiders grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.. When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, New York's collection of LBs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Michael Mayer logo
Michael Mayer o37.5 Receiving Yards (+100)
Projection 50.08 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.5% of their chances: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The model projects Michael Mayer to garner 7.2 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs.. The leading projections forecast Michael Mayer to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack in this contest (21.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.2% in games he has played).
Receiving Yards
Ashton Jeanty logo
Ashton Jeanty o26.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 38.65 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.5% of their chances: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. This year, the deficient Giants defense has been gouged for a massive 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 10th-most in the league.. The New York Giants pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (86.9%) versus running backs this year (86.9%).
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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

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Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'bobalten5000' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-1.0)

bobalten5000 is #1 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +5900 units on the season.

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'Manning2008SB' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Over (41.5)

Manning2008SB is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'Manning2008SB' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-2.5)

Manning2008SB is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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'bostonutah' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Over (41.5)

bostonutah is #10 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4600 units on the season.

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Over
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'bostonutah' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+1.0)

bostonutah is #10 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4600 units on the season.

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'number46' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-1.0)

number46 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'number46' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Over (41.5)

number46 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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Over
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'rquiroz' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-1.0)

rquiroz is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (5-2-0) and +5850 units on the season.

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'rquiroz' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Over (41.5)

rquiroz is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (5-2-0) and +5850 units on the season.

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Over
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'swtknguy' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Over (43.5)

swtknguy is #3 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-5-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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Over
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'swtknguy' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+1.5)

swtknguy is #3 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-5-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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'hungcodon' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+3.0)

hungcodon is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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'hungcodon' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Under (42.0)

hungcodon is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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Over
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'kugle6' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-3.0)

kugle6 is #6 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (4-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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'kugle6' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Over (43.5)

kugle6 is #6 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (4-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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'Busch Light' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Under (42.0)

Busch Light is #6 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-6-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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'Busch Light' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-1.0)

Busch Light is #6 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-6-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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'blueminer000' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Under (41.5)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5100 units on the season.

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Over
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'blueminer000' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+1.0)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5100 units on the season.

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'WonderfulWino' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Under (41.5)

WonderfulWino is #7 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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Over
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'sweeton60' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+2.0)

sweeton60 is #9 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-5-0) and +4610 units on the season.

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'sweeton60' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Under (42.0)

sweeton60 is #9 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-5-0) and +4610 units on the season.

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Over
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'RAZORAZE283' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Over (41.5)

RAZORAZE283 is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'RAZORAZE283' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-1.0)

RAZORAZE283 is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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LV
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