New York Giants

1st in NFC East (1 - 0 - 0)

Next Game

Mon, Sep 21 20:15 ET

NYG @ LA Picks

NFL Picks
Passing Yards
Matthew Stafford logo Matthew Stafford o249.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

You have to think that the debacle in Australia will be Matt Stafford's worst game of the season - and there's nothing like some home cooking. Stafford averaged close to 300 yards per game at home in 2025 and is in a prime bounce-back spot after getting over a week to rest up for this Week 2 matchup. The Giants' secondary held Dak Prescott to 175 yards in Week 1, but the Rams are an entirely different monster - expect Stafford to right the ship in prime time.

Rushing Yards
Jaxson Dart logo Jaxson Dart o29.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Jaxson Dart isn't getting his rushing back scaled properly. He scrambled five times last week and added three designed runs for 54 yards. He also had three kneel-downs and lost five total yards, all in a game where he led wire-to-wire. Now he'll likely be playing from behind, increasing his passing rate, which should in turn increase his scrambling chances. He also likely won't lose five yards on kneel-downs as a touchdown underdog. The projections at Covers are calling for 37.6 rushing yards, and Dart to be the third-most active QB rusher in Week 2 with 7.2 carries.

Total
New York Giants image thumbnail Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail u48.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

I know an Under to wrap up Week 2 isn't getting the blood flowing, but look what happened to the Giants last Sunday night. Dallas and New York combined to go 17-for-22 on third down and scored on all seven of their combined red-zone trips. That game went Over by a half-point on its closing 47.5-point total. There is a reason 48.5 is on the other side of a key number. The Giants will suck the clock with a new-look offense that finished second in Week 1 in success rate, and they face a Rams defense without Myles Garrett that ranks third-worst in success rate. The Giants will sustain drives, but finishing them won't be as easy as it was last week. The Rams' offense isn't one that scares me from an explosive-play standpoint. They ran 3-TE sets at a 38% rate in Week 1, the second-most, and still had a -13.89 pass rate over expected in a losing effort. This projects as a slow game, and the Rams could still need some time to get up to 2026 speed on offense.

Spread
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail LA -7.5 (+101)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Joe Osborne logo
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

Expect the Rams to come out swinging after their embarrasing Australia travel plan blew up in their face. They’re 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after an outright loss, so responding to failure has been a part of their recent DNA. The Giants impressed in Week 1, but there are levels to this. Los Angeles entered the season as the clear-cut Super Bowl favorite and was -9.5 on the lookahead. Rested and pissed off, the Rams should deliver a beatdown.

Spread
New York Giants image thumbnail NYG +7.5 (-127)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

Give me the Giants catching 7.5 points on Monday Night Football, as I make them closer to a 6-point underdog in this spot. I think everyone expects the Rams to bounce back, but I saw a level of toughness and identity from this Giants team that grabbed my attention in their first game under John Harbaugh. Matthew Stafford is one of the few MVP candidates who doesn't use his legs and is a pure pocket quarterback. That pocket might not be as clean as he'd like with Brian Burns, Abdul Carter and Arvell Reese rushing the passer. I think the Giants' defense can make Stafford uncomfortable and prevent this offense from moving the ball up and down the field at will, allowing them to cover the big number. We saw what this defense did to George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb in Week 1, and I expect New York to make life difficult for Stafford.

Anytime Touchdown
Isaiah Likely logo Isaiah Likely Score a Touchdown (Yes: +266)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Isaiah Likely was the cash converter last week and was a huge part of the Giants' offense, keeping pace with Malik Nabers in terms of usage and volume. Despite that, his TD price has not moved, which I don't mind at all. I understand it's the Rams, but they are just getting back from Australia and looked awful defending the pass in Week 1. Likely had four targets in the red zone and finished with two TDs. No other TE or WR had more than three RZ catches in Week 1. Likely is the No. 2 in this passing game and is a green light for a TD buy at 3x or better right now.

Game Prop
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail o27.5 Team Total (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Sean McVay is an excellent game planner with added time he'll work out the kinks on this offense. Matthew Stafford couldn’t get going against the 49ers but faces a softer stop unit from the Giants. New York’s defense looked much better than it truly was in Week 1, due to the offense grinding out gains and chewing up TOP. The Cowboys offense only had two second half possessions and while it was limited in action, Dallas ranked out well in terms of advanced metrics like EPA per play DVOA. This is a fast track indoor at SoFi Stadium and it doesn’t seem likely that L.A.’s offense gets bottled up for a second straight game. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Colby Parkinson profile picture
Colby Parkinson Score a Touchdown (Yes)
Anytime Touchdown
Jaxson Dart profile picture
Jaxson Dart Score a Touchdown (Yes)
Anytime Touchdown
Isaiah Likely profile picture
Isaiah Likely o45.5 Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards
Bet now
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Colby Parkinson led the Rams' TE stable in snaps (75%) and routes (59%). He wasn't very active, but the whole offense was bad in Week 1. Only the Bills ran 3-TE sets at a higher rate than the Rams. Jaxson Dart is moving well in the pocket and getting a great combination of scrambles and designed runs. Dart loves the bright lights. Finally, Isaiah Likely's props have not adjusted to his new role in this offense. An indoor setting and a likely trailing game script only help.

Passing Yards
Jaxson Dart logo
Jaxson Dart o213.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 226.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may drop.. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.
Rushing Yards
Jaxson Dart logo
Jaxson Dart o31.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 37.62 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the moment, the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league (41.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. In this week's game, Jaxson Dart is forecasted by the predictive model to earn the 3rd-most carries among all QBs with 7.2. . While Jaxson Dart has garnered 19.9% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a more important option in New York's ground game in this week's contest at 26.2%.. With a remarkable record of 31.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (98th percentile), Jaxson Dart places among the best rushing QBs in the NFL since the start of last season.
Rushing Yards
Cam Skattebo logo
Cam Skattebo o49.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Projection 57.84 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the moment, the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league (41.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).
Rushing Yards
Kyren Williams logo
Kyren Williams u64.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Projection 56.85 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 62.2 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. While Kyren Williams has accounted for 60.1% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's running game in this contest at 46.1%.. The Giants linebackers rank as the 9th-worst LB corps in football last year in regard to stopping the run.
Receiving Yards
Malik Nabers logo
Malik Nabers o65.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 75.19 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may drop.. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.
Receiving Yards
Cam Skattebo logo
Cam Skattebo o10.5 Receiving Yards (-135)
Projection 14.73 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's unit has been lousy since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-worst in the league.
Receiving Yards
Kyren Williams logo
Kyren Williams o10.5 Receiving Yards (-155)
Projection 15.49 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With a high 55.6% Route% (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams stands among the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the NFL.. This week, Kyren Williams is predicted by the projections to secure a spot in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.8 targets.. Kyren Williams has totaled a whopping 8.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Kyren Williams rates as one of the top pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 15.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the feeble Giants defense has given up a staggering 32.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 10th-most in football.
Receiving Yards
Puka Nacua logo
Puka Nacua o77.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 87.02 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In this week's game, Puka Nacua is projected by the model to rank in the 96th percentile among WRs with 9.5 targets.. With an exceptional 30.5% Target Share (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Puka Nacua ranks as one of the WRs with the most usage in the league.. Puka Nacua has posted a whopping 93.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among WRs.. With an excellent 89.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Puka Nacua places among the leading WRs in the league in football.. The New York Giants defense has been gouged for the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (139.0) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season.
Receiving Yards
Isaiah Likely logo
Isaiah Likely u45.5 Receiving Yards (-116)
Projection 42.97 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At the present time, the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Giants.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Since the start of last season, the daunting Los Angeles Rams defense has surrendered a feeble 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 3rd-fewest in the league.. The Rams pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against TEs since the start of last season, yielding 6.02 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.
Rushing Attempts
Kyren Williams logo
Kyren Williams u13.5 Rushing Attempts (+110)
Projection 12.3 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 62.2 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. While Kyren Williams has accounted for 60.1% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's running game in this contest at 46.1%.. The Giants linebackers rank as the 9th-worst LB corps in football last year in regard to stopping the run.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

64% picking N.Y. Giants

64%
36%

Total Picks NYG 595, LA 328

Spread
NYG
LA
Total

46% picking N.Y. Giants vs L.A. Rams to go Under

54%
46%

Total PicksNYG 304, LA 263

Total
Over
Under

NYG @ LA · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
LA -7.5 spread
-8.71 PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
11.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
LA -7.5 spread

PROJECTION

-8.71 PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
11.78% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-7.5 +105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL
New York Giants image thumbnail Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
Under 48.0 Total
47.17 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
New York Giants image thumbnail Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
Under 48.0 Total

PROJECTION

47.17 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.74% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u48.5 -127
Caesars logo
PASSING YARDS
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o213.5 Passing Yards
226.52 OVER PROJECTION
+13.0 DIFFERENCE
20.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o213.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

226.52 OVER PROJECTION
+13.0 DIFFERENCE
20.1% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may drop.. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.

o210.5 -115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING YARDS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u247.5 Passing Yards
244.36 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.1 DIFFERENCE
10.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u247.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

244.36 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.1 DIFFERENCE
10.85% EV

ANALYSIS

The Rams are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. With a 46.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 3rd-least pass-heavy team in the league has been the Rams.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 62.2 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass attack stats across the board.. Last year, the porous New York Giants defense has been torched for the most yards-after-the-catch in football to the opposing side: a staggering 0.00 YAC.

u247.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o31.5 Rushing Yards
37.62 OVER PROJECTION
+6.1 DIFFERENCE
24.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o31.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

37.62 OVER PROJECTION
+6.1 DIFFERENCE
24.8% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league (41.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. In this week's game, Jaxson Dart is forecasted by the predictive model to earn the 3rd-most carries among all QBs with 7.2. . While Jaxson Dart has garnered 19.9% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a more important option in New York's ground game in this week's contest at 26.2%.. With a remarkable record of 31.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (98th percentile), Jaxson Dart places among the best rushing QBs in the NFL since the start of last season.

o30.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards
57.84 OVER PROJECTION
+8.3 DIFFERENCE
24.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

57.84 OVER PROJECTION
+8.3 DIFFERENCE
24.35% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league (41.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).

o48.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RUSHING YARDS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u64.5 Rushing Yards
56.85 UNDER PROJECTION
-7.7 DIFFERENCE
22.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u64.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

56.85 UNDER PROJECTION
-7.7 DIFFERENCE
22.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 62.2 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. While Kyren Williams has accounted for 60.1% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's running game in this contest at 46.1%.. The Giants linebackers rank as the 9th-worst LB corps in football last year in regard to stopping the run.

u64.5 -112
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) o65.5 Receiving Yards
75.19 OVER PROJECTION
+9.7 DIFFERENCE
23.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) o65.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

75.19 OVER PROJECTION
+9.7 DIFFERENCE
23.83% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may drop.. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.

o63.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards
14.73 OVER PROJECTION
+4.2 DIFFERENCE
23.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

14.73 OVER PROJECTION
+4.2 DIFFERENCE
23.38% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's unit has been lousy since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-worst in the league.

o10.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards
15.49 OVER PROJECTION
+5.0 DIFFERENCE
22.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

15.49 OVER PROJECTION
+5.0 DIFFERENCE
22.79% EV

ANALYSIS

With a high 55.6% Route% (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams stands among the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the NFL.. This week, Kyren Williams is predicted by the projections to secure a spot in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.8 targets.. Kyren Williams has totaled a whopping 8.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Kyren Williams rates as one of the top pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 15.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the feeble Giants defense has given up a staggering 32.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 10th-most in football.

o10.5 -155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Puka Nacua logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
P. Nacua (WR) o77.5 Receiving Yards
87.02 OVER PROJECTION
+9.5 DIFFERENCE
20.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Puka Nacua logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
P. Nacua (WR) o77.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

87.02 OVER PROJECTION
+9.5 DIFFERENCE
20.36% EV

ANALYSIS

In this week's game, Puka Nacua is projected by the model to rank in the 96th percentile among WRs with 9.5 targets.. With an exceptional 30.5% Target Share (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Puka Nacua ranks as one of the WRs with the most usage in the league.. Puka Nacua has posted a whopping 93.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among WRs.. With an excellent 89.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Puka Nacua places among the leading WRs in the league in football.. The New York Giants defense has been gouged for the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (139.0) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season.

o77.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) u45.5 Receiving Yards
42.97 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.5 DIFFERENCE
18.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) u45.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

42.97 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.5 DIFFERENCE
18.02% EV

ANALYSIS

At the present time, the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Giants.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Since the start of last season, the daunting Los Angeles Rams defense has surrendered a feeble 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 3rd-fewest in the league.. The Rams pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against TEs since the start of last season, yielding 6.02 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.

u45.5 -116
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) o4.5 Receptions Made
4.55 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-9.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.55 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-9.98% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. The predictive model expects Isaiah Likely to notch 6.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. Isaiah Likely's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 79.3% to 100.0%.

o4.5 -103
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made
5.51 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-12.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.51 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-12.07% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.

o5.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Colby Parkinson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
C. Parkinson (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.50 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-20.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colby Parkinson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
C. Parkinson (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.50 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-20.32% EV

ANALYSIS

With a remarkable 62.8% snap rate (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Colby Parkinson rates among the running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.

o2.5 -160
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
1.94 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-24.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

1.94 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-24.58% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's unit has been lousy since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-worst in the league.

o1.5 -142
DraftKings logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u13.5 Rushing Attempts
12.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
18.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u13.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

12.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
18.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 62.2 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. While Kyren Williams has accounted for 60.1% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's running game in this contest at 46.1%.. The Giants linebackers rank as the 9th-worst LB corps in football last year in regard to stopping the run.

u13.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o6.5 Rushing Attempts
6.94 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
12.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o6.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

6.94 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
12.56% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league (41.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. In this week's game, Jaxson Dart is forecasted by the predictive model to earn the 3rd-most carries among all QBs with 7.2. . While Jaxson Dart has garnered 19.9% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a more important option in New York's ground game in this week's contest at 26.2%.

o4.5 -319
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o9.5 Rushing Attempts
13.08 OVER PROJECTION
+3.6 DIFFERENCE
3.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o9.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

13.08 OVER PROJECTION
+3.6 DIFFERENCE
3.86% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league (41.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).

o9.5 -360
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) u30.5 Passing Attempts
30.49 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) u30.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

30.49 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.72% EV

ANALYSIS

At the present time, the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Giants.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Jaxson Dart has attempted a mere 22.4 throws per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile among QBs.

u31.5 -127
DraftKings logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o19.5 Passing Completions
20.08 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o19.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

20.08 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.53% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.

o19.5 -120
Hard Rock Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.09 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.09 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV

ANALYSIS

Matthew Stafford has been one of the best touchdown passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 2.19 per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.. Matthew Stafford has rushed for 0.00 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the lowest figures in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (2nd percentile).. The New York Giants cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-worst group of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

+2500
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
21.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
21.27% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the weak Los Angeles Rams defense has given up a massive 1.06 TDs through the air per game to opposing wideouts: the 7th-highest rate in the league.

+200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Colby Parkinson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
C. Parkinson (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Colby Parkinson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
C. Parkinson (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.61% EV

ANALYSIS

With an elite 24.0% Red Zone Target% (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Colby Parkinson has been among the TEs with the most usage near the end zone in football.. With a remarkable rate of 0.44 per game through the air (92nd percentile), Colby Parkinson ranks among the top receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to tight ends since the start of last season.

+410
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.71 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.71 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects Kyren Williams to be a less important option in his offense's rushing attack near the goal line in this week's game (51.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (63.6% in games he has played).. Kyren Williams has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 9.0% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 79th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Kyren Williams has totaled a whopping 8.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. With an excellent rate of 0.14 per game through the air (88th percentile), Kyren Williams places as one of the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to RBs since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Giants pass defense has given up a colossal 88.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 4th-biggest rate in the NFL.

-160
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Puka Nacua logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
P. Nacua (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.54 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
10.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Puka Nacua logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
P. Nacua (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.54 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
10.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects Puka Nacua to be a much bigger part of his team's passing game near the goal line in this game (23.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (17.6% in games he has played).. Puka Nacua has posted a whopping 93.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among WRs.. Puka Nacua's 67.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the league leaders: 94th percentile for wide receivers.. Puka Nacua ranks as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing an impressive 79.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 96th percentile among WRs.. Puka Nacua ranks in the 95th percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 0.50 per game.

+110
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.2% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. With a high 19.0% Red Zone Target% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Isaiah Likely ranks as one of the tight ends with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL.. In regards to air yards, Isaiah Likely grades out in the towering 77th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accruing a monstrous 23.0 per game.

+280
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
6.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
6.47% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.. The opposing side have run for the fewest TDs in the league (0.44 per game) vs. the Rams defense since the start of last season.

+265
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.37 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-18.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.37 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-18.28% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.. The opposing side have run for the fewest TDs in the league (0.44 per game) vs. the Rams defense since the start of last season.

+125
bet365 logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The Rams are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. With a 46.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 3rd-least pass-heavy team in the league has been the Rams.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 62.2 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

u0.5 -121
BetRivers logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.43 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.43 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.64% EV

ANALYSIS

At the present time, the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Giants.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Jaxson Dart has attempted a mere 22.4 throws per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile among QBs.. Jaxson Dart has registered a mere 0.29 interceptions per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 90th percentile when it comes to QBs.. Los Angeles's defense profiles as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season as it relates to producing interceptions, totaling 0.86 per game.

u0.5 -120
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
LA -7.5 spread
-8.71 PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
11.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
LA -7.5 spread

PROJECTION

-8.71 PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
11.78% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-7.5 +105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL
New York Giants image thumbnail Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
Under 48.0 Total
47.17 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
New York Giants image thumbnail Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
Under 48.0 Total

PROJECTION

47.17 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.74% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u48.5 -127
Caesars logo
PASSING YARDS
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o213.5 Passing Yards
226.52 OVER PROJECTION
+13.0 DIFFERENCE
20.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o213.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

226.52 OVER PROJECTION
+13.0 DIFFERENCE
20.1% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may drop.. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.

o210.5 -115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING YARDS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u247.5 Passing Yards
244.36 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.1 DIFFERENCE
10.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u247.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

244.36 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.1 DIFFERENCE
10.85% EV

ANALYSIS

The Rams are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. With a 46.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 3rd-least pass-heavy team in the league has been the Rams.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 62.2 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass attack stats across the board.. Last year, the porous New York Giants defense has been torched for the most yards-after-the-catch in football to the opposing side: a staggering 0.00 YAC.

u247.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o31.5 Rushing Yards
37.62 OVER PROJECTION
+6.1 DIFFERENCE
24.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o31.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

37.62 OVER PROJECTION
+6.1 DIFFERENCE
24.8% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league (41.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. In this week's game, Jaxson Dart is forecasted by the predictive model to earn the 3rd-most carries among all QBs with 7.2. . While Jaxson Dart has garnered 19.9% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a more important option in New York's ground game in this week's contest at 26.2%.. With a remarkable record of 31.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (98th percentile), Jaxson Dart places among the best rushing QBs in the NFL since the start of last season.

o30.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards
57.84 OVER PROJECTION
+8.3 DIFFERENCE
24.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o49.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

57.84 OVER PROJECTION
+8.3 DIFFERENCE
24.35% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league (41.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).

o48.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RUSHING YARDS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u64.5 Rushing Yards
56.85 UNDER PROJECTION
-7.7 DIFFERENCE
22.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u64.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

56.85 UNDER PROJECTION
-7.7 DIFFERENCE
22.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 62.2 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. While Kyren Williams has accounted for 60.1% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's running game in this contest at 46.1%.. The Giants linebackers rank as the 9th-worst LB corps in football last year in regard to stopping the run.

u64.5 -112
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) o65.5 Receiving Yards
75.19 OVER PROJECTION
+9.7 DIFFERENCE
23.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) o65.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

75.19 OVER PROJECTION
+9.7 DIFFERENCE
23.83% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may drop.. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.

o63.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards
14.73 OVER PROJECTION
+4.2 DIFFERENCE
23.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

14.73 OVER PROJECTION
+4.2 DIFFERENCE
23.38% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's unit has been lousy since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-worst in the league.

o10.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards
15.49 OVER PROJECTION
+5.0 DIFFERENCE
22.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

15.49 OVER PROJECTION
+5.0 DIFFERENCE
22.79% EV

ANALYSIS

With a high 55.6% Route% (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams stands among the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the NFL.. This week, Kyren Williams is predicted by the projections to secure a spot in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.8 targets.. Kyren Williams has totaled a whopping 8.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Kyren Williams rates as one of the top pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 15.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the feeble Giants defense has given up a staggering 32.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 10th-most in football.

o10.5 -155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Puka Nacua logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
P. Nacua (WR) o77.5 Receiving Yards
87.02 OVER PROJECTION
+9.5 DIFFERENCE
20.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Puka Nacua logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
P. Nacua (WR) o77.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

87.02 OVER PROJECTION
+9.5 DIFFERENCE
20.36% EV

ANALYSIS

In this week's game, Puka Nacua is projected by the model to rank in the 96th percentile among WRs with 9.5 targets.. With an exceptional 30.5% Target Share (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Puka Nacua ranks as one of the WRs with the most usage in the league.. Puka Nacua has posted a whopping 93.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among WRs.. With an excellent 89.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Puka Nacua places among the leading WRs in the league in football.. The New York Giants defense has been gouged for the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (139.0) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season.

o77.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) u45.5 Receiving Yards
42.97 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.5 DIFFERENCE
18.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) u45.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

42.97 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.5 DIFFERENCE
18.02% EV

ANALYSIS

At the present time, the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Giants.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Since the start of last season, the daunting Los Angeles Rams defense has surrendered a feeble 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 3rd-fewest in the league.. The Rams pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against TEs since the start of last season, yielding 6.02 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.

u45.5 -116
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) o4.5 Receptions Made
4.55 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-9.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.55 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-9.98% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. The predictive model expects Isaiah Likely to notch 6.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. Isaiah Likely's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 79.3% to 100.0%.

o4.5 -103
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made
5.51 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-12.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.51 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-12.07% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.

o5.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Colby Parkinson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
C. Parkinson (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.50 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-20.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colby Parkinson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
C. Parkinson (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.50 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-20.32% EV

ANALYSIS

With a remarkable 62.8% snap rate (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Colby Parkinson rates among the running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.

o2.5 -160
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
1.94 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-24.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

1.94 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-24.58% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's unit has been lousy since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-worst in the league.

o1.5 -142
DraftKings logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u13.5 Rushing Attempts
12.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
18.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u13.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

12.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
18.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 62.2 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. While Kyren Williams has accounted for 60.1% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's running game in this contest at 46.1%.. The Giants linebackers rank as the 9th-worst LB corps in football last year in regard to stopping the run.

u13.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o6.5 Rushing Attempts
6.94 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
12.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o6.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

6.94 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
12.56% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league (41.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. In this week's game, Jaxson Dart is forecasted by the predictive model to earn the 3rd-most carries among all QBs with 7.2. . While Jaxson Dart has garnered 19.9% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a more important option in New York's ground game in this week's contest at 26.2%.

o4.5 -319
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o9.5 Rushing Attempts
13.08 OVER PROJECTION
+3.6 DIFFERENCE
3.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) o9.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

13.08 OVER PROJECTION
+3.6 DIFFERENCE
3.86% EV

ANALYSIS

At the moment, the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league (41.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).

o9.5 -360
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) u30.5 Passing Attempts
30.49 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) u30.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

30.49 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.72% EV

ANALYSIS

At the present time, the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Giants.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Jaxson Dart has attempted a mere 22.4 throws per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile among QBs.

u31.5 -127
DraftKings logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o19.5 Passing Completions
20.08 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) o19.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

20.08 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.53% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.

o19.5 -120
Hard Rock Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.09 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.09 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
27.2% EV

ANALYSIS

Matthew Stafford has been one of the best touchdown passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 2.19 per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.. Matthew Stafford has rushed for 0.00 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the lowest figures in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (2nd percentile).. The New York Giants cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-worst group of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

+2500
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
21.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Malik Nabers logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
M. Nabers (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
21.27% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the weak Los Angeles Rams defense has given up a massive 1.06 TDs through the air per game to opposing wideouts: the 7th-highest rate in the league.

+200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Colby Parkinson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
C. Parkinson (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Colby Parkinson logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
C. Parkinson (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.61% EV

ANALYSIS

With an elite 24.0% Red Zone Target% (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Colby Parkinson has been among the TEs with the most usage near the end zone in football.. With a remarkable rate of 0.44 per game through the air (92nd percentile), Colby Parkinson ranks among the top receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to tight ends since the start of last season.

+410
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.71 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.71 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects Kyren Williams to be a less important option in his offense's rushing attack near the goal line in this week's game (51.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (63.6% in games he has played).. Kyren Williams has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 9.0% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 79th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Kyren Williams has totaled a whopping 8.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. With an excellent rate of 0.14 per game through the air (88th percentile), Kyren Williams places as one of the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to RBs since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Giants pass defense has given up a colossal 88.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 4th-biggest rate in the NFL.

-160
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Puka Nacua logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
P. Nacua (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.54 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
10.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Puka Nacua logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
P. Nacua (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.54 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
10.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects Puka Nacua to be a much bigger part of his team's passing game near the goal line in this game (23.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (17.6% in games he has played).. Puka Nacua has posted a whopping 93.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among WRs.. Puka Nacua's 67.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the league leaders: 94th percentile for wide receivers.. Puka Nacua ranks as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing an impressive 79.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 96th percentile among WRs.. Puka Nacua ranks in the 95th percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 0.50 per game.

+110
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Isaiah Likely logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
I. Likely (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.2% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. With a high 19.0% Red Zone Target% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Isaiah Likely ranks as one of the tight ends with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL.. In regards to air yards, Isaiah Likely grades out in the towering 77th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accruing a monstrous 23.0 per game.

+280
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
6.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
6.47% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.. The opposing side have run for the fewest TDs in the league (0.44 per game) vs. the Rams defense since the start of last season.

+265
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.37 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-18.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Cam Skattebo logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
C. Skattebo (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.37 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-18.28% EV

ANALYSIS

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -7-point underdog this week.. The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Giants since the start of last season (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).. The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.. The opposing side have run for the fewest TDs in the league (0.44 per game) vs. the Rams defense since the start of last season.

+125
bet365 logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The Rams are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. With a 46.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 3rd-least pass-heavy team in the league has been the Rams.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 62.2 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

u0.5 -121
BetRivers logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.43 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jaxson Dart logo
New York Giants image thumbnail
J. Dart (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.43 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.64% EV

ANALYSIS

At the present time, the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Giants.. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Jaxson Dart has attempted a mere 22.4 throws per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile among QBs.. Jaxson Dart has registered a mere 0.29 interceptions per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 90th percentile when it comes to QBs.. Los Angeles's defense profiles as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season as it relates to producing interceptions, totaling 0.86 per game.

u0.5 -120
bet365 logo

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Total

'DREAMER693' picks N.Y. Giants vs L.A. Rams to go Over (47.5)

DREAMER693 is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'DREAMER693' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+7.5)

DREAMER693 is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
LA
Spread

'courtney1966' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-7.5)

courtney1966 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
LA
Spread

'T-MAC4ALL' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+7.5)

T-MAC4ALL is #2 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
LA
Total

'T-MAC4ALL' picks N.Y. Giants vs L.A. Rams to go Over (48.5)

T-MAC4ALL is #2 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'johne09' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+8.5)

johne09 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
LA
Total

'johne09' picks N.Y. Giants vs L.A. Rams to go Under (48.5)

johne09 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'bluorch158' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+7.5)

bluorch158 is #5 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
LA
Total

'bluorch158' picks N.Y. Giants vs L.A. Rams to go Over (49.5)

bluorch158 is #5 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'pokersquirrel' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+7.5)

pokersquirrel is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
LA
Total

'pokersquirrel' picks N.Y. Giants vs L.A. Rams to go Under (47.5)

pokersquirrel is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'bostonutah' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-7.5)

bostonutah is #6 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
LA
Total

'bostonutah' picks N.Y. Giants vs L.A. Rams to go Over (48.5)

bostonutah is #6 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'twentymissioncap' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-7.5)

twentymissioncap is #6 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
LA
Total

'twentymissioncap' picks N.Y. Giants vs L.A. Rams to go Over (48.5)

twentymissioncap is #6 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'bigink' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+8.5)

bigink is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
LA
Spread

'Tbombs' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+7.5)

Tbombs is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
LA

Pages Related to This Topic