New York Giants

4th in NFC East (2 - 6 - 0)

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Sun, Nov 2 13:00 ET

SF @ NYG Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Darius Slayton logo Darius Slayton Score a Touchdown (Yes: +230)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The 49ers’ defense is still banged up, and the loss of Cam Skattebo puts more pressure on the New York passing game. With TE Daniel Bellinger nursing a neck injury, Darius Slayton could see more looks after returning last week as the team’s only true deep threat against the Eagles. Slayton didn’t find the end zone but had a long touchdown wiped out by a questionable offensive pass interference call. Wan’Dale Robinson handles the short routes, while this Giants offense has quietly been the best red-zone unit over the last three weeks, scoring on nearly 90% of trips inside the 20. New York could be a sneaky play to put up 25+ points this week. Tyrone Tracy can keep the run game steady, and Slayton has the upside to finish drives. I’d play the Giants team total Over or 25+ points at +200.

Spread
San Francisco 49ers logo SF -2.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Niners are coming off a one-sided loss to a very stout Houston team and while San Francisco stays on the road – travelling all the way to New Jersey for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff – it’s in a much better spot than the Giants. New York suffered a gutting loss at Philadelphia on Sunday, not just getting slammed by a vengeful defending champion but watching electric rookie RB and unofficial mascot Cam Skattebo go down with a gruesome ankle injury. While the G-Men are losing bodies, the 49ers are getting them back. Quarterback Brock Purdy has a good shot at returning under center after another week of practice and the pressure of Sunday’s loss forcing a change at QB. New York’s defense was already dealing with injuries in Week 8 and could be down two starting defensive backs. The Giants have allowed 26, 33 and 38 points in three of their last four contests.

Score a Touchdown
Tyrone Tracy Jr. logo
Tyrone Tracy Jr. Score a Touchdown (Yes: +140)
Projection 0.63 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. The Giants O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.. The 49ers defense has yielded the 4th-most receiving touchdowns in the league to RBs: 0.38 per game this year.. This year, the formidable 49ers run defense has yielded a meager 0.50 TDs on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-lowest rate in the league.
Receiving Yards
Wan'Dale Robinson logo
Wan'Dale Robinson o49.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 62.64 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. Our trusted projections expect Wan'Dale Robinson to total 9.3 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.. After averaging 41.0 air yards per game last season, Wan'Dale Robinson has gotten better this season, now pacing 69.0 per game.. The Giants O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Receiving Yards
Theo Johnson logo
Theo Johnson o37.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 43.38 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. The Giants O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.. The San Francisco 49ers safeties grade out as the worst safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Receiving Yards
George Kittle logo
George Kittle u54.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 46.99 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
In regards to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the San Francisco 49ers grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year.. George Kittle has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this season than he did last season (76.0).. George Kittle's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 85.6% to 80.8%.. George Kittle's 7.5 adjusted yards per target this year signifies an impressive regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 12.5 rate.. This year, the strong New York Giants defense has yielded a puny 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.
Rushing Yards
Tyrone Tracy Jr. logo
Tyrone Tracy Jr. o52.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Projection 66.55 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to run on 46.7% of their plays: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. The 49ers defensive tackles grade out as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
Rushing Yards
Christian McCaffrey logo
Christian McCaffrey o69.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 76.48 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 136.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. The 49ers have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.. This week, Christian McCaffrey is expected by the model to position himself in the 99th percentile among RBs with 20.6 rush attempts.. Christian McCaffrey has been a more integral piece of his team's run game this season (69.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (58.1%).. The Giants defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, conceding 5.83 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Rushing Attempts
Tyrone Tracy Jr. logo
Tyrone Tracy Jr. o13.5 Rushing Attempts (-130)
Projection 16.03 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to run on 46.7% of their plays: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.. The 49ers defensive tackles grade out as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

63% picking San Francisco vs N.Y. Giants to go Under

37%
63%

Total PicksSF 166, NYG 284

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Over
Under

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'Skyesdaddy' picks San Francisco vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (48.5)

Skyesdaddy is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (6-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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'Skyesdaddy' is picking San Francisco to cover (-2.5)

Skyesdaddy is #1 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (6-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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'Batch9' is picking San Francisco to cover (-3.0)

Batch9 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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'Batch9' picks San Francisco vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (48.5)

Batch9 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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'Papawheelie' picks San Francisco vs N.Y. Giants to go Over (48.5)

Papawheelie is #4 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4400 units on the season.

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'Papawheelie' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+2.5)

Papawheelie is #4 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4400 units on the season.

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'Monsmon45' picks San Francisco vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (48.5)

Monsmon45 is #5 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4550 units on the season.

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'jwwong' is picking San Francisco to cover (-2.5)

jwwong is #5 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.

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NYG
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'blueminer000' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+3.0)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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'blueminer000' picks San Francisco vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (45.5)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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'swtknguy' picks San Francisco vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (45.5)

swtknguy is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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'swtknguy' is picking San Francisco to cover (-3.0)

swtknguy is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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NYG
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'Patrick9' is picking San Francisco to cover (-2.5)

Patrick9 is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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'Patrick9' picks San Francisco vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (48.5)

Patrick9 is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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