New York Giants Picks

Pick made: 3 days ago

-2.5 -122

-2.5 -137

The Giants are 0-3 against the spread this season in games where they were either favored or underdogs by less than three points.

Spread

MIN -1.5 (-106)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 days ago

-2.5 -122

-2.5 -137

The Giants ranked 29th in defensive DVOA before serving 29 points on a platter to the lowly Washington Commanders in Week 15, and New York has now surrendered the third-most yards and fourth-highest EPA per play while also allowing the fourth-most points per game to go along with a miserable 2-11 record. Of course, Minnesota quarterback J.J. McCarthy has also aired it out for 8.8 yards per attempt and the fourth-highest EPA+COPE composite for consecutive outright and against-the-spread wins the past two weeks.

MoneyLine

MIN (-129)

Best Odds

-150

Pick made: 3 days ago

-155

-154

-150

-152

The Vikings defense did enough to hold off the high-powered Cowboys on Sunday night but get a much easier opponent in the Giants offense in Week 16. Minnesota's blitz-heavy schemes and zone defense will get rookie Jaxon Dart fits. Minnesota QB J.J. McCarthy looks like he's finally healthy and settled into this playbook. The Giants are the softest defense he's faced in a long time.

Passing Attempts

J.J. McCarthy o27.5 Passing Attempts (-102)

Projection 29.6 (Over)

Best Odds

o27.5 -102

Pick made: 12 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o27.5 -115

o28.5 -110

o27.5 -102

o28.5 -125

o27.5 -127

Passing Yards

J.J. McCarthy o184.5 Passing Yards (-113)

Projection 200.24 (Over)

Best Odds

o184.5 -113

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o184.5 -113

o186.5 -110

o185.5 -114

o188.5 -115

o199.5 +115

This year, the feeble Giants defense has surrendered a monstrous 243.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-worst in football.. The New York Giants safeties rank as the 8th-worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

-113 at DraftKings

Interceptions Thrown

Jaxson Dart o0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+140)

Projection 0.79 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +140

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +135

o0.5 +130

o0.5 +140

o0.5 +110

o0.5 +127

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -3-point underdog this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Giants to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Giants ranks as the 8th-best in football this year.. The Vikings have intercepted 0.39 throws per game this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst defense in football by this standard

+140 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Tyrone Tracy Jr. o10.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 19.23 (Over)

Best Odds

o10.5 -110

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o10.5 -110

o11.5 -115

-110 at bet365

Receiving Yards

Justin Jefferson o52.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 66.24 (Over)

Best Odds

o52.5 -110

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o52.5 -110

o53.5 -114

o52.5 -118

o54.5 -135

Justin Jefferson has run a route on 96.8% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. The leading projections forecast Justin Jefferson to garner 9.3 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. The New York Giants defense has been gouged for the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (157.0) vs. wideouts this year.. The Giants pass defense has displayed weak efficiency versus wideouts this year, surrendering 8.72 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in the league.. The New York Giants safeties rank as the 8th-worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

-110 at bet365

Receiving Yards

Aaron Jones Sr. o17.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 19.75 (Over)

Best Odds

o17.5 -110

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o17.5 -110

o17.5 -115

The leading projections forecast Aaron Jones to accumulate 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.. Aaron Jones places in the 94th percentile among running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 19.0 figure this year.. This year, the deficient Giants defense has allowed a massive 34.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing RBs: the 10th-worst in the league.. This year, the weak Giants pass defense has been gouged for a staggering 85.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 7th-highest rate in football.. The New York Giants safeties rank as the 8th-worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

-110 at bet365

Receiving Yards

Theo Johnson o35.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 38.11 (Over)

Best Odds

o35.5 -110

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o35.5 -110

o35.5 -113

-110 at bet365

Rushing Yards

J.J. McCarthy o13.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Projection 20.65 (Over)

Best Odds

o13.5 -114

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o19.5 -110

o13.5 -114

o19.5 +100

o16.5 -110

A running game script is implied by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.. This year, the stout Giants run defense has yielded a feeble 5.80 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 32nd-best rate in football.. The New York Giants safeties rank as the 32nd-worst safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

-114 at FanDuel

Rushing Yards

Tyrone Tracy Jr. o47.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 58.57 (Over)

Best Odds

o47.5 -110

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o47.5 -110

o47.5 -115

o49.5 -114

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to run on 48.4% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Giants to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).. This year, the deficient Vikings run defense has yielded a whopping 130.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 10th-worst in football.

-110 at bet365

Rushing Yards

Jaxson Dart o32.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Projection 36.38 (Over)

Best Odds

o29.5 -143

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o31.5 -110

o32.5 -114

o31.5 -115

o29.5 -143

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to run on 48.4% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Giants to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).. Jaxson Dart has picked up 34.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest marks in football when it comes to QBs (97th percentile).. This year, the deficient Vikings run defense has yielded a whopping 130.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 10th-worst in football.

-143 at Caesars

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Spread

68% picking Minnesota

68% 68%

32% 32%

Total Picks MIN 353, NYG 165

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MIN

NYG

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Top User Picks

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'twobwin' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (43.5)

twobwin is #1 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +7750 units on the season.

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'twobwin' is picking Minnesota to cover (-3.0)

twobwin is #1 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +7750 units on the season.

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'swtknguy' is picking Minnesota to cover (-1.5)

swtknguy is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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NYG

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'peachiee2023' is picking Minnesota to cover (-1.5)

peachiee2023 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (9-5-0) and +7200 units on the season.

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'peachiee2023' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (43.0)

peachiee2023 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (9-5-0) and +7200 units on the season.

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'swtknguy' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Over (43.5)

swtknguy is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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'KRU' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (43.0)

KRU is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +6650 units on the season.

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'KRU' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+1.0)

KRU is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +6650 units on the season.

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NYG

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'patelnydevil289' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (43.0)

patelnydevil289 is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +6250 units on the season.

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'patelnydevil289' is picking Minnesota to cover (-1.5)

patelnydevil289 is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +6250 units on the season.

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'RAZORAZE283' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Over (43.5)

RAZORAZE283 is #4 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-1-0) and +5300 units on the season.

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'RAZORAZE283' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+3.0)

RAZORAZE283 is #4 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-1-0) and +5300 units on the season.

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'greyford' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (43.0)

greyford is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-6-0) and +6150 units on the season.

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'greyford' is picking Minnesota to cover (-1.0)

greyford is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-6-0) and +6150 units on the season.

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NYG

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'peacy454' is picking Minnesota to cover (-1.5)

peacy454 is #6 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (12-1-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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'peacy454' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (43.0)

peacy454 is #6 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (12-1-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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'chickenhawk3233' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (43.5)

chickenhawk3233 is #7 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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'chickenhawk3233' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+3.0)

chickenhawk3233 is #7 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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'bluetide007' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (43.0)

bluetide007 is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (11-3-0) and +5100 units on the season.

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'bluetide007' is picking Minnesota to cover (-1.5)

bluetide007 is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (11-3-0) and +5100 units on the season.

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MIN

NYG

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