New York Giants

4th in NFC East (2 - 13 - 0)

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Sun, Dec 28 16:05 ET

NYG @ LV Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Michael Mayer logo Michael Mayer Score a Touchdown (Yes: +500)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

This number is likely to move once Brock Bowers being shut down is fully reflected in the market, but in an indoor matchup against the Giants, there’s value on backing the new TE1 at +300 or better. Michael Mayer steps into a featured role in an offense that relies heavily on tight ends. He’s a former second-round pick and already had meaningful usage even with Bowers active. Last week against Houston, Las Vegas ran two-tight-end sets on more than 50% of its snaps, and Mayer still ran routes on 58% of passing plays. With Bowers out, that route share could climb toward 90%, putting Mayer in line for five to eight targets. At that usage, this price won’t last long.

Score a Touchdown
Tre Tucker logo
Tre Tucker Score a Touchdown (Yes: +340)
Projection 0.3 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 59.6% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. Right now, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (60.4% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Las Vegas Raiders.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The New York Giants defense has been torched for the 9th-most touchdowns through the air in football to WRs: 1.00 per game this year.
Receptions Made
Michael Mayer logo
Michael Mayer o3.5 Receptions Made (+105)
Projection 5.09 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 59.6% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The model projects Michael Mayer to garner 7.1 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs.. The leading projections forecast Michael Mayer to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack in this contest (21.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.2% in games he has played).
Passing Completions
Jaxson Dart logo
Jaxson Dart o17.5 Passing Completions (+105)
Projection 20.09 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Giants have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.5 plays per game.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Raiders defense this year (73.0% Adjusted Completion%).. The Raiders safeties project as the 3rd-worst safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.
Passing Completions
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o19.5 Passing Completions (-130)
Projection 22.46 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 59.6% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Passing Yards
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o211.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 246.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 59.6% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Giants pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency this year, giving up 7.88 adjusted yards-per-target: the 10th-most in the NFL.
Passing Yards
Jaxson Dart logo
Jaxson Dart o185.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 209.64 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Giants have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.5 plays per game.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Raiders defense this year (73.0% Adjusted Completion%).. The Raiders safeties project as the 3rd-worst safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.
Interceptions Thrown
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+111)
Projection 0.41 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Raiders to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.0 plays per game.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Raiders grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.. When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, New York's collection of LBs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Michael Mayer logo
Michael Mayer o30.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 49.65 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 59.6% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The model projects Michael Mayer to garner 7.1 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs.. The leading projections forecast Michael Mayer to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack in this contest (21.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.2% in games he has played).
Receiving Yards
Brock Bowers logo
Brock Bowers o53.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 68.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 58.7% of their chances: the 9th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Receiving Yards
Theo Johnson logo
Theo Johnson o32.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 43.37 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Giants have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.5 plays per game.. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.. The Raiders safeties project as the 3rd-worst safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.
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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

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Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'bobalten5000' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-1.0)

bobalten5000 is #1 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +5900 units on the season.

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'bostonutah' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Over (41.5)

bostonutah is #10 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4600 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'bostonutah' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+1.0)

bostonutah is #10 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4600 units on the season.

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'number46' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-1.0)

number46 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'number46' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Over (41.5)

number46 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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Over
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'rquiroz' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-1.0)

rquiroz is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (5-2-0) and +5850 units on the season.

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'swtknguy' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Over (43.5)

swtknguy is #3 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-5-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'swtknguy' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+1.5)

swtknguy is #3 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-5-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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'hungcodon' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+3.0)

hungcodon is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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'hungcodon' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Under (42.0)

hungcodon is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'kugle6' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-3.0)

kugle6 is #6 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (4-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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'kugle6' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Over (43.5)

kugle6 is #6 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (4-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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'Busch Light' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Under (42.0)

Busch Light is #6 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-6-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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'Busch Light' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-1.0)

Busch Light is #6 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-6-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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'blueminer000' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Under (41.5)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5100 units on the season.

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'blueminer000' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+1.0)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5100 units on the season.

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'WonderfulWino' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Under (41.5)

WonderfulWino is #7 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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Over
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'sweeton60' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+2.0)

sweeton60 is #9 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-5-0) and +4610 units on the season.

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'sweeton60' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Under (42.0)

sweeton60 is #9 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-5-0) and +4610 units on the season.

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Over
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'RAZORAZE283' picks N.Y. Giants vs Las Vegas to go Over (41.5)

RAZORAZE283 is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'RAZORAZE283' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (-1.0)

RAZORAZE283 is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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