New York Giants
Picks

4th in NFC East (2 - 9 - 0)

Next Game

NYGN.Y. Giants

DETDetroit

Sun, Nov 23 13:00 ET

NYG @ DET Picks

NFL Picks

Score a Touchdown

Devin Singletary Score a Touchdown (Yes: +250)

Best Odds

+260

Pick made: 2 days ago

+190

+260

+200

+194

The Giants’ backfield usage doesn’t match the touchdown odds. Devin Singletary has 13 red-zone carries to Tyrone Tracy’s three since Cam Skattebo went down, yet Tracy is priced shorter to score. That doesn’t make much sense. Last week, the backfield was a true 50/50 split, and the two combined for 35 carries. Singletary handled nine of the team’s 10 red-zone rushing attempts and scored twice. The offense isn’t pretty, but he owns the red-zone role and can handle 15-plus touches. Anything above +200 is a buy for me, even in a likely negative game script.

Spread

DET -10.5 (-110)

Best Odds

-13.0 -106

Pick made: 3 days ago

-12.5 -110

-13.0 -110

-12.5 -115

-11.5 -118

-13.0 -106

The Lions are coming off a loss to the Eagles, but they have a tendency to underperform on the road outdoors against good teams. On the other hand, they tend to blow out bad teams at home, and the 2-9 Giants are definitely bad. Detroit's two-headed rushing attack of Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery will shred a New York front that is dead-last in the league in defensive rush EPA. Even if QB Jaxson Dart returns to the Giants lineup after suffering a concussion, they don't have the weapons to move the ball against a Lions stop unit that ranks fourth in the NFL in defensive success rate.

Score a Touchdown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Score a Touchdown (Yes: -124)

Projection 0.78 (Yes)

Best Odds

-124

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

-125

-130

-124

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projections to call 65.2 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. After accruing 68.0 air yards per game last year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has shown good development this year, now averaging 80.0 per game.. Amon-Ra St. Brown's 74.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 62.4.. Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks in the 99th percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a fantastic 0.73 per game.

-124 at Caesars

Passing Completions

Jared Goff o21.5 Passing Completions (-106)

Projection 23.45 (Over)

Best Odds

o21.5 -106

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

o21.5 -110

o21.5 -106

o22.5 +105

o21.5 -115

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projections to call 65.2 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Jared Goff grades out as one of the most on-target QBs in football this year with an excellent 70.3% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.. The Giants cornerbacks rank as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.

-106 at FanDuel

Passing Attempts

Jameis Winston o33.5 Passing Attempts (+108)

Projection 35.56 (Over)

Best Odds

o33.5 +108

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o33.5 +108

o33.5 -125

o33.5 -106

This week's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Giants, who are giant -10.5-point underdogs.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to have 130.2 plays on offense called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Giants this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

+108 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Jared Goff o251.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Projection 285.71 (Over)

Best Odds

o251.5 -114

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

o253.5 -113

o251.5 -114

o255.5 -115

o253.5 -115

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projections to call 65.2 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. Jared Goff grades out as one of the most on-target QBs in football this year with an excellent 70.3% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.. Jared Goff comes in as one of the most efficient QBs in the NFL this year, averaging a fantastic 8.14 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 88th percentile.. This year, the weak New York Giants defense has been torched for a monstrous 246.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the 9th-worst in the NFL.

-114 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Jameis Winston o225.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Projection 233.31 (Over)

Best Odds

o223.5 -115

Pick made: 15 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o225.5 -114

o223.5 -115

o224.5 -115

-115 at BetMGM

Receiving Yards

Jahmyr Gibbs o27.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 39.04 (Over)

Best Odds

o25.5 -140

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o30.5 -112

o27.5 -114

o25.5 -140

o28.5 -112

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projections to call 65.2 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. This week, Jahmyr Gibbs is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 96th percentile among running backs with 5.6 targets.. With a sizeable 15.2% Target Rate (97th percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs rates as one of the pass-game running backs with the most usage in football.. Jahmyr Gibbs ranks as one of the top pass-game running backs this year, averaging a stellar 31.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

-140 at BetMGM

Receiving Yards

Amon-Ra St. Brown o77.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 94.01 (Over)

Best Odds

o77.5 -114

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

o79.5 -114

o77.5 -114

o82.5 -115

o78.5 -117

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projections to call 65.2 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. The model projects Amon-Ra St. Brown to accumulate 10.6 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.. After accruing 68.0 air yards per game last year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has shown good development this year, now averaging 80.0 per game.. This year, the poor Giants defense has surrendered a whopping 163.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 7th-most in football.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Brock Wright o20.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 28.93 (Over)

Best Odds

o20.5 -114

Pick made: 11 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o21.5 -112

o20.5 -114

o20.5 -118

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projections to call 65.2 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.. The predictive model expects Brock Wright to be much more involved in his team's passing offense in this contest (11.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.9% in games he has played).. As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, New York's group of safeties has been very bad this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Wan'Dale Robinson o53.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 65.43 (Over)

Best Odds

o53.5 -113

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o53.5 -113

o53.5 -114

o54.5 -118

o54.5 -114

-113 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

Theo Johnson o35.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 42.62 (Over)

Best Odds

o35.5 -114

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

o36.5 -109

o35.5 -114

o36.5 -110

o35.5 -118

-114 at FanDuel

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Spread

70% picking Detroit

30% 30%

70% 70%

Total Picks NYG 208, DET 497

Spread

NYG

DET

Spread

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NYG @ DET Picks

Consensus Picks

70% picking Detroit

Top User Picks

'Manning2008SB' is picking Detroit to cover (-10.5)

'Manning2008SB' picks N.Y. Giants vs Detroit to go Under (49.5)

'jenjay23' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+10.5)

'jenjay23' picks N.Y. Giants vs Detroit to go Under (49.5)

'RAZORAZE283' picks N.Y. Giants vs Detroit to go Over (50.0)

'cashbb1030' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+10.5)

'cashbb1030' picks N.Y. Giants vs Detroit to go Under (50.0)

'Batch9' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+11.5)

'Batch9' picks N.Y. Giants vs Detroit to go Under (49.5)

'CappersClub' picks N.Y. Giants vs Detroit to go Over (50.0)

'CappersClub' is picking Detroit to cover (-10.0)

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