New York Giants

4th in NFC East (2 - 10 - 0)

Next Game

NYGN.Y. Giants New York
at
New England NENew England
Mon, Dec 1 20:15 ET

NYG @ NE Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Mack Hollins logo Mack Hollins Score a Touchdown (Yes: +300)
Best Odds
 +300 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +275
 +300
 +280
 -
 +275

Only the Steelers allow more receiving yards to opposing wide receivers than the Giants, who have also conceded 12 WR TDs which ranks as tied for the eighth most in football. It also helps that it's Drake Maye and a handful of high-priced WRs on Monday night. It was Mack Hollins who had the most WR targets (six) in Week 12 vs. the Bengals and his 78% route share paced all New England offensive players. He is also tied for the WR lead in RZ targets since Week 9, as Stefon Diggs' usage is oddly trending down. Do I feel confident with a Mack Hollins TD to wrap up Week 13? Not really, but the usage and price are the most important things here. The matchup doesn't get any easier either. I'd play this to +260. 

Rushing Yards
TreVeyon Henderson logo TreVeyon Henderson o65.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
o65.5 -111 Caesars
Pick made: yesterday
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
o65.5  -112
 -
o65.5  -114
o66.5  -115
o65.5  -111

The Pats drafted Henderson early in the second round after a fantastic career at Ohio State. Henderson broke out with a 75-yard performance against the Browns in Week 8 and had a career-high 147 rushing yards versus the Bucs in Week 10. There was some concern that his role would decline following the return of Rhamondre Stevenson last week. However, Stevenson finished with six carries for just five yards while Henderson logged 18 carries for 66 yards. This week Henderson and the Pats face a Giants squad that has been getting gashed on the ground. The Giants are dead-last in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (157.2), yards allowed per carry (5.9), and DVOA against the run. 

Read Full Analysis
Spread
New England Patriots logo NE -7.5 (-103)
Best Odds
-7.5 -102 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
-7.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
-7.0  -110
-7.5  -102
These are quick bet odds
-7.0  -125
These are quick bet odds
-7.0  -109
These are quick bet odds

The Giants haven’t won on the road all season, and the Pats have rolled off nine straight wins with quarterback Drake Maye pacing the NFL in adjusted EPA per play and completion percentage during the run. Plus, New York entered Week 12 ranked 28th in defensive DVOA and has allowed the third-most points per game.

Passing Yards
Drake Maye logo
Drake Maye u243.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 225.04 (Under)
Best Odds
u244.5 -113 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
u244.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
 -
u244.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
u237.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u243.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
The Patriots are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 53.4% of their chances: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are forecasted by the model to call only 62.9 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
-113 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Jaxson Dart logo
Jaxson Dart u205.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 190.48 (Under)
Best Odds
u206.5 -112 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u206.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
u205.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
u206.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u205.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
Right now, the 3rd-least pass-focused team in the league (56.8% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Giants.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have just 125.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.. The predictive model expects Jaxson Dart to attempt 31.8 passes in this game, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.. Jaxson Dart is positioned as one of the weakest QBs in football this year, averaging 158.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 17th percentile.. When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New England's collection of LBs has been great this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.
-112 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
TreVeyon Henderson logo
TreVeyon Henderson o14.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 19.93 (Over)
Best Odds
o14.5 -114 DraftKings
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o14.5  -114
 -
o14.5  -114
o16.5  -118
o14.5  -115
The New York Giants defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.5 per game) this year.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 7th-best in football this year.. This year, the weak Giants pass defense has given up a massive 85.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 8th-highest rate in the NFL.. The New York Giants safeties profile as the 7th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
-114 at DraftKings
Receiving Yards
Tyrone Tracy Jr. logo
Tyrone Tracy Jr. o17.5 Receiving Yards (-109)
Projection 19.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o14.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o17.5  -109
These are quick bet odds
 -
o14.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o16.5  -140
These are quick bet odds
o15.5  -122
These are quick bet odds
The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The Giants have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.. The New York offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Theo Johnson logo
Theo Johnson o32.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 36.09 (Over)
Best Odds
o31.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o32.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o31.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o31.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o31.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The Giants have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.. The New York offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.. This year, the feeble New England Patriots defense has been gouged for a massive 63.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 8th-worst in the NFL.. The Patriots pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79.9%) to TEs this year (79.9%).
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Hunter Henry logo
Hunter Henry o37.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 40.64 (Over)
Best Odds
o37.5 -115 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o37.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
 -
o38.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o37.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o38.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The New York Giants defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.5 per game) this year.. Our trusted projections expect Hunter Henry to earn 5.3 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to TEs.. Hunter Henry has compiled a monstrous 42.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 7th-best in football this year.. Hunter Henry comes in as one of the top pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an outstanding 44.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.
-115 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Drake Maye logo
Drake Maye o21.5 Rushing Yards (-107)
Projection 29.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o20.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
o21.5  -107
These are quick bet odds
 -
o20.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o21.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o20.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
The Patriots are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. The projections expect the New England Patriots as the 7th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Giants defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 6.08 adjusted yards-per-carry.. The Giants safeties rank as the 32nd-worst unit in football this year in regard to run defense.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Jaxson Dart logo
Jaxson Dart o25.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 32.94 (Over)
Best Odds
o25.5 -114 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o25.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o25.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o26.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o25.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The projections expect the Giants to be the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 43.2% run rate.. The Giants have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.. In this week's contest, Jaxson Dart is projected by the projections to earn the 4th-most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 6.7. . Jaxson Dart isn't afraid to run the ball, making up 19.9% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among quarterbacks.. With a remarkable total of 36.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (100th percentile), Jaxson Dart rates as one of the leading running quarterbacks in football this year.
-114 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
TreVeyon Henderson logo
TreVeyon Henderson u65.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Projection 62.14 (Under)
Best Odds
u66.5 -115 BetMGM
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u65.5  -112
 -
u65.5  -114
u66.5  -115
u65.5  -122
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are forecasted by the model to call only 62.9 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
-115 at BetMGM

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Total

60% picking N.Y. Giants vs New England to go Over

60%
40%

Total PicksNYG 233, NE 154

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -103
46.5 -100

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
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'gordon2_4' is picking New England to cover (-7.5)

gordon2_4 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (7-5-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
NE
Spread
+7.0 -103
-6.5 -111
Total

'gordon2_4' picks N.Y. Giants vs New England to go Under (46.5)

gordon2_4 is #10 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (7-5-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -103
46.5 -100
Spread

'Manning2008SB' is picking New England to cover (-7.5)

Manning2008SB is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
NE
Spread
+7.0 -103
-6.5 -111
Total

'Manning2008SB' picks N.Y. Giants vs New England to go Under (46.5)

Manning2008SB is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -103
46.5 -100
Spread

'Alexmaldonado' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+7.5)

Alexmaldonado is #6 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
NE
Spread
+7.0 -103
-6.5 -111
Total

'Alexmaldonado' picks N.Y. Giants vs New England to go Over (46.5)

Alexmaldonado is #6 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -103
46.5 -100
Spread

'swtknguy' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+7.5)

swtknguy is #7 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (7-4-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
NE
Spread
+7.0 -103
-6.5 -111
Total

'swtknguy' picks N.Y. Giants vs New England to go Over (46.5)

swtknguy is #7 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (7-4-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -103
46.5 -100
Spread

'simoncald' is picking New England to cover (-7.5)

simoncald is #7 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
NE
Spread
+7.0 -103
-6.5 -111
Total

'simoncald' picks N.Y. Giants vs New England to go Over (46.5)

simoncald is #7 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -103
46.5 -100
Spread

'nfl_brosuf' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+7.5)

nfl_brosuf is #8 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
NE
Spread
+7.0 -103
-6.5 -111
Spread

'blueminer000' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+7.5)

blueminer000 is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
NE
Spread
+7.0 -103
-6.5 -111
Total

'blueminer000' picks N.Y. Giants vs New England to go Over (46.5)

blueminer000 is #8 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -103
46.5 -100
Spread

'cashbb1030' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+7.5)

cashbb1030 is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Spread
NYG
NE
Spread
+7.0 -103
-6.5 -111
Total

'cashbb1030' picks N.Y. Giants vs New England to go Over (46.5)

cashbb1030 is #9 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -103
46.5 -100

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