Minnesota Vikings

3rd in NFC North (6 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 15 13:00 ET

MIN @ GB Picks

NFL Picks
Total
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail Green Bay Packers image thumbnail u42.5 (-113)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
Joe Osborne logo
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

Minnesota has been an Under machine, with 15 of its last 17 games finishing below the total. Fourteen of those contests featured fewer than 40 combined points, and Vikings games are averaging a league-low 32.75 points this season. Both defenses rank among the NFL's top five in yards per play allowed, and the teams are a combined 13-4 to the Under this season. Expecting Kirk Cousins to immediately breathe life into this offense in his first game back, especially outdoors against a tough Green Bay defense, seems unrealistic.

Moneyline
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail GB (-150)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Vikings stop unit is playing on a short week after logging more than 42 minutes of work in Monday’s loss to Buffalo. Minnesota has spent an average of 36:41 on the field over the last three weeks and the wear and tear is starting to show. Linebackers Blake Cashman (concussion) and Kyle Van Noy (calf) run the risk of missing Week 10. The Packers are a long way removed from the team that lost to the Vikings in Week 1. Jordan Love looks like an MVP candidate and has been surgical when it comes to taking apart blitzing defenses.

Anytime Touchdown
Justin Jefferson logo Justin Jefferson Score a Touchdown (Yes: +178)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Despite the quarterback upgrade with former Vikings QB Kirk Cousins coming back to Minnesota, Week 10 offers the best Justin Jefferson TD price of the season and one I'd play to 2.6x. Jefferson has still hit his TD prop in half of his last four games despite poor quarterback play. If the Green Bay offense continues to put up points, Cousins could be forced to drop back 40 times, but that's not asking much from a QB who ranks fourth in the league in pass attempts this season. Cousins is familiar with Kevin O'Connell's system from his time in Minnesota in 2022 and 2023, but let's not kid ourselves: the Vikings aren't going to roll with Max Brosmer or Carson Wentz this week. It's feed JJ time in Minnesota.

Anytime Touchdown
Tucker Kraft logo Tucker Kraft Score a Touchdown (Yes: +255)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Tucker Kraft is popular target, drawing nine passes inside the 20-yard line for seven receptions and three touchdowns. Kraft does his best work against zone coverage which is something Brian Flores utilizes almost exclusively and may catch a break if Cashman sits, as he’s Minnesota’s top coverage linebacker. Touchdown forecasts for Green Bay’s TE range from 30% to 40% in Week 10.

Anytime Touchdown
Justin Jefferson logo Justin Jefferson Score a Touchdown (Yes: +178)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

I price Justin Jefferson at 44% to score, making 36% an easy buy. The market seems to be ignoring Kirk Cousins' return to Minnesota. There's no chemistry adjustment needed here, as Cousins and Jefferson already know each other well, with Jefferson enjoying the best seasons of his career with Cousins under center.

Receiving Yards
SW Savion Williams o19.5 Receiving Yards (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Williams has stepped into the WR3 role, giving Love a big target in the slot. He’s caught 11 of 13 targets for game outputs of five, 25, 32, and 47 yards. The Vikes have been exposed by slot options, most recently allowing Buffalo’s Khalil Shakir to pick up 58 yards on four receptions. Williams’ Week 10 projections vary, sitting between 15 and 24.5 yards. My projection comes out to 20 yards receiving but I see a higher ceiling, considering the matchup. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB
Moneyline
Tucker Kraft profile picture
Tucker Kraft Score a Touchdown (Yes)
Anytime Touchdown
SW
Savion Williams o19.5 Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards
Bet now
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Kirk Cousins deal doesn’t do much for me and only offers better return on the Packers’ moneyline at home. This stop unit is great but it’s possibly down some key guys and playing on a short week after logging major minutes on MNF. Tucker Kraft had a nice day against the Vikings in Week 1 and has been a red zone threat in recent weeks, with two TDs in his last three games. Savion Williams could be just what the Packers need to bust this Vikings defense. The burly slot receiver is a quick hit who can pick up yards after the catch. His projections sit as high as 24+ yards in Week 10.

Passing Yards
Jordan Love logo
Jordan Love o253.5 Passing Yards (-112) Projection 264.65 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.3. . Jordan Love has thrown for significantly more adjusted yards per game (251.0) this year than he did last year (210.0).
Passing Yards
Kirk Cousins logo
Kirk Cousins o227.5 Passing Yards (-115) Projection 240.10 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. Kirk Cousins has thrown for significantly more adjusted yards per game (235.0) this season than he did last season (141.0).
Rushing Yards
Kirk Cousins logo
Kirk Cousins o0.5 Rushing Yards (-110) Projection 6.93 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
Rushing Yards
Jordan Mason logo
Jordan Mason o45.5 Rushing Yards (-114) Projection 54.23 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Out of all running backs, Jordan Mason grades out in the 84th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 50.0% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.
Rushing Yards
Jordan Love logo
Jordan Love o3.5 Rushing Yards (-117) Projection 4.90 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3-point favorite in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Receiving Yards
Jordan Mason logo
Jordan Mason o3.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 9.67 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.
Receiving Yards
Tucker Kraft logo
Tucker Kraft o37.5 Receiving Yards (-110) Projection 42.26 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. The model projects Tucker Kraft to earn 5.9 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.. Tucker Kraft has accrued many more air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (25.0 per game).
Receiving Yards
Matthew Golden logo
Matthew Golden o70.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 76.20 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.
Receiving Yards
Justin Jefferson logo
Justin Jefferson o80.5 Receiving Yards (-114) Projection 82.67 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. With a remarkable 53.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (85th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson places as one of the top WRs in the game in the NFL.
Passing Attempts
Kirk Cousins logo
Kirk Cousins o32.5 Passing Attempts (-124) Projection 36.96 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

63% picking Green Bay

37%
63%

Total Picks MIN 287, GB 487

Spread
MIN
GB
Total

49% picking Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Under

51%
49%

Total PicksMIN 210, GB 202

Total
Over
Under

MIN @ GB · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -2.5 spread
-4.48 PROJECTION
-2.0 DIFFERENCE
9.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -2.5 spread

PROJECTION

-4.48 PROJECTION
-2.0 DIFFERENCE
9.45% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-3.5 +102
BetRivers logo
TOTAL
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
Over 41.5 Total
45.66 OVER PROJECTION
+4.2 DIFFERENCE
19.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
Over 41.5 Total

PROJECTION

45.66 OVER PROJECTION
+4.2 DIFFERENCE
19.4% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o41.5 -113
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o253.5 Passing Yards
264.65 OVER PROJECTION
+11.1 DIFFERENCE
23.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o253.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

264.65 OVER PROJECTION
+11.1 DIFFERENCE
23.04% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.3. . Jordan Love has thrown for significantly more adjusted yards per game (251.0) this year than he did last year (210.0).

o250.5 -117
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o227.5 Passing Yards
240.10 OVER PROJECTION
+12.6 DIFFERENCE
20.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o227.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

240.10 OVER PROJECTION
+12.6 DIFFERENCE
20.34% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. Kirk Cousins has thrown for significantly more adjusted yards per game (235.0) this season than he did last season (141.0).

o226.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RUSHING YARDS
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards
6.93 OVER PROJECTION
+6.4 DIFFERENCE
26.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

6.93 OVER PROJECTION
+6.4 DIFFERENCE
26.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

o0.5 -110
FanDuel logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o45.5 Rushing Yards
54.23 OVER PROJECTION
+8.7 DIFFERENCE
25.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o45.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

54.23 OVER PROJECTION
+8.7 DIFFERENCE
25.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Out of all running backs, Jordan Mason grades out in the 84th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 50.0% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

o44.5 -114
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o3.5 Rushing Yards
4.90 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
18.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o3.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

4.90 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
18.05% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3-point favorite in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

o3.5 -117
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o3.5 Receiving Yards
9.67 OVER PROJECTION
+6.2 DIFFERENCE
26.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o3.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

9.67 OVER PROJECTION
+6.2 DIFFERENCE
26.35% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.

o2.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o37.5 Receiving Yards
42.26 OVER PROJECTION
+4.8 DIFFERENCE
22.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o37.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

42.26 OVER PROJECTION
+4.8 DIFFERENCE
22.48% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. The model projects Tucker Kraft to earn 5.9 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.. Tucker Kraft has accrued many more air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (25.0 per game).

o36.5 -110
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o70.5 Receiving Yards
76.20 OVER PROJECTION
+5.7 DIFFERENCE
22.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o70.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

76.20 OVER PROJECTION
+5.7 DIFFERENCE
22.26% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.

o67.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) o80.5 Receiving Yards
82.67 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
18.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) o80.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

82.67 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
18.55% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. With a remarkable 53.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (85th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson places as one of the top WRs in the game in the NFL.

o79.5 -125
theScore Bet logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o0.5 Receptions Made
1.55 OVER PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
15.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o0.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

1.55 OVER PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
15.49% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.

o0.5 -175
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made
5.93 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
11.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.93 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
11.92% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.

o4.5 -205
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) o6.5 Receptions Made
6.52 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) o6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

6.52 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.18% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. Justin Jefferson grades out as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 3.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 84th percentile.

o5.5 -220
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.20 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.20 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.76% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3-point favorite in this game.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.. Tucker Kraft's 30.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 36.8.. The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.. Tucker Kraft's 70.2% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a substantial drop-off in his receiving prowess over last year's 80.4% rate.

u4.5 -165
BetMGM logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o11.5 Rushing Attempts
12.19 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
12.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o11.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

12.19 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
12.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The projections expect Jordan Mason to accumulate 12.4 carries in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Out of all running backs, Jordan Mason grades out in the 84th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 50.0% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

o11.5 -103
BetRivers logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o32.5 Passing Attempts
36.96 OVER PROJECTION
+4.5 DIFFERENCE
20.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o32.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

36.96 OVER PROJECTION
+4.5 DIFFERENCE
20.36% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.

o32.5 -121
Caesars Odds logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o35.5 Passing Attempts
36.92 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
11.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o35.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

36.92 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
11.19% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.6.

o34.5 -129
BetRivers logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o21.5 Passing Completions
23.00 OVER PROJECTION
+1.5 DIFFERENCE
15.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o21.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

23.00 OVER PROJECTION
+1.5 DIFFERENCE
15.34% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.6.

o21.5 -105
theScore Bet logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o21.5 Passing Completions
22.35 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
8.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o21.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

22.35 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
8.49% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.

o20.5 -127
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.51 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.51 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.6% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.

+166
Caesars Odds logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Pierre Strong Jr. logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
P. Strong Jr. (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Pierre Strong Jr. logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
P. Strong Jr. (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.15% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.6% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. The rushing TD line reads "0" on Pierre Strong's box scores this year.

+500
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.42% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (65.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. In this contest, Kirk Cousins is projected by the projection model to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 38.4.

+1700
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.5 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.5 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.01% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (65.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline.

+150
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.31 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.31 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0.29% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.6% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. With a top-tier 17.3% Red Zone Target Rate (85th percentile) this year, Tucker Kraft places as one of the tight ends with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.

+225
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-6.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-6.29% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (65.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline.

+210
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-20.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-20.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.6% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.3.

+900
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
1.31 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
16.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

1.31 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
16.67% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. Kirk Cousins has thrown 0.81 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 21st percentile among quarterbacks.

o0.5 -132
FanDuel logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.6.

o0.5 -137
BetRivers logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -2.5 spread
-4.48 PROJECTION
-2.0 DIFFERENCE
9.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -2.5 spread

PROJECTION

-4.48 PROJECTION
-2.0 DIFFERENCE
9.45% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-3.5 +102
BetRivers logo
TOTAL
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
Over 41.5 Total
45.66 OVER PROJECTION
+4.2 DIFFERENCE
19.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
Over 41.5 Total

PROJECTION

45.66 OVER PROJECTION
+4.2 DIFFERENCE
19.4% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o41.5 -113
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o253.5 Passing Yards
264.65 OVER PROJECTION
+11.1 DIFFERENCE
23.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o253.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

264.65 OVER PROJECTION
+11.1 DIFFERENCE
23.04% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.3. . Jordan Love has thrown for significantly more adjusted yards per game (251.0) this year than he did last year (210.0).

o250.5 -117
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o227.5 Passing Yards
240.10 OVER PROJECTION
+12.6 DIFFERENCE
20.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o227.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

240.10 OVER PROJECTION
+12.6 DIFFERENCE
20.34% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. Kirk Cousins has thrown for significantly more adjusted yards per game (235.0) this season than he did last season (141.0).

o226.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RUSHING YARDS
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards
6.93 OVER PROJECTION
+6.4 DIFFERENCE
26.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

6.93 OVER PROJECTION
+6.4 DIFFERENCE
26.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

o0.5 -110
FanDuel logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o45.5 Rushing Yards
54.23 OVER PROJECTION
+8.7 DIFFERENCE
25.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o45.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

54.23 OVER PROJECTION
+8.7 DIFFERENCE
25.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Out of all running backs, Jordan Mason grades out in the 84th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 50.0% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

o44.5 -114
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o3.5 Rushing Yards
4.90 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
18.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o3.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

4.90 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
18.05% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3-point favorite in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

o3.5 -117
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o3.5 Receiving Yards
9.67 OVER PROJECTION
+6.2 DIFFERENCE
26.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o3.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

9.67 OVER PROJECTION
+6.2 DIFFERENCE
26.35% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.

o2.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o37.5 Receiving Yards
42.26 OVER PROJECTION
+4.8 DIFFERENCE
22.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o37.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

42.26 OVER PROJECTION
+4.8 DIFFERENCE
22.48% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. The model projects Tucker Kraft to earn 5.9 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.. Tucker Kraft has accrued many more air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (25.0 per game).

o36.5 -110
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o70.5 Receiving Yards
76.20 OVER PROJECTION
+5.7 DIFFERENCE
22.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o70.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

76.20 OVER PROJECTION
+5.7 DIFFERENCE
22.26% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.

o67.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) o80.5 Receiving Yards
82.67 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
18.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) o80.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

82.67 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
18.55% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. With a remarkable 53.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (85th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson places as one of the top WRs in the game in the NFL.

o79.5 -125
theScore Bet logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o0.5 Receptions Made
1.55 OVER PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
15.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o0.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

1.55 OVER PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
15.49% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.

o0.5 -175
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made
5.93 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
11.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.93 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
11.92% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.

o4.5 -205
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) o6.5 Receptions Made
6.52 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) o6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

6.52 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.18% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. Justin Jefferson grades out as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 3.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 84th percentile.

o5.5 -220
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.20 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.20 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.76% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3-point favorite in this game.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.. Tucker Kraft's 30.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 36.8.. The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.. Tucker Kraft's 70.2% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a substantial drop-off in his receiving prowess over last year's 80.4% rate.

u4.5 -165
BetMGM logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o11.5 Rushing Attempts
12.19 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
12.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o11.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

12.19 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
12.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The projections expect Jordan Mason to accumulate 12.4 carries in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Out of all running backs, Jordan Mason grades out in the 84th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 50.0% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

o11.5 -103
BetRivers logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o32.5 Passing Attempts
36.96 OVER PROJECTION
+4.5 DIFFERENCE
20.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o32.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

36.96 OVER PROJECTION
+4.5 DIFFERENCE
20.36% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.

o32.5 -121
Caesars Odds logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o35.5 Passing Attempts
36.92 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
11.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o35.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

36.92 OVER PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
11.19% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.6.

o34.5 -129
BetRivers logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o21.5 Passing Completions
23.00 OVER PROJECTION
+1.5 DIFFERENCE
15.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o21.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

23.00 OVER PROJECTION
+1.5 DIFFERENCE
15.34% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.6.

o21.5 -105
theScore Bet logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o21.5 Passing Completions
22.35 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
8.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o21.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

22.35 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
8.49% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.

o20.5 -127
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.51 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.51 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.6% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.

+166
Caesars Odds logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Pierre Strong Jr. logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
P. Strong Jr. (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Pierre Strong Jr. logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
P. Strong Jr. (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.15% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.6% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. The rushing TD line reads "0" on Pierre Strong's box scores this year.

+500
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.42% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (65.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. In this contest, Kirk Cousins is projected by the projection model to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 38.4.

+1700
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.5 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.5 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.01% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (65.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline.

+150
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.31 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.31 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0.29% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.6% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. With a top-tier 17.3% Red Zone Target Rate (85th percentile) this year, Tucker Kraft places as one of the tight ends with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.

+225
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-6.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-6.29% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (65.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may decline.

+210
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-20.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-20.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.6% red zone pass rate.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.3.

+900
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
1.31 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
16.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Kirk Cousins logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
K. Cousins (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

1.31 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
16.67% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. Kirk Cousins has thrown 0.81 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 21st percentile among quarterbacks.

o0.5 -132
FanDuel logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.6.

o0.5 -137
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Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'A_LowaEast' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Under (42.5)

A_LowaEast is #1 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5900 units on the season.

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'A_LowaEast' is picking Green Bay to cover (-3.5)

A_LowaEast is #1 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5900 units on the season.

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'Gunner28' is picking Green Bay to cover (-2.5)

Gunner28 is #10 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +3750 units on the season.

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GB
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'Gunner28' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Over (42.5)

Gunner28 is #10 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +3750 units on the season.

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'WarEagle7' is picking Green Bay to cover (-4.5)

WarEagle7 is #10 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +3950 units on the season.

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GB
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'Layne17' is picking Green Bay to cover (-3.5)

Layne17 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4950 units on the season.

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'Layne17' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Under (41.5)

Layne17 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4950 units on the season.

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'ldcpicks' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Under (40.5)

ldcpicks is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'ldcpicks' is picking Green Bay to cover (-5.5)

ldcpicks is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'DIEASU' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Over (41.5)

DIEASU is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'DIEASU' is picking Minnesota to cover (+3.5)

DIEASU is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'bpcollins' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Under (41.5)

bpcollins is #6 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3800 units on the season.

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'bpcollins' is picking Minnesota to cover (+3.5)

bpcollins is #6 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3800 units on the season.

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'jalayn2' is picking Green Bay to cover (-3.5)

jalayn2 is #7 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4450 units on the season.

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'jalayn2' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Under (41.5)

jalayn2 is #7 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4450 units on the season.

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'dmoney1981' is picking Green Bay to cover (-4.5)

dmoney1981 is #8 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +3750 units on the season.

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'dmoney1981' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Over (41.5)

dmoney1981 is #8 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +3750 units on the season.

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'Geo Lazos' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Under (42.5)

Geo Lazos is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4350 units on the season.

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'Geo Lazos' is picking Minnesota to cover (+3.5)

Geo Lazos is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4350 units on the season.

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GB

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