Minnesota Vikings

4th in NFC North (4 - 6 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 23 13:00 ET

MIN @ GB Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
JW Josh Whyle Score a Touchdown (Yes: +1200)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

I’ve seen enough of JJ McCarthy to avoid all Minnesota skill players against this defense, but Josh Whyle is a name I’m excited to take a swing on at this number. With Tucker Kraft out, there’s no clear answer at tight end, which opens the door for Whyle. He stole snaps from Luke Musgrave last week and scored on his only target. No Packers tight end had more than one catch, and the wide receiver room is crowded again with players returning. Add in the uncertainty around Josh Jacobs’ knee, and there may be a need for auxiliary help near the goal line. Whyle’s role is growing as he enters his third game with the team, and at this price, I’m comfortable throwing a full-unit dart.

Passing Yards
Jordan Love logo
Jordan Love u242.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Projection 223.87 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With a 6.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.84 seconds per play.. The projections expect Jordan Love to attempt 32.8 passes this week, on average: the 9th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
Passing Yards
J.J. McCarthy logo
J.J. McCarthy o187.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Projection 200.23 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.92 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.
Receiving Yards
Romeo Doubs logo
Romeo Doubs o47.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 55.16 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The predictive model expects Romeo Doubs to accumulate 7.0 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 79th percentile among WRs.. After accumulating 66.0 air yards per game last year, Romeo Doubs has seen a big uptick this year, currently pacing 84.0 per game.. Romeo Doubs's 58.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 48.6.. With a stellar 49.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (77th percentile) this year, Romeo Doubs has been among the best WRs in the NFL in the NFL.. This year, the shaky Vikings defense has allowed the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a massive 8.89 yards.
Receiving Yards
Aaron Jones Sr. logo
Aaron Jones Sr. o15.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 19.74 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.92 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. The projections expect Aaron Jones to accrue 4.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among running backs.. Aaron Jones has notched a monstrous 4.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Receiving Yards
T.J. Hockenson logo
T.J. Hockenson o24.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 27.33 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.92 seconds per snap.. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. The projections expect T.J. Hockenson to garner 4.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to TEs.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.
Rushing Yards
Aaron Jones Sr. logo
Aaron Jones Sr. o52.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 56.89 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.92 seconds per snap.
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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'bigsmoke21169' is picking Minnesota to cover (+6.5)

bigsmoke21169 is #10 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'bigsmoke21169' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Over (43.5)

bigsmoke21169 is #10 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'Sandsaver727' is picking Minnesota to cover (+6.5)

Sandsaver727 is #2 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (6-4-0) and +5300 units on the season.

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'Sandsaver727' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Under (43.5)

Sandsaver727 is #2 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (6-4-0) and +5300 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'number46' is picking Minnesota to cover (+6.5)

number46 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +6850 units on the season.

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'number46' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Over (41.0)

number46 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +6850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'Jhusagic' is picking Green Bay to cover (-6.0)

Jhusagic is #4 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'Jhusagic' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Over (42.0)

Jhusagic is #4 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'Roundrobinking' is picking Minnesota to cover (+6.5)

Roundrobinking is #5 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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'Roundrobinking' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Under (40.5)

Roundrobinking is #5 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'rhinorey' is picking Green Bay to cover (-6.5)

rhinorey is #6 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +5400 units on the season.

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'Batch9' is picking Minnesota to cover (+6.5)

Batch9 is #8 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +5300 units on the season.

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GB
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'Batch9' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Over (43.5)

Batch9 is #8 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +5300 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'greyford' is picking Green Bay to cover (-6.5)

greyford is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-4-0) and +5300 units on the season.

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GB
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'greyford' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Under (43.5)

greyford is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-4-0) and +5300 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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