Minnesota Vikings Picks

Pick made: yesterday

-2.5 -122

-3.0 -108

The Giants are 0-3 against the spread this season in games where they were either favored or underdogs by less than three points.

Spread

MIN -1.5 (-106)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

-2.5 -122

-3.0 -108

The Giants ranked 29th in defensive DVOA before serving 29 points on a platter to the lowly Washington Commanders in Week 15, and New York has now surrendered the third-most yards and fourth-highest EPA per play while also allowing the fourth-most points per game to go along with a miserable 2-11 record. Of course, Minnesota quarterback J.J. McCarthy has also aired it out for 8.8 yards per attempt and the fourth-highest EPA+COPE composite for consecutive outright and against-the-spread wins the past two weeks.

MoneyLine

MIN (-129)

Best Odds

-150

Pick made: yesterday

-155

-152

-150

-152

The Vikings defense did enough to hold off the high-powered Cowboys on Sunday night but get a much easier opponent in the Giants offense in Week 16. Minnesota's blitz-heavy schemes and zone defense will get rookie Jaxon Dart fits. Minnesota QB J.J. McCarthy looks like he's finally healthy and settled into this playbook. The Giants are the softest defense he's faced in a long time.

Receptions Made

Aaron Jones Sr. u3.5 Receptions Made (-125)

Projection 2.69 (Under)

Best Odds

u3.5 -125

Pick made: 7 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u3.5 -125

u3.5 -135

A running game script is implied by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Vikings to pass on 55.4% of their chances: the 11th-lowest rate on the slate this week.. The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a lowly 51.1 per game on average).. Aaron Jones's receiving talent has diminished this season, notching a mere 1.9 adjusted receptions vs 3.0 last season.. Aaron Jones's 73.7% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a remarkable decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 88.9% figure.

-125 at bet365

Passing Attempts

J.J. McCarthy o27.5 Passing Attempts (-108)

Projection 30.07 (Over)

Best Odds

o27.5 -108

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

o27.5 -125

o28.5 -110

o27.5 -108

o28.5 -110

o27.5 -127

-108 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

J.J. McCarthy o182.5 Passing Yards (-111)

Projection 197.08 (Over)

Best Odds

o182.5 -111

Pick made: 11 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o182.5 -111

o186.5 -110

o185.5 -114

o186.5 -115

o184.5 -114

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have 130.6 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. This year, the feeble Giants defense has surrendered a monstrous 243.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-worst in football.. This year, the poor Giants defense has been torched for the 10th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a whopping 7.82 yards.. The New York Giants safeties rank as the 8th-worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

-111 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

Tyrone Tracy Jr. o12.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 19.37 (Over)

Best Odds

o12.5 -110

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o12.5 -110

A throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a -3-point underdog this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Giants to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Giants ranks as the 8th-best in football this year.

-110 at bet365

Receiving Yards

Justin Jefferson o53.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 65.04 (Over)

Best Odds

o53.5 -110

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o53.5 -110

o53.5 -118

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have 130.6 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.. Justin Jefferson has run a route on 96.8% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. The leading projections forecast Justin Jefferson to garner 9.4 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. The New York Giants defense has been gouged for the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (157.0) vs. wideouts this year.. The Giants pass defense has displayed weak efficiency versus wideouts this year, surrendering 8.70 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in the league.

-110 at bet365

Receiving Yards

Theo Johnson o35.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 38.51 (Over)

Best Odds

o35.5 -110

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o35.5 -110

-110 at bet365

Receiving Yards

Aaron Jones Sr. u21.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 19.64 (Under)

Best Odds

u21.5 -110

Pick made: 7 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u21.5 -110

u21.5 -115

A running game script is implied by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Vikings to pass on 55.4% of their chances: the 11th-lowest rate on the slate this week.. The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a lowly 51.1 per game on average).. Aaron Jones has accrued substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (15.0) this year than he did last year (27.0).. Aaron Jones's 73.7% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a remarkable decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 88.9% figure.

-110 at bet365

Rushing Yards

Tyrone Tracy Jr. o46.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 58.52 (Over)

Best Odds

o46.5 -110

Pick made: 7 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o46.5 -110

o46.5 -118

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to run on 48.6% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Giants to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).. This year, the deficient Vikings run defense has yielded a whopping 130.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 9th-worst in football.

-110 at bet365

Rushing Yards

Jaxson Dart o32.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 39.29 (Over)

Best Odds

o32.5 -110

Pick made: 7 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o32.5 -110

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to run on 48.6% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.. Our trusted projections expect the Giants to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).. Jaxson Dart has picked up 33.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest marks in football when it comes to QBs (95th percentile).. This year, the deficient Vikings run defense has yielded a whopping 130.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 9th-worst in football.

-110 at bet365

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

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66% picking Minnesota

66% 66%

34% 34%

Total Picks MIN 253, NYG 129

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MIN

NYG

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Top User Picks

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'swtknguy' is picking Minnesota to cover (-1.5)

swtknguy is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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NYG

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'peachiee2023' is picking Minnesota to cover (-1.5)

peachiee2023 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (9-5-0) and +7200 units on the season.

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'peachiee2023' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (43.0)

peachiee2023 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (9-5-0) and +7200 units on the season.

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'swtknguy' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Over (43.5)

swtknguy is #2 on picking games that N.Y. Giants are in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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'KRU' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (43.0)

KRU is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +6650 units on the season.

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'KRU' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+1.0)

KRU is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +6650 units on the season.

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'patelnydevil289' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (43.0)

patelnydevil289 is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +6250 units on the season.

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'patelnydevil289' is picking Minnesota to cover (-1.5)

patelnydevil289 is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +6250 units on the season.

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'greyford' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (43.0)

greyford is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-6-0) and +6150 units on the season.

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'greyford' is picking Minnesota to cover (-1.0)

greyford is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-6-0) and +6150 units on the season.

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MIN

NYG

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'peacy454' is picking Minnesota to cover (-1.5)

peacy454 is #6 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (12-1-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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'peacy454' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (43.0)

peacy454 is #6 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (12-1-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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'chickenhawk3233' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (43.5)

chickenhawk3233 is #7 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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'chickenhawk3233' is picking N.Y. Giants to cover (+3.0)

chickenhawk3233 is #7 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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'bluetide007' picks Minnesota vs N.Y. Giants to go Under (43.0)

bluetide007 is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (11-3-0) and +5100 units on the season.

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'bluetide007' is picking Minnesota to cover (-1.5)

bluetide007 is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (11-3-0) and +5100 units on the season.

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MIN

NYG

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