Minnesota Vikings

3rd in NFC North (6 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 15 13:00 ET

MIN @ GB Picks

NFL Picks
Rushing Yards
Pierre Strong Jr. logo
Pierre Strong Jr. o10.5 Rushing Yards (-110) Projection 28.29 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. While Pierre Strong has been responsible for 20.8% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Green Bay's rushing attack in this game at 30.9%.
Rushing Yards
Jordan Mason logo
Jordan Mason o43.5 Rushing Yards (-113) Projection 54.98 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The model projects the Vikings to be the 9th-most run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.5% run rate.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The projections expect Jordan Mason to accumulate 13.6 carries in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Out of all running backs, Jordan Mason grades out in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 50.0% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.. Jordan Mason has picked up 41.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in football when it comes to RBs (78th percentile).
Rushing Yards
Jordan Love logo
Jordan Love o3.5 Rushing Yards (-110) Projection 5.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Receiving Yards
T.J. Hockenson logo
T.J. Hockenson o37.5 Receiving Yards (-113) Projection 46.51 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Vikings may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Carson Wentz.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. T.J. Hockenson has totaled quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (48.0) this season than he did last season (27.0).
Receiving Yards
Matthew Golden logo
Matthew Golden o67.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 74.30 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Receiving Yards
Tucker Kraft logo
Tucker Kraft o37.5 Receiving Yards (-112) Projection 41.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The model projects Tucker Kraft to earn 5.8 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.. Tucker Kraft has accrued many more air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (25.0 per game).. Tucker Kraft's 5.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a remarkable progression in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 0.0% figure.
Receiving Yards
Justin Jefferson logo
Justin Jefferson o78.5 Receiving Yards (-111) Projection 81.26 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Vikings may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Carson Wentz.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. Justin Jefferson has totaled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (71.0) this season than he did last season (52.0).
Receptions Made
T.J. Hockenson logo
T.J. Hockenson o4.5 Receptions Made (+109) Projection 5.36 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Vikings may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Carson Wentz.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. T.J. Hockenson's pass-catching performance gotten better this year, accumulating 5.0 adjusted catches compared to a mere 3.0 last year.
Rushing Attempts
Jordan Mason logo
Jordan Mason o10.5 Rushing Attempts (-130) Projection 12.47 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
The model projects the Vikings to be the 9th-most run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.5% run rate.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The projections expect Jordan Mason to accumulate 13.6 carries in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Out of all running backs, Jordan Mason grades out in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 50.0% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.
Anytime Touchdown
Pierre Strong Jr. logo
Pierre Strong Jr. Score a Touchdown (Yes: +400) Projection 0.30 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The predictive model expects Pierre Strong to be a much bigger part of his team's passing offense near the end zone in this week's contest (8.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.7% in games he has played).. The rushing TD line reads "0" on Pierre Strong's box scores this year.. The Minnesota Vikings safeties project as the worst group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

72% picking Green Bay

28%
72%

Total Picks MIN 118, GB 309

Spread
MIN
GB
Total

55% picking Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Under

45%
55%

Total PicksMIN 80, GB 98

Total
Over
Under

MIN @ GB · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -3.5 spread
-6.97 PROJECTION
-3.5 DIFFERENCE
18.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -3.5 spread

PROJECTION

-6.97 PROJECTION
-3.5 DIFFERENCE
18.49% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-3.5 -105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
Over 41.5 Total
44.74 OVER PROJECTION
+3.2 DIFFERENCE
17.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
Over 41.5 Total

PROJECTION

44.74 OVER PROJECTION
+3.2 DIFFERENCE
17.47% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o41.5 -105
theScore Bet logo
PASSING YARDS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o260.5 Passing Yards
262.01 OVER PROJECTION
+1.5 DIFFERENCE
13.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o260.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

262.01 OVER PROJECTION
+1.5 DIFFERENCE
13.85% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.7. . Jordan Love has thrown for significantly more adjusted yards per game (279.0) this year than he did last year (210.0).

o257.5 -113
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Pierre Strong Jr. logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
P. Strong Jr. (RB) o10.5 Rushing Yards
28.29 OVER PROJECTION
+17.8 DIFFERENCE
26.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Pierre Strong Jr. logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
P. Strong Jr. (RB) o10.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

28.29 OVER PROJECTION
+17.8 DIFFERENCE
26.54% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. While Pierre Strong has been responsible for 20.8% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Green Bay's rushing attack in this game at 30.9%.

o10.5 +100
Caesars Odds logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o43.5 Rushing Yards
54.98 OVER PROJECTION
+11.5 DIFFERENCE
25.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o43.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

54.98 OVER PROJECTION
+11.5 DIFFERENCE
25.72% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Vikings to be the 9th-most run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.5% run rate.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The projections expect Jordan Mason to accumulate 13.6 carries in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Out of all running backs, Jordan Mason grades out in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 50.0% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.. Jordan Mason has picked up 41.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in football when it comes to RBs (78th percentile).

o43.5 -110
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o3.5 Rushing Yards
5.54 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
24.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o3.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

5.54 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
24.43% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

o3.5 -110
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
T.J. Hockenson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
T. Hockenson (TE) o37.5 Receiving Yards
46.51 OVER PROJECTION
+9.0 DIFFERENCE
25.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
T.J. Hockenson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
T. Hockenson (TE) o37.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

46.51 OVER PROJECTION
+9.0 DIFFERENCE
25.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The Vikings may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Carson Wentz.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. T.J. Hockenson has totaled quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (48.0) this season than he did last season (27.0).

o37.5 -113
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o67.5 Receiving Yards
74.30 OVER PROJECTION
+6.8 DIFFERENCE
22.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o67.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

74.30 OVER PROJECTION
+6.8 DIFFERENCE
22.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

o65.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o37.5 Receiving Yards
41.54 OVER PROJECTION
+4.0 DIFFERENCE
21.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o37.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

41.54 OVER PROJECTION
+4.0 DIFFERENCE
21.51% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The model projects Tucker Kraft to earn 5.8 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.. Tucker Kraft has accrued many more air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (25.0 per game).. Tucker Kraft's 5.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a remarkable progression in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 0.0% figure.

o35.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) o78.5 Receiving Yards
81.26 OVER PROJECTION
+2.8 DIFFERENCE
19.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) o78.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

81.26 OVER PROJECTION
+2.8 DIFFERENCE
19.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The Vikings may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Carson Wentz.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. Justin Jefferson has totaled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (71.0) this season than he did last season (52.0).

o75.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
T.J. Hockenson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
T. Hockenson (TE) o4.5 Receptions Made
5.36 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
18.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
T.J. Hockenson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
T. Hockenson (TE) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.36 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
18.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The Vikings may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Carson Wentz.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. T.J. Hockenson's pass-catching performance gotten better this year, accumulating 5.0 adjusted catches compared to a mere 3.0 last year.

o4.5 +109
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made
5.80 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.80 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

o5.5 +111
Caesars Odds logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.11 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.11 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.67% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.. Tucker Kraft's 30.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 36.8.. The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.. Tucker Kraft's 70.4% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a substantial drop-off in his receiving prowess over last year's 80.4% rate.

u4.5 -125
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) u6.5 Receptions Made
6.44 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-8.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) u6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

6.44 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-8.56% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Vikings this year (just 48.0 per game on average).. The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

u6.5 -138
Caesars Odds logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o10.5 Rushing Attempts
12.47 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
16.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o10.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

12.47 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
16.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Vikings to be the 9th-most run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.5% run rate.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The projections expect Jordan Mason to accumulate 13.6 carries in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Out of all running backs, Jordan Mason grades out in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 50.0% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

o10.5 -130
FanDuel logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o34.5 Passing Attempts
36.87 OVER PROJECTION
+2.4 DIFFERENCE
14.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o34.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

36.87 OVER PROJECTION
+2.4 DIFFERENCE
14.09% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.7.

o34.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o22.5 Passing Completions
22.75 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o22.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

22.75 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.7.

o21.5 -122
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Pierre Strong Jr. logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
P. Strong Jr. (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Pierre Strong Jr. logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
P. Strong Jr. (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The predictive model expects Pierre Strong to be a much bigger part of his team's passing offense near the end zone in this week's contest (8.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.7% in games he has played).. The rushing TD line reads "0" on Pierre Strong's box scores this year.. The Minnesota Vikings safeties project as the worst group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

+400
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.48 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.48 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.79% EV

ANALYSIS

The Vikings may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Carson Wentz.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.

+170
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.51 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.51 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

+165
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
T.J. Hockenson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
T. Hockenson (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
T.J. Hockenson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
T. Hockenson (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The Vikings may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Carson Wentz.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.

+265
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-6.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-6.29% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. With a top-tier 17.3% Red Zone Target Rate (84th percentile) this year, Tucker Kraft places as one of the tight ends with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.. Tucker Kraft has accrued many more air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (25.0 per game).. Tucker Kraft ranks in the 80th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a stellar 0.33 per game.

+210
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.28 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-8.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.28 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-8.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The Vikings may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Carson Wentz.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.

+220
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.08 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-16.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.08 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-16.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.7. . With a stellar ratio of 2.11 per game (89th percentile), Jordan Love ranks among the top TD throwers in the NFL this year.

+900
DraftKings logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.92 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
7.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.92 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
7.29% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.7.

o0.5 -135
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -3.5 spread
-6.97 PROJECTION
-3.5 DIFFERENCE
18.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
GB -3.5 spread

PROJECTION

-6.97 PROJECTION
-3.5 DIFFERENCE
18.49% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-3.5 -105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
Over 41.5 Total
44.74 OVER PROJECTION
+3.2 DIFFERENCE
17.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
Over 41.5 Total

PROJECTION

44.74 OVER PROJECTION
+3.2 DIFFERENCE
17.47% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o41.5 -105
theScore Bet logo
PASSING YARDS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o260.5 Passing Yards
262.01 OVER PROJECTION
+1.5 DIFFERENCE
13.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o260.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

262.01 OVER PROJECTION
+1.5 DIFFERENCE
13.85% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.7. . Jordan Love has thrown for significantly more adjusted yards per game (279.0) this year than he did last year (210.0).

o257.5 -113
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Pierre Strong Jr. logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
P. Strong Jr. (RB) o10.5 Rushing Yards
28.29 OVER PROJECTION
+17.8 DIFFERENCE
26.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Pierre Strong Jr. logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
P. Strong Jr. (RB) o10.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

28.29 OVER PROJECTION
+17.8 DIFFERENCE
26.54% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. While Pierre Strong has been responsible for 20.8% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Green Bay's rushing attack in this game at 30.9%.

o10.5 +100
Caesars Odds logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o43.5 Rushing Yards
54.98 OVER PROJECTION
+11.5 DIFFERENCE
25.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o43.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

54.98 OVER PROJECTION
+11.5 DIFFERENCE
25.72% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Vikings to be the 9th-most run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.5% run rate.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The projections expect Jordan Mason to accumulate 13.6 carries in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Out of all running backs, Jordan Mason grades out in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 50.0% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.. Jordan Mason has picked up 41.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in football when it comes to RBs (78th percentile).

o43.5 -110
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o3.5 Rushing Yards
5.54 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
24.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o3.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

5.54 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
24.43% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

o3.5 -110
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
T.J. Hockenson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
T. Hockenson (TE) o37.5 Receiving Yards
46.51 OVER PROJECTION
+9.0 DIFFERENCE
25.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
T.J. Hockenson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
T. Hockenson (TE) o37.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

46.51 OVER PROJECTION
+9.0 DIFFERENCE
25.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The Vikings may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Carson Wentz.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. T.J. Hockenson has totaled quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (48.0) this season than he did last season (27.0).

o37.5 -113
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o67.5 Receiving Yards
74.30 OVER PROJECTION
+6.8 DIFFERENCE
22.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o67.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

74.30 OVER PROJECTION
+6.8 DIFFERENCE
22.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

o65.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o37.5 Receiving Yards
41.54 OVER PROJECTION
+4.0 DIFFERENCE
21.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) o37.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

41.54 OVER PROJECTION
+4.0 DIFFERENCE
21.51% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The model projects Tucker Kraft to earn 5.8 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.. Tucker Kraft has accrued many more air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (25.0 per game).. Tucker Kraft's 5.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a remarkable progression in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 0.0% figure.

o35.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) o78.5 Receiving Yards
81.26 OVER PROJECTION
+2.8 DIFFERENCE
19.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) o78.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

81.26 OVER PROJECTION
+2.8 DIFFERENCE
19.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The Vikings may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Carson Wentz.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. Justin Jefferson has totaled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (71.0) this season than he did last season (52.0).

o75.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
T.J. Hockenson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
T. Hockenson (TE) o4.5 Receptions Made
5.36 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
18.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
T.J. Hockenson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
T. Hockenson (TE) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.36 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
18.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The Vikings may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Carson Wentz.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.. T.J. Hockenson's pass-catching performance gotten better this year, accumulating 5.0 adjusted catches compared to a mere 3.0 last year.

o4.5 +109
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made
5.80 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.80 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

o5.5 +111
Caesars Odds logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.11 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.11 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.67% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.. Tucker Kraft's 30.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 36.8.. The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.. Tucker Kraft's 70.4% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a substantial drop-off in his receiving prowess over last year's 80.4% rate.

u4.5 -125
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) u6.5 Receptions Made
6.44 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-8.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) u6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

6.44 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-8.56% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Vikings as the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Vikings this year (just 48.0 per game on average).. The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

u6.5 -138
Caesars Odds logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o10.5 Rushing Attempts
12.47 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
16.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) o10.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

12.47 OVER PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
16.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Vikings to be the 9th-most run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.5% run rate.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The projections expect Jordan Mason to accumulate 13.6 carries in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Out of all running backs, Jordan Mason grades out in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 50.0% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

o10.5 -130
FanDuel logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o34.5 Passing Attempts
36.87 OVER PROJECTION
+2.4 DIFFERENCE
14.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o34.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

36.87 OVER PROJECTION
+2.4 DIFFERENCE
14.09% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.7.

o34.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o22.5 Passing Completions
22.75 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o22.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

22.75 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.7.

o21.5 -122
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Pierre Strong Jr. logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
P. Strong Jr. (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Pierre Strong Jr. logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
P. Strong Jr. (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The predictive model expects Pierre Strong to be a much bigger part of his team's passing offense near the end zone in this week's contest (8.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.7% in games he has played).. The rushing TD line reads "0" on Pierre Strong's box scores this year.. The Minnesota Vikings safeties project as the worst group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

+400
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.48 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Justin Jefferson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Jefferson (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.48 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.79% EV

ANALYSIS

The Vikings may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Carson Wentz.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.

+170
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.51 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matthew Golden logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
M. Golden (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.51 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
18.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

+165
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
T.J. Hockenson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
T. Hockenson (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
T.J. Hockenson logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
T. Hockenson (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The Vikings may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Carson Wentz.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.

+265
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-6.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tucker Kraft logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
T. Kraft (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-6.29% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. With a top-tier 17.3% Red Zone Target Rate (84th percentile) this year, Tucker Kraft places as one of the tight ends with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.. Tucker Kraft has accrued many more air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (25.0 per game).. Tucker Kraft ranks in the 80th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a stellar 0.33 per game.

+210
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.28 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-8.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jordan Mason logo
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail
J. Mason (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.28 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-8.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The Vikings may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Carson Wentz.. At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the predictive model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.6 per game) this year.

+220
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.08 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-16.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.08 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-16.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.7. . With a stellar ratio of 2.11 per game (89th percentile), Jordan Love ranks among the top TD throwers in the NFL this year.

+900
DraftKings logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.92 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
7.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jordan Love logo
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail
J. Love (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.92 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
7.29% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 61.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This week, Jordan Love is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.7.

o0.5 -135
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Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'A_LowaEast' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Under (42.5)

A_LowaEast is #1 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5900 units on the season.

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'A_LowaEast' is picking Green Bay to cover (-3.5)

A_LowaEast is #1 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5900 units on the season.

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'Gunner28' is picking Green Bay to cover (-2.5)

Gunner28 is #10 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +3750 units on the season.

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GB
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'Gunner28' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Over (42.5)

Gunner28 is #10 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +3750 units on the season.

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'WarEagle7' is picking Green Bay to cover (-4.5)

WarEagle7 is #10 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +3950 units on the season.

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'Layne17' is picking Green Bay to cover (-3.5)

Layne17 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4950 units on the season.

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'Layne17' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Under (41.5)

Layne17 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4950 units on the season.

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Over
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'ldcpicks' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Under (40.5)

ldcpicks is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'ldcpicks' is picking Green Bay to cover (-5.5)

ldcpicks is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'jalayn2' is picking Green Bay to cover (-3.5)

jalayn2 is #7 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4450 units on the season.

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'jalayn2' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Under (41.5)

jalayn2 is #7 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4450 units on the season.

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'dmoney1981' is picking Green Bay to cover (-4.5)

dmoney1981 is #8 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +3750 units on the season.

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MIN
GB
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'dmoney1981' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Over (41.5)

dmoney1981 is #8 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +3750 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'Geo Lazos' picks Minnesota vs Green Bay to go Under (42.5)

Geo Lazos is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4350 units on the season.

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