Minnesota Vikings

4th in NFC North (4 - 5 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 16 13:00 ET

CHI @ MIN Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Caleb Williams logo Caleb Williams Score a Touchdown (Yes: +320)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The Chicago quarterback has 140 rushing yards over his last three games and scored on the ground last week. When he faced the Vikings in Week 1, he ran six times for 58 yards and a touchdown. He’s logged 17 red-zone carries this season, with at least one in every game. Only Jalen Hurts has more red-zone carries among quarterbacks this year, making this price a steal for that kind of volume. The Vikings have also allowed at least 24 points in four straight games. This is a great spot to back him again.

Score a Touchdown
Aaron Jones Sr. logo Aaron Jones Sr. Score a Touchdown (Yes: +125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Jones is a threat to run it in or catch a touchdown pass, which he did against Chicago in Week 1. In fact, he loves playing against the Bears. He’s scored a TD in both meetings last season – his first year in Minny - and if we go back to his time in Green Bay he has 14 total TDs in 16 career meetings with Chicago. He scored his second touchdown of the year last week in the loss to Baltimore and got the lions share of carries in Week 10, including that four-yard goal line TD. 

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Minnesota Vikings logo MIN -2.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Bears have bullied some bad defensive teams, knocking off the likes of the Giants, Bengals, Ravens, Saints, Commanders, Raiders and Cowboys. Those clubs all sit near the bottom of the NFL in many advanced (and not so advanced) stats. Minnesota lost 27-19 to Baltimore on Sunday but didn’t play poorly, at least not on defense. The Vikings limited Lamar & Co. to just 4.9 yards per play and 2 for 5 in the red zone. However, 13 penalties (101 yards against) on both sides of the ball and three turnovers made things look a lot worse than it was. Chicago QB Caleb Williams faces a blitz-happy Minnesota stop unit that runs a zone base behind that chaos. The second-year QB struggles under duress (and runs around like his ass is on fire) and has significant issues passing against zone schemes. He went 21-of-35 passing for 210 yards and one TD in Week 1.

Passing Attempts
J.J. McCarthy logo
J.J. McCarthy o31.5 Passing Attempts (-114)
Projection 34.28 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At the moment, the 6th-most pass-focused team in the league (62.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Minnesota Vikings.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Passing Yards
J.J. McCarthy logo
J.J. McCarthy o219.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 254.72 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the moment, the 6th-most pass-focused team in the league (62.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Minnesota Vikings.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Minnesota Vikings offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.. This year, the weak Chicago Bears defense has surrendered a colossal 270.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 4th-most in the league.
Passing Yards
Caleb Williams logo
Caleb Williams o229.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 239.61 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A passing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -3-point underdog this week.. The predictive model expects the Bears to call the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.7 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
Interceptions Thrown
J.J. McCarthy logo
J.J. McCarthy u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+118)
Projection 0.45 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3 points.. The 9th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Vikings this year (a measly 53.4 per game on average).. The Bears have intercepted 1.26 balls per game this year, grading out as the 2nd-best defense in football by this statistic.
Receiving Yards
Rome Odunze logo
Rome Odunze o56.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 70.31 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A passing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -3-point underdog this week.. The predictive model expects the Bears to call the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.7 plays per game.. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
Receiving Yards
Justin Jefferson logo
Justin Jefferson o73.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 88.77 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the moment, the 6th-most pass-focused team in the league (62.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Minnesota Vikings.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. With a high 96.8% Route Participation Rate (99th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson ranks among the wideouts with the highest volume in football.. This year, the weak Bears defense has conceded a monstrous 167.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 6th-worst in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
T.J. Hockenson logo
T.J. Hockenson o29.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 34.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the moment, the 6th-most pass-focused team in the league (62.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Minnesota Vikings.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The model projects T.J. Hockenson to garner 5.4 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.. The Chicago Bears defense has allowed the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (64.0) to tight ends this year.
Rushing Yards
J.J. McCarthy logo
J.J. McCarthy o20.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 25.47 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3 points.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This year, the strong Bears run defense has conceded a measly 5.25 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 27th-best rate in the NFL.
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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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64% picking Minnesota

36%
64%

Total Picks CHI 186, MIN 333

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CHI
MIN

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Total

'number46' picks Chicago vs Minnesota to go Under (48.5)

number46 is #1 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +6900 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'number46' is picking Minnesota to cover (-3.0)

number46 is #1 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +6900 units on the season.

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CHI
MIN
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'GeorgeU' is picking Minnesota to cover (-2.5)

GeorgeU is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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MIN
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'GeorgeU' picks Chicago vs Minnesota to go Over (46.5)

GeorgeU is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'1003008gl' is picking Minnesota to cover (-3.0)

1003008gl is #3 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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MIN
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'1003008gl' picks Chicago vs Minnesota to go Under (46.5)

1003008gl is #3 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'Noonball' is picking Minnesota to cover (-2.5)

Noonball is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +5850 units on the season.

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MIN
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'Noonball' picks Chicago vs Minnesota to go Over (47.5)

Noonball is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +5850 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'bigsmoke21169' picks Chicago vs Minnesota to go Under (48.5)

bigsmoke21169 is #7 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'bigsmoke21169' is picking Minnesota to cover (-3.0)

bigsmoke21169 is #7 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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CHI
MIN
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