Minnesota Vikings

4th in NFC North (5 - 8 - 0)

Next Game

MINMinnesota Minnesota
at
Dallas DALDallas
Sun, Dec 14 20:20 ET

MIN @ DAL Picks

NFL Picks
Total
Minnesota Vikings logo Dallas Cowboys logo o47.5 (-105)
Best Odds
o47.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
o47.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o47.5  -110
o48.5  -106
These are quick bet odds
o48.0  -110
These are quick bet odds
o48.0  -122
These are quick bet odds

The Vikings have the offensive weapons in place for quarterback J.J. McCarthy to put points on the board, and the Cowboys have averaged 29.5 points per game across the past four since their Week 10 bye. Of course, the Dallas defense has also allowed a healthy 27.3 points per and hit the Over in three of four. Minny played a pair of tough defenses -- the Green Bay Packers and Seattle Seahawks -- on the road prior to putting up 31 points on the Washington Commanders in Week 14, and I expect the Vikings to do their part in pushing this total Over the number in against another soft stop unit in Week 15.

Passing Touchdowns
J.J. McCarthy logo
J.J. McCarthy o1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+215)
Projection 1.51 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +215 bet365
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +181
o1.5  +215
o1.5  +174
These are quick bet odds
 -
o1.5  +175
These are quick bet odds
A throwing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -6-point underdog in this game.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to pass on 60.5% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. Right now, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football in the red zone (63.3% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Minnesota Vikings.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.. The Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (38.0 per game) this year.
+215 at bet365
Passing Completions
J.J. McCarthy logo
J.J. McCarthy o18.5 Passing Completions (+108)
Projection 20.89 (Over)
Best Odds
o17.5 -118 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o17.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o17.5  -130
o18.5  +108
 -
o17.5  -129
A throwing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -6-point underdog in this game.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to pass on 60.5% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.. The Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (38.0 per game) this year.. This year, the porous Dallas Cowboys defense has been gouged for a whopping 75.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the highest rate in the NFL.
-118 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Passing Attempts
J.J. McCarthy logo
J.J. McCarthy o29.5 Passing Attempts (+106)
Projection 33.33 (Over)
Best Odds
o28.5 -113 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o28.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
o29.5  -105
o28.5  -128
 -
o29.5  +106
A throwing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -6-point underdog in this game.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to pass on 60.5% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.. The Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (38.0 per game) this year.
-113 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
J.J. McCarthy logo
J.J. McCarthy o185.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 233.58 (Over)
Best Odds
o185.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o185.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o185.5  -110
o186.5  -114
 -
o185.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
A throwing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -6-point underdog in this game.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to pass on 60.5% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.. The Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (38.0 per game) this year.. This year, the porous Dallas Cowboys defense has surrendered a colossal 267.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-most in the league.
-110 at bet365
Passing Yards
Dak Prescott logo
Dak Prescott o265.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 284.48 (Over)
Best Odds
o260.5 -114 FanDuel
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o264.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
o265.5  -110
o260.5  -114
 -
o269.5  -106
These are quick bet odds
The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.2% pass rate.. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 59.8 plays per game.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Dak Prescott's 274.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year represents a noteworthy improvement in his throwing ability over last year's 244.0 mark.
-114 at FanDuel
Interceptions Thrown
Dak Prescott logo
Dak Prescott u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+110)
Projection 0.43 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 +110 DraftKings
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +110
u0.5  +100
u0.5  +106
 -
u0.5  +104
A rushing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a 6-point favorite in this week's game.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.. The Dallas offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.
+110 at DraftKings

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

64% picking Dallas

36%
64%

Total Picks MIN 136, DAL 241

Spread
MIN
DAL
Spread
+6.0 -110
-5.0 -122
Total

62% picking Minnesota vs Dallas to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksMIN 159, DAL 99

Total
Over
Under
Total
47.5 -107
47.5 -108

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'hudsoncty3344' is picking Dallas to cover (-7.5)

hudsoncty3344 is #10 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (6-6-0) and +4150 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DAL
Spread
+6.0 -110
-5.0 -122
Total

'hudsoncty3344' picks Minnesota vs Dallas to go Under (47.5)

hudsoncty3344 is #10 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (6-6-0) and +4150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
47.5 -107
47.5 -108
Total

'peachiee2023' picks Minnesota vs Dallas to go Over (47.0)

peachiee2023 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-5-0) and +6200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
47.5 -107
47.5 -108
Spread

'peachiee2023' is picking Minnesota to cover (+7.5)

peachiee2023 is #2 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-5-0) and +6200 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DAL
Spread
+6.0 -110
-5.0 -122
Spread

'Seawep95' is picking Dallas to cover (-7.5)

Seawep95 is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DAL
Spread
+6.0 -110
-5.0 -122
Total

'Seawep95' picks Minnesota vs Dallas to go Under (47.5)

Seawep95 is #3 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
47.5 -107
47.5 -108
Total

'SUNIN65' picks Minnesota vs Dallas to go Under (47.0)

SUNIN65 is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
47.5 -107
47.5 -108
Spread

'SUNIN65' is picking Dallas to cover (-7.0)

SUNIN65 is #4 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DAL
Spread
+6.0 -110
-5.0 -122
Total

'KRU' picks Minnesota vs Dallas to go Over (47.0)

KRU is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
47.5 -107
47.5 -108
Spread

'KRU' is picking Minnesota to cover (+7.5)

KRU is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DAL
Spread
+6.0 -110
-5.0 -122
Total

'chickenhawk3233' picks Minnesota vs Dallas to go Over (47.5)

chickenhawk3233 is #6 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
47.5 -107
47.5 -108
Total

'patelnydevil289' picks Minnesota vs Dallas to go Over (47.0)

patelnydevil289 is #8 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +5250 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
47.5 -107
47.5 -108
Spread

'patelnydevil289' is picking Minnesota to cover (+7.5)

patelnydevil289 is #8 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +5250 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DAL
Spread
+6.0 -110
-5.0 -122
Spread

'greyford' is picking Minnesota to cover (+7.5)

greyford is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-6-0) and +5150 units on the season.

Spread
MIN
DAL
Spread
+6.0 -110
-5.0 -122
Total

'greyford' picks Minnesota vs Dallas to go Over (47.0)

greyford is #9 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (6-6-0) and +5150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
47.5 -107
47.5 -108
Total

'anibalbas' picks Minnesota vs Dallas to go Under (47.5)

anibalbas is #9 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
47.5 -107
47.5 -108

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