Houston Texans

2nd in AFC South (8 - 5 - 0)

Next Game

ARIArizona Arizona
at
Houston HOUHouston
Sun, Dec 14 13:00 ET

ARI @ HOU Picks

NFL Picks
Receiving Yards
Nico Collins logo Nico Collins o74.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Best Odds
o74.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
Ryan Gilbert image
Ryan Gilbert
Betting Analyst
o74.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
o74.5  -110
o74.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o74.5  -130
These are quick bet odds
o74.5  -130
These are quick bet odds

Nico Collins is far and away the top wide receiver in Houston. He leads the Texans with 61 catches on 103 targets for 916 yards in 12 games, an average of 76.33 yards per contest.

Collins is coming off his third game of at least 100 receiving yards this season, racking up 121 yards on just four catches, including a long of 53. That’s now two straight games and five of his last six in which he’s had at least 75 receiving yards.

Arizona allows 224.3 passing yards per game, and Collins should get his fair share on Sunday afternoon.

Read Full Analysis
Passing Attempts
Jacoby Brissett logo Jacoby Brissett o37.5 Passing Attempts (-120)
Best Odds
o37.5 -120 bet365
Pick made: 2 days ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
o37.5  -121
These are quick bet odds
o37.5  -120
o37.5  -125
These are quick bet odds
o38.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
o38.5  -105

The Over pass attempts for Jacoby Brissett has been the gift that keeps on giving. Brissett has thrown the ball at least 40 times in five-straight contests and is averaging 46.8 pass attempts per game over that span. The Cardinals have struggled to run the ball and have pretty much abandoned that part of their offense, with their passing play percentage sitting at an absurd 75% over the last four weeks. They are 9.5-point road dogs against the red-hot Texans on Sunday which makes it even more likely that they'll lean on their aerial attack after falling behind early.

Read Full Analysis
Touchdowns
Jayden Higgins logo Jayden Higgins o0.5 Touchdowns (+310)
Best Odds
o0.5 +320 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
o0.5  +320
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +300
o0.5  +300
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +310
o0.5  +305
These are quick bet odds

This is a tough game because the prices on Houston’s main weapons, like Nico Collins and Woody Marks, aren’t appealing. On top of that, the Cardinals might struggle to put up even 14 points against this Houston defense. That leads me to Jayden Higgins, who remains the WR2 in this offense and finished with the second-most targets last week against Kansas City. Collins has become CJ Stroud’s preferred option after Higgins had better chemistry with Davis Mills, but Higgins still has a clear role, especially against a defense that has given up 177 points over its last five games. I wouldn’t play this any lower than +280.

Receptions Made
WM
Woody Marks o1.5 Receptions Made (-108)
Projection 2.31 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 -108 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
o1.5  -135
o1.5  -125
These are quick bet odds
o1.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o1.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Houston Texans.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are expected by the projection model to call 67.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Arizona's unit has been atrocious this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in football.
-108 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Passing Attempts
Jacoby Brissett logo
Jacoby Brissett o37.5 Passing Attempts (-121)
Projection 41.54 (Over)
Best Odds
o37.5 -120 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o37.5  -121
These are quick bet odds
o37.5  -120
o37.5  -125
These are quick bet odds
o38.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
o38.5  -105
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Cardinals, who are massive -9.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to pass on 66.4% of their plays: the highest clip on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.9 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Cardinals this year (a staggering 61.5 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
-120 at bet365
Passing Yards
C.J. Stroud logo
C.J. Stroud o227.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 260.95 (Over)
Best Odds
o225.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o227.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o233.5  -110
o225.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o233.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o228.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Houston Texans.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are expected by the projection model to call 67.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The model projects C.J. Stroud to attempt 35.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-most out of all QBs.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Jacoby Brissett logo
Jacoby Brissett o229.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Projection 243.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o229.5 -111 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o229.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
o231.5  -110
o234.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o231.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o231.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Cardinals, who are massive -9.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to pass on 66.4% of their plays: the highest clip on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.9 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Cardinals this year (a staggering 61.5 per game on average).. Jacoby Brissett's 256.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season conveys a noteable growth in his throwing talent over last season's 126.0 figure.
-111 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
WM
Woody Marks o8.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
Projection 19.68 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -105 bet365
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o8.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o8.5  -105
o10.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o8.5  -140
These are quick bet odds
o9.5  -136
These are quick bet odds
Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Houston Texans.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are expected by the projection model to call 67.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Arizona's unit has been atrocious this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in football.
-105 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Michael Wilson logo
Michael Wilson o64.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 80.62 (Over)
Best Odds
o64.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o64.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
o64.5  -110
o64.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o64.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o64.5  -135
These are quick bet odds
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Cardinals, who are massive -9.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to pass on 66.4% of their plays: the highest clip on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.9 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Cardinals this year (a staggering 61.5 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Dalton Schultz logo
Dalton Schultz o34.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 44.37 (Over)
Best Odds
o34.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o35.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o34.5  -110
o38.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o34.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o37.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Houston Texans.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are expected by the projection model to call 67.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (63.0) vs. TEs this year.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Bam Knight logo
Bam Knight o15.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 19.91 (Over)
Best Odds
o14.5 -111 DraftKings
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o14.5  -111
o15.5  -110
o14.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o15.5  -115
o14.5  -120
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Cardinals, who are massive -9.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to pass on 66.4% of their plays: the highest clip on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.9 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Cardinals this year (a staggering 61.5 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
-111 at DraftKings
Receiving Yards
Trey McBride logo
Trey McBride o68.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 73.09 (Over)
Best Odds
o63.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o65.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
o68.5  -110
o63.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o68.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o64.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Cardinals, who are massive -9.5-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to pass on 66.4% of their plays: the highest clip on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 134.9 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Cardinals this year (a staggering 61.5 per game on average).. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Nico Collins logo
Nico Collins o74.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 78.62 (Over)
Best Odds
o74.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o74.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
o74.5  -110
o74.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o74.5  -130
These are quick bet odds
o74.5  -130
These are quick bet odds
Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Houston Texans.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are expected by the projection model to call 67.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.3 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.. This week, Nico Collins is projected by the projection model to find himself in the 94th percentile among WRs with 8.9 targets.
-110 at bet365

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

61% picking Houston

39%
61%

Total Picks ARI 284, HOU 450

Spread
ARI
HOU
Spread
+10.5 -116
-10.0 -105

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'qlh' is picking Houston to cover (-6.5)

qlh is #1 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
HOU
Spread
+10.5 -116
-10.0 -105
Total

'qlh' picks Arizona vs Houston to go Over (43.5)

qlh is #1 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
42.0 -111
42.5 -107
Total

'ptrixie' picks Arizona vs Houston to go Over (42.5)

ptrixie is #1 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (11-2-0) and +7750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
42.0 -111
42.5 -107
Spread

'ptrixie' is picking Arizona to cover (+9.5)

ptrixie is #1 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (11-2-0) and +7750 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
HOU
Spread
+10.5 -116
-10.0 -105
Total

'Schutz' picks Arizona vs Houston to go Over (42.5)

Schutz is #10 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
42.0 -111
42.5 -107
Spread

'Schutz' is picking Houston to cover (-9.5)

Schutz is #10 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
HOU
Spread
+10.5 -116
-10.0 -105
Total

'TheGambler34' picks Arizona vs Houston to go Over (42.5)

TheGambler34 is #3 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +5350 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
42.0 -111
42.5 -107
Total

'pittsburghphil' picks Arizona vs Houston to go Under (42.5)

pittsburghphil is #4 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
42.0 -111
42.5 -107
Spread

'pittsburghphil' is picking Arizona to cover (+9.5)

pittsburghphil is #4 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
HOU
Spread
+10.5 -116
-10.0 -105
Total

'SteveA2009' picks Arizona vs Houston to go Under (42.5)

SteveA2009 is #4 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
42.0 -111
42.5 -107
Spread

'SteveA2009' is picking Arizona to cover (+9.5)

SteveA2009 is #4 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
HOU
Spread
+10.5 -116
-10.0 -105
Spread

'Vrock' is picking Houston to cover (-7.0)

Vrock is #5 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
HOU
Spread
+10.5 -116
-10.0 -105
Total

'Vrock' picks Arizona vs Houston to go Under (42.5)

Vrock is #5 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
42.0 -111
42.5 -107
Total

'Busch Light' picks Arizona vs Houston to go Over (42.5)

Busch Light is #6 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-3-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
42.0 -111
42.5 -107
Spread

'Busch Light' is picking Houston to cover (-9.5)

Busch Light is #6 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-3-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
HOU
Spread
+10.5 -116
-10.0 -105
Total

'sprality777' picks Arizona vs Houston to go Under (42.5)

sprality777 is #7 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
42.0 -111
42.5 -107
Spread

'sprality777' is picking Houston to cover (-9.5)

sprality777 is #7 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
HOU
Spread
+10.5 -116
-10.0 -105
Total

'Octavio' picks Arizona vs Houston to go Under (42.5)

Octavio is #8 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
42.0 -111
42.5 -107
Spread

'Octavio' is picking Houston to cover (-9.5)

Octavio is #8 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5150 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
HOU
Spread
+10.5 -116
-10.0 -105
Total

'Jims Flying Eagles' picks Arizona vs Houston to go Under (42.5)

Jims Flying Eagles is #8 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
42.0 -111
42.5 -107
Spread

'Jims Flying Eagles' is picking Houston to cover (-9.5)

Jims Flying Eagles is #8 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
HOU
Spread
+10.5 -116
-10.0 -105

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