DAL -3.5 o50.0
LV 3.5 u50.0
Final Nov 13
NYJ 14
NE 27
Final 4OT Nov 16
WAS 13
MIA 16
Final Nov 16
LAC 6
JAC 35
Final Nov 16
TB 32
BUF 44
Final Nov 16
CHI 19
MIN 17
Final Nov 16
GB 27
NYG 20
Final Nov 16
HOU 16
TEN 13
Final 4OT Nov 16
CAR 30
ATL 27
Final Nov 16
CIN 12
PIT 34
Final Nov 16
SF 41 -3.5 o48.5
ARI 22 3.5 u48.5
Final Nov 16
SEA 19
LA 21
Final Nov 16
KC 19 -4.5 o45.0
DEN 22 4.5 u45.0
Final Nov 16
BAL 23
CLE 16
Final Nov 16
DET 9 2.5 o46.5
PHI 16 -2.5 u46.5
Los Angeles 2nd AFC West7-4
Tennessee 4th AFC South1-9

Los Angeles @ Tennessee Picks & Props

LAC vs TEN Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
Los Angeles Chargers logo LAC -9.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Ed Scimia image
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst
Rushing Yards
Kimani Vidal logo Kimani Vidal o72.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 days ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Vidal is coming off a career-high 23 carries for 117 yards against the Vikings which is the second time in three starts that he has broken the 100-yard plateau. With Omarion Hampton and Najee Harris on the IR and Hassan Haskins dealing with a hamstring injury, Vidal should see another heavy workload in Week 9. Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh loves to run the ball and the Bolts will likely have a positive game script since they are 9.5-point faves against the 1-7 Titans. Tennessee is 29th in the league in defensive rush DVOA while ranking 26th in rushing yards allowed per game (142.6).

Score a Touchdown
Chimere Dike logo Chimere Dike Score a Touchdown (Yes: +300)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The Chargers lost three starters to injury last week, including cornerback Tarheeb Still, who’s expected to miss significant time, and defensive leader Derwin James. With the Titans up next, there’s little reason to rush James back. Given the defensive injuries, a likely negative game script for Tennessee, and Calvin Ridley still not practicing, Chimere Dike at +300 stands out as a solid play. If Ridley sits again, Dike will operate as the WR1 after posting 7 catches for 93 yards last week, leading all Titans pass catchers. His snap share jumped to 88% from a season average of 49%, and the offense ran 3-WR sets on 79% of plays. There’s also some quiet optimism about this offense speeding up under the new head coach. Tennessee ran eight more plays than its season average last week, despite facing another game-trailing script.

Score a Touchdown
Keenan Allen logo Keenan Allen Score a Touchdown (Yes: +130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Keenan Allen had a quiet night vs. Minnesota last Thursday: on only 18 snaps. Harbaugh was asked about that sudden downtick in work and said it had more to do with personnel and the fact the Bolts were blowing out the Vikings. Allen still sits tied for second among all WRs with 12 red zone targets entering Week 9. And it’s not just inside the 20-yard line that the veteran can do damage. He’s just as dangerous on deep balls and this Titans secondary has allowed plenty of home runs and is without top corner L’Jarius Sneed. Tennessee leaning into more zone coverage, which is Allen’s favorite concept to crack.

Score a Touchdown
Kimani Vidal logo
Kimani Vidal Score a Touchdown (Yes: -150)
Projection 0.92 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Chargers have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.9% red zone pass rate.. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-largest rate in football.
Passing Yards
Cam Ward logo
Cam Ward u206.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 196.56 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This year, the daunting Chargers defense has conceded a feeble 65.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-lowest rate in football.. The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, giving up 6.71 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's CB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.
Passing Yards
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert o243.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 251.95 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. Justin Herbert has attempted 38.1 passes per game this year, checking in at the 95th percentile among quarterbacks.. Justin Herbert's 262.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year indicates a substantial boost in his throwing proficiency over last year's 218.0 figure.. This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-largest rate in football.. The Tennessee Titans pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, surrendering 8.28 adjusted yards-per-target: the 7th-most in football.
Receiving Yards
Tony Pollard logo
Tony Pollard u13.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 9.82 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. Tony Pollard's 12.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 18.1.. Tony Pollard's ability to pick up extra yardage has declined this season, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.39 mark last season.. This year, the fierce Chargers defense has yielded a measly 77.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Ladd McConkey logo
Ladd McConkey o59.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Projection 66.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. The Titans pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (76.6%) versus WRs this year (76.6%).. This year, the weak Titans defense has conceded the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a monstrous 10.08 yards.. As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Tennessee's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Kimani Vidal logo
Kimani Vidal o12.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 15.15 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. The Titans linebackers grade out as the worst collection of LBs in the league this year in regard to pass rush.
Receiving Yards
Chimere Dike logo
Chimere Dike o38.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Projection 42.14 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -10-point underdog in this week's contest.. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
Rushing Yards
Cam Ward logo
Cam Ward o5.5 Rushing Yards (-109)
Projection 13.77 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the present time, the 10th-most run-centric team in the league (40.7% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Tennessee Titans.. This year, the formidable Chargers run defense has allowed a meager 4.93 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's rushing attack: the 24th-best rate in football.
Rushing Yards
Tony Pollard logo
Tony Pollard o39.5 Rushing Yards (-116)
Projection 51.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the present time, the 10th-most run-centric team in the league (40.7% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Tennessee Titans.. The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to garner 12.9 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.. This year, the formidable Chargers run defense has allowed a meager 4.93 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's rushing attack: the 24th-best rate in football.
Rushing Yards
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert o17.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Projection 23.73 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With a 10-point advantage, the Chargers are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. In this week's contest, Justin Herbert is anticipated by the projections to garner the 8th-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 5.0. . Justin Herbert has rushed for significantly more yards per game (30.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).. Opposing teams have rushed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (152 per game) against the Tennessee Titans defense this year.
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LAC vs TEN Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

71% picking L.A. Chargers

71%
29%

Total Picks LAC 1168, TEN 478

LAC vs TEN Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Chimere Dike Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee

Chimere Dike
C. Dike
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.29
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.29
Best Odds
Projection Rating

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Titans. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

Chimere Dike

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.29
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.29

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Titans. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

Kimani Vidal Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Chargers

Kimani Vidal
K. Vidal
running back RB • L.A. Chargers
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.92
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.92
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Chargers have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.9% red zone pass rate. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game. This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-largest rate in football.

Kimani Vidal

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.92
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.92

The Chargers have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.9% red zone pass rate. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game. This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-largest rate in football.

Ladd McConkey Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Chargers

Ladd McConkey
L. McConkey
wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.41
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.41
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Chargers have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.9% red zone pass rate. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game. The Titans pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (76.6%) versus WRs this year (76.6%).

Ladd McConkey

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.41
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.41

The Chargers have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.9% red zone pass rate. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game. The Titans pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (76.6%) versus WRs this year (76.6%).

Chig Okonkwo Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee

Chig Okonkwo
C. Okonkwo
tight end TE • Tennessee
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.14
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.14
Best Odds
Projection Rating

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Titans. While Chig Okonkwo has received 4.3% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Tennessee's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game at 9.8%. Chig Okonkwo grades out in the 75th percentile among tight ends this year with an impressive 8.3% of his team's air yards accumulated. Chig Okonkwo's 27.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the league: 75th percentile for tight ends.

Chig Okonkwo

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.14
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.14

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Titans. While Chig Okonkwo has received 4.3% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Tennessee's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game at 9.8%. Chig Okonkwo grades out in the 75th percentile among tight ends this year with an impressive 8.3% of his team's air yards accumulated. Chig Okonkwo's 27.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the league: 75th percentile for tight ends.

Oronde Gadsden Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Chargers

Oronde Gadsden
O. Gadsden
tight end TE • L.A. Chargers
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.36
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.36
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Chargers have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.9% red zone pass rate. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game. This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-largest rate in football.

Oronde Gadsden

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.36
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.36

The Chargers have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.9% red zone pass rate. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game. This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-largest rate in football.

Tony Pollard Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee

Tony Pollard
T. Pollard
running back RB • Tennessee
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.28
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.28
Best Odds
Projection Rating

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Titans. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year. Tony Pollard's 84.9% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a remarkable boost in his pass-catching skills over last season's 74.2% figure. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

Tony Pollard

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.28
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.28

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Titans. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year. Tony Pollard's 84.9% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a remarkable boost in his pass-catching skills over last season's 74.2% figure. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

Justin Herbert Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Chargers

Justin Herbert
J. Herbert
quarterback QB • L.A. Chargers
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.15
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.15
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Chargers have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.9% red zone pass rate. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game. Justin Herbert has been among the leading TD passers in football this year, averaging an impressive 2.00 per game while grading out in the 95th percentile. The rushing touchdown column reads "0" on the back of Justin Herbert's trading card this year. This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-largest rate in football.

Justin Herbert

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.15
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.15

The Chargers have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.9% red zone pass rate. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game. Justin Herbert has been among the leading TD passers in football this year, averaging an impressive 2.00 per game while grading out in the 95th percentile. The rushing touchdown column reads "0" on the back of Justin Herbert's trading card this year. This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-largest rate in football.

Cam Ward Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee

Cam Ward
C. Ward
quarterback QB • Tennessee
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.04
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.04
Best Odds
Projection Rating

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Titans. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

Cam Ward

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.04
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.04

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Titans. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

Calvin Ridley Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee

Calvin Ridley
C. Ridley
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

Hassan Haskins Score a Touchdown Props • L.A. Chargers

Hassan Haskins
H. Haskins
running back RB • L.A. Chargers
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

LAC vs TEN Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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L.A. Chargers Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 skunty4 8-2-0 +6850
2 CigarSt22 9-1-0 +6350
3 quocanh1998 9-1-0 +5350
4 robert78lodz 8-2-0 +5350
5 CalderHawke 8-2-0 +5250
6 Kozman06 9-1-0 +4700
7 hilldog23 6-4-0 +4700
8 adamort22 8-2-0 +4700
9 bimmercando 8-2-0 +4570
10 Dippopotamus 8-2-0 +4400
All Chargers Money Leaders

Tennessee Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 jaydidy919625 10-0-0 +6000
2 griz55 6-4-0 +5800
3 rinv49 7-3-0 +5630
4 minus110 9-1-0 +5350
5 VenezUtah 6-4-0 +5300
6 LaQuora28 8-2-0 +4750
7 Schutz 8-2-0 +4750
8 cashbb1030 7-3-0 +4750
9 luke44 8-2-0 +4750
10 derekpderek 8-2-0 +4750
All Titans Money Leaders
Top User Picks

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