Washington @ Atlanta Picks & Props

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Washington Commanders linebackers project as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Washington Commanders are expected by the model to run 65.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. The Commanders have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a massive 59.3 plays per game. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jayden Daniels in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Washington Commanders are expected by the model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week. The Commanders have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a massive 59.3 plays per game. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. Since the start of last season, the weak Atlanta Falcons defense has surrendered a staggering 1.85 passing TDs per game to opposing teams: the biggest rate in the league.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. While Kyle Pitts has received 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Atlanta's passing attack near the end zone in this week's game at 19.2%. When talking about air yards, Kyle Pitts grades out in the lofty 88th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accumulating a striking 35.0 per game. Kyle Pitts's 36.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 30.4. Kyle Pitts's 80.7% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a meaningful improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 65.2% mark.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. While Drake London has received 22.2% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Atlanta's passing offense near the end zone in this contest at 33.0%. When it comes to air yards, Drake London ranks in the towering 96th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, totaling a massive 96.0 per game. Since the start of last season, the feeble Washington Commanders defense has been gouged for a staggering 1.00 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers: the 10th-biggest rate in football. The Washington Commanders linebackers project as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Washington Commanders are expected by the model to run 65.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. The Commanders have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a massive 59.3 plays per game. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Washington Commanders are expected by the model to run 65.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. The Commanders have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a massive 59.3 plays per game. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Bijan Robinson grades out in the 96th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an excellent 0.25 per game. Bijan Robinson has run for 0.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in the league among running backs (1st percentile). The Washington Commanders linebackers project as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Washington Commanders are expected by the model to run 65.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. The Commanders have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a massive 59.3 plays per game. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.