Denver @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 10th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume. The Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.5 per game) since the start of last season. Justin Herbert's passing precision has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 64.6% to 71.2%. Since the start of last season, the stout Denver Broncos run defense has surrendered a paltry 0.58 touchdowns on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

The model projects the Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (58.5% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. At just 27.54 seconds per snap, the Broncos offense ranks as the 8th-fastest paced in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year. The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the best in football since the start of last season.

The model projects the Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (58.5% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. At just 27.54 seconds per snap, the Broncos offense ranks as the 8th-fastest paced in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year. The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the best in football since the start of last season.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 10th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume. The Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.5 per game) since the start of last season. The Broncos defense has yielded the most touchdowns through the air in the league to RBs: 0.37 per game since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the stout Denver Broncos run defense has surrendered a paltry 0.58 touchdowns on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

The model projects the Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (58.5% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. At just 27.54 seconds per snap, the Broncos offense ranks as the 8th-fastest paced in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year. The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. When it comes to air yards, Courtland Sutton ranks in the towering 97th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accumulating an astounding 99.0 per game.

The model projects the Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (58.5% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. At just 27.54 seconds per snap, the Broncos offense ranks as the 8th-fastest paced in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year. The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. J.K. Dobbins has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 8.8% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 10th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume. The Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.5 per game) since the start of last season. When it comes to air yards, Tyler Conklin grades out in the towering 77th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 22.0 per game. With an excellent rate of 0.24 per game through the air (76th percentile), Tyler Conklin places as one of the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL among tight ends since the start of last season.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 10th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume. The Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.5 per game) since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the stout Denver Broncos run defense has surrendered a paltry 0.58 touchdowns on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Denver's unit has been outstanding since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

The model projects the Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (58.5% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. At just 27.54 seconds per snap, the Broncos offense ranks as the 8th-fastest paced in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year. The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Evan Engram has posted a monstrous 35.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 87th percentile when it comes to TEs.