SPREAD
MIA
-1.0 spread
-2.9
PROJECTION
-1.9
DIFFERENCE
13.19%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
MIA
-1.0 spread
Close Modal
-2.9
PROJECTION
-1.9
DIFFERENCE
13.19%
EV
The New York Giants have struggled this season, sitting at the bottom of the NFC East. Their offense ranks 29th in scoring, averaging just 17.4 points per game. The lack of production has put immense pressure on their defense, which, while ranked 12th overall, has been on the field longer than desired due to the offensive struggles.. On the other side, the Washington Commanders find themselves in a more favorable position, competing for a playoff spot. They boast a 4th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 27.2 points per game, which has been pivotal in their recent success. The Commanders' ability to put points on the board could be a game-changer, especially against a Giants defense that has shown vulnerability against high-scoring teams.. Betting lines reflect the disparity in performance, with the Commanders favored to win. The spread indicates that oddsmakers believe the Commanders will win comfortably, but divisional matchups can often yield unexpected results. The Giants will look to exploit any weaknesses in the Commanders' defense, which ranks 20th overall, allowing 24.1 points per game.. As the Giants aim to turn their season around, they will need to find a way to neutralize the Commanders’ explosive offense. A strong performance from the Giants’ defense could keep the game competitive, but the Commanders’ offensive firepower makes them the team to beat in this matchup. Bettors should keep an eye on the injury reports and any last-minute news that could impact the spread as kickoff approaches.
-1.0
-110
TOTAL
43.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
12.76%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
43.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
12.76%
EV
The New York Giants have struggled this season, sitting at the bottom of the NFC East. Their offense ranks 29th in scoring, averaging just 17.4 points per game. The lack of production has put immense pressure on their defense, which, while ranked 12th overall, has been on the field longer than desired due to the offensive struggles.. On the other side, the Washington Commanders find themselves in a more favorable position, competing for a playoff spot. They boast a 4th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 27.2 points per game, which has been pivotal in their recent success. The Commanders' ability to put points on the board could be a game-changer, especially against a Giants defense that has shown vulnerability against high-scoring teams.. Betting lines reflect the disparity in performance, with the Commanders favored to win. The spread indicates that oddsmakers believe the Commanders will win comfortably, but divisional matchups can often yield unexpected results. The Giants will look to exploit any weaknesses in the Commanders' defense, which ranks 20th overall, allowing 24.1 points per game.. As the Giants aim to turn their season around, they will need to find a way to neutralize the Commanders’ explosive offense. A strong performance from the Giants’ defense could keep the game competitive, but the Commanders’ offensive firepower makes them the team to beat in this matchup. Bettors should keep an eye on the injury reports and any last-minute news that could impact the spread as kickoff approaches.
u44.5
-110
MONEYLINE
MIA
-118 moneyline
MIA
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
16.2%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
MIA
-118 moneyline
Close Modal
MIA
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
16.2%
EV
The New York Giants have struggled this season, sitting at the bottom of the NFC East. Their offense ranks 29th in scoring, averaging just 17.4 points per game. The lack of production has put immense pressure on their defense, which, while ranked 12th overall, has been on the field longer than desired due to the offensive struggles.. On the other side, the Washington Commanders find themselves in a more favorable position, competing for a playoff spot. They boast a 4th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 27.2 points per game, which has been pivotal in their recent success. The Commanders' ability to put points on the board could be a game-changer, especially against a Giants defense that has shown vulnerability against high-scoring teams.. Betting lines reflect the disparity in performance, with the Commanders favored to win. The spread indicates that oddsmakers believe the Commanders will win comfortably, but divisional matchups can often yield unexpected results. The Giants will look to exploit any weaknesses in the Commanders' defense, which ranks 20th overall, allowing 24.1 points per game.. As the Giants aim to turn their season around, they will need to find a way to neutralize the Commanders’ explosive offense. A strong performance from the Giants’ defense could keep the game competitive, but the Commanders’ offensive firepower makes them the team to beat in this matchup. Bettors should keep an eye on the injury reports and any last-minute news that could impact the spread as kickoff approaches.
-118
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.63 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
16.29%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.63 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
16.29%
EV
The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 61.0% red zone pass rate.. The Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.. While Rico Dowdle has garnered 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Carolina's passing attack near the goal line in this game at 15.3%.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.. Rico Dowdle's 83.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a significant boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 80.0% figure.
+100
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.25 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
13.42%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.25 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
13.42%
EV
The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 61.0% red zone pass rate.. The Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.. With a remarkable 12.0% Red Zone Target Rate (75th percentile) this year, Tommy Tremble rates among the TEs with the most usage near the end zone in football.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.. Tommy Tremble's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 80.0% to 86.3%.
+375
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.06 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
11.01%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.06 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
11.01%
EV
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.3% red zone pass rate.. The rushing TD field reads "0" on Tua Tagovailoa's box scores this year.. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Carolina's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.
+1900
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.54 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
10.67%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.54 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
10.67%
EV
The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 61.0% red zone pass rate.. The Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.. Chuba Hubbard has been a big part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 12.0% this year, which ranks in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.. Chuba Hubbard's 16.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) grades out among the league leaders: 82nd percentile for RBs.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
+110
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.66 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
9.53%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.66 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
9.53%
EV
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.3% red zone pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect De'Von Achane to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game near the end zone in this week's contest (18.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (13.3% in games he has played).. De'Von Achane ranks in the 98th percentile among RBs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.40 per game.. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Carolina's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.
-145
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.28 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
5.83%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.28 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
5.83%
EV
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.3% red zone pass rate.. Since the start of last season, the weak Panthers pass defense has allowed a massive 80.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-highest rate in the league.. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Carolina's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.
+310
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.41 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
2.21%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.41 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
2.21%
EV
The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 61.0% red zone pass rate.. The Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.. The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.5%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (70.5%).
+150
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.37 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-8.11%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.37 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-8.11%
EV
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.3% red zone pass rate.. Jaylen Waddle's 76.8% Adjusted Completion% this season represents an impressive improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 69.6% figure.. With an excellent rate of 0.40 per game through the air (87th percentile), Jaylen Waddle places among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in football among WRs this year.. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Carolina's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.
+145
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.14 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-18.25%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.14 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-18.25%
EV
The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 61.0% red zone pass rate.. The Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in football against the Dolphins defense since the start of last season (73.3% Adjusted Completion%).
+550
RECEPTIONS MADE
4.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
15.15%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
4.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
15.15%
EV
With a 59.1% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in football has been the Dolphins.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are projected by the projection model to call just 59.0 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 49.8 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.. The Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
u5.5
-130
RECEPTIONS MADE
2.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
0.71%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
2.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
0.71%
EV
With a 59.8% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Carolina Panthers.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 60.3 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.. Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: fewest in football.. Rico Dowdle's pass-catching performance declined this season, compiling just 1.0 adjusted receptions compared to 2.4 last season.
u2.5
-108
RECEPTIONS MADE
3.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-7.31%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
3.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-7.31%
EV
The Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.. Tommy Tremble's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 80.0% to 86.3%.. This year, the poor Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed a monstrous 80.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 10th-largest rate in football.. The Miami Dolphins linebackers rank as the 9th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
o2.5
-160
RECEPTIONS MADE
3.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-9.8%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
3.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-9.8%
EV
With a 59.1% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in football has been the Dolphins.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are projected by the projection model to call just 59.0 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 49.8 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.. The Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
u3.5
-172
RECEPTIONS MADE
4.5 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-15%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
4.5 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-15%
EV
The Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.. The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.5%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (70.5%).. The Miami Dolphins linebackers rank as the 9th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
o4.5
-134
RECEPTIONS MADE
4.5 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-18.95%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
4.5 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-18.95%
EV
The predictive model expects De'Von Achane to garner 6.3 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile among RBs.. De'Von Achane's 22.0% Target Share this year conveys a material progression in his passing offense workload over last year's 15.3% rate.. With a remarkable 3.8 adjusted catches per game (96th percentile) this year, De'Von Achane stands among the leading RB receiving threats in football.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Panthers pass defense has yielded a monstrous 87.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 8th-biggest rate in the league.. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Carolina's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.
o4.5
-150
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
7.93%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
7.93%
EV
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are projected by the projection model to call just 59.0 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 49.8 per game on average).. In this week's contest, Tua Tagovailoa is predicted by the projections to average the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.4. . Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.. Tua Tagovailoa's 68.0% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a meaningful decline in his passing precision over last season's 73.5% rate.
u1.5
-120
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-0.99%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-0.99%
EV
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 60.3 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.. In this week's contest, Bryce Young is predicted by the projections to wind up with the 2nd-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.3. . Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: fewest in football.. With a weak 60.4% Adjusted Completion% (15th percentile) this year, Bryce Young ranks among the least accurate QBs in the league.
u1.5
-153
PASSING COMPLETIONS
20.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.5
DIFFERENCE
9.59%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
20.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.5
DIFFERENCE
9.59%
EV
With a 59.8% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Carolina Panthers.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 60.3 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.. In this week's contest, Bryce Young is predicted by the projections to wind up with the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.3. . Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: fewest in football.. With a weak 60.4% Adjusted Completion% (15th percentile) this year, Bryce Young ranks among the least accurate QBs in the league.
u21.5
-135
PASSING COMPLETIONS
21.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
6.67%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
21.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
6.67%
EV
With a 59.1% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in football has been the Dolphins.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are projected by the projection model to call just 59.0 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 49.8 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.. Tua Tagovailoa's 68.0% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a meaningful decline in his passing precision over last season's 73.5% rate.
u22.5
-125
PASSING ATTEMPTS
30.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.5
DIFFERENCE
16.16%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
30.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.5
DIFFERENCE
16.16%
EV
With a 59.8% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Carolina Panthers.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 60.3 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.. In this week's contest, Bryce Young is predicted by the projections to wind up with the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.3. . Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: fewest in football.
u32.5
-120
PASSING ATTEMPTS
30.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.4
DIFFERENCE
14%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
30.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.4
DIFFERENCE
14%
EV
With a 59.1% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in football has been the Dolphins.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are projected by the projection model to call just 59.0 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 49.8 per game on average).. In this week's contest, Tua Tagovailoa is predicted by the projections to average the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.4. . Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
u32.5
-126
PASSING YARDS
231.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.7
DIFFERENCE
23.28%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
231.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.7
DIFFERENCE
23.28%
EV
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season (72.7% Adjusted Completion%).. Since the start of last season, the poor Carolina Panthers defense has given up the 4th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a monstrous 8.24 yards.. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Carolina's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.
o216.5
-111
PASSING YARDS
204.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-5.0
DIFFERENCE
14.56%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
204.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-5.0
DIFFERENCE
14.56%
EV
With a 59.8% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Carolina Panthers.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 60.3 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.. In this week's contest, Bryce Young is predicted by the projections to wind up with the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.3. . Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: fewest in football.. With a weak 60.4% Adjusted Completion% (15th percentile) this year, Bryce Young ranks among the least accurate QBs in the league.
u217.5
-115
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
19.05%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
19.05%
EV
With a 59.8% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Carolina Panthers.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 60.4 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.. In this week's contest, Bryce Young is predicted by the projections to wind up with the 5th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.2. . Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: fewest in football.
u0.5
+102
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
15.33%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
15.33%
EV
With a 59.1% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in football has been the Dolphins.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are projected by the projection model to call just 59.3 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 49.8 per game on average).. In this week's contest, Tua Tagovailoa is predicted by the projections to average the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.4. . Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
u0.5
-109
RECEIVING YARDS
38.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-21.0
DIFFERENCE
26.29%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
38.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-21.0
DIFFERENCE
26.29%
EV
With a 59.1% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in football has been the Dolphins.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are projected by the projection model to call just 59.0 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 49.8 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.. The Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
u59.5
-114
RECEIVING YARDS
59.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-5.2
DIFFERENCE
20.65%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
59.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-5.2
DIFFERENCE
20.65%
EV
With a 59.1% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in football has been the Dolphins.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are projected by the projection model to call just 59.0 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 49.8 per game on average).. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.. After totaling 56.0 air yards per game last year, Jaylen Waddle has produced significantly less this year, currently sitting at 50.0 per game.
u66.5
-110
RECEIVING YARDS
17.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.5
DIFFERENCE
18.39%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
17.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.5
DIFFERENCE
18.39%
EV
The Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.. In this contest, Rico Dowdle is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.5 targets.. While Rico Dowdle has garnered 4.5% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Carolina's passing offense in this week's contest at 11.5%.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.. Rico Dowdle's 83.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a significant boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 80.0% figure.
o14.5
-115
RECEIVING YARDS
60.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.7
DIFFERENCE
17.25%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
60.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.7
DIFFERENCE
17.25%
EV
With a 59.8% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Carolina Panthers.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 60.3 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.. Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: fewest in football.. This year, the fierce Miami Dolphins defense has allowed a measly 114.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 7th-fewest in the league.
u64.5
-110
RECEIVING YARDS
28.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.2
DIFFERENCE
14.1%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
28.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.2
DIFFERENCE
14.1%
EV
The Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.. Tommy Tremble's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 80.0% to 86.3%.. This year, the shaky Dolphins defense has given up a whopping 68.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-most in the NFL.. This year, the feeble Dolphins defense has yielded the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a massive 9.33 yards.
o25.5
-130
RECEIVING YARDS
38.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
8.39%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
38.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
8.39%
EV
The predictive model expects De'Von Achane to garner 6.3 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile among RBs.. De'Von Achane's 22.0% Target Share this year conveys a material progression in his passing offense workload over last year's 15.3% rate.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Panthers pass defense has yielded a monstrous 87.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 8th-biggest rate in the league.. The Panthers pass defense has displayed weak efficiency vs. RBs since the start of last season, allowing 7.26 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in the league.. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Carolina's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.
o36.5
-114
RECEIVING YARDS
15.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
6.81%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
15.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
6.81%
EV
The Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.. Chuba Hubbard has run a route on 57.3% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs.. The leading projections forecast Chuba Hubbard to total 3.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.. Chuba Hubbard has accrued significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (21.0) this year than he did last year (12.0).
o14.5
-118
RUSHING YARDS
7.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.6
DIFFERENCE
26.53%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
7.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.6
DIFFERENCE
26.53%
EV
The Dolphins rank as the 9th-most run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 40.9% run rate.. This year, the imposing Panthers run defense has given up a mere 5.34 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 28th-lowest rate in the NFL.. The Panthers linebackers project as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.
o1.5
-110
RUSHING YARDS
59.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.4
DIFFERENCE
23.65%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
59.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.4
DIFFERENCE
23.65%
EV
The Panthers rank as the 10th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 40.2% run rate.. The Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.. The predictive model expects Chuba Hubbard to total 14.1 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs.. This year, the shaky Dolphins run defense has conceded a whopping 159.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the most in football.. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Miami's DE corps has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the league. in the league.
o51.5
-115
RUSHING YARDS
15.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.4
DIFFERENCE
21.59%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
15.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.4
DIFFERENCE
21.59%
EV
The Panthers rank as the 10th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 40.2% run rate.. The Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.. Bryce Young is positioned as one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging an impressive 2.61 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 81st percentile.. This year, the shaky Dolphins run defense has conceded a whopping 159.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the most in football.. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Miami's DE corps has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the league. in the league.
o11.5
-110
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
2.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
18.59%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
2.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
18.59%
EV
The Dolphins rank as the 9th-most run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 40.9% run rate.. The Panthers linebackers project as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.
o1.5
-120
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
14.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
9.57%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
14.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
9.57%
EV
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are projected by the projection model to call just 59.0 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.. The 4th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 49.8 per game on average).
u14.5
+115
RUSHING YARDS
62.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.8
DIFFERENCE
8.44%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
62.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.8
DIFFERENCE
8.44%
EV
The Panthers rank as the 10th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 40.2% run rate.. The Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.. In this contest, Rico Dowdle is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 89th percentile among RBs with 16.4 rush attempts.. The model projects Rico Dowdle to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game in this week's game (63.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (28.4% in games he has played).. This year, the shaky Dolphins run defense has conceded a whopping 159.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the most in football.
o56.5
-114
RUSHING YARDS
65.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.8
DIFFERENCE
-1.26%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
65.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.8
DIFFERENCE
-1.26%
EV
The Dolphins rank as the 9th-most run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 40.9% run rate.. The predictive model expects De'Von Achane to total 14.5 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among running backs.. After taking on 46.4% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, De'Von Achane has been called on more in the rushing attack this year, currently making up 61.7%.. With a stellar total of 43.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (78th percentile), De'Von Achane stands as one of the best running backs in football this year.. This year, the imposing Panthers run defense has given up a mere 5.34 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 28th-lowest rate in the NFL.
o63.5
-140
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
15.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-4.36%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
15.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-4.36%
EV
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 60.3 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.
u15.5
-112
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
2.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-14.98%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
2.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-14.98%
EV
The Panthers rank as the 10th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 40.2% run rate.. The Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Miami's DE corps has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the league. in the league.
o2.5
-175