Indianapolis @ Green Bay props

The Green Bay Packers may throw the ball less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup QB Malik Willis. Jayden Reed comes in as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers last year, averaging a fantastic 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 80th percentile. Jayden Reed checks in as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching an exceptional 72.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, ranking in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 4-point favorite this week. Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Packers since the start of last season (a mere 56.7 per game on average). Opposing teams have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

The Colts are a 4-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script. With a sizeable 49.7% Route% (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Jonathan Taylor ranks as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season. The Packers linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

The Green Bay Packers may throw the ball less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup QB Malik Willis. Tucker Kraft is positioned as one of the best pass-catching TEs last year, averaging an exceptional 3.1 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 76th percentile. With a stellar 80.6% Adjusted Catch% (83rd percentile) last year, Tucker Kraft stands as one of the most reliable receivers in football among TEs.

The Colts are a 4-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season. The Packers linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Dontayvion Wicks has gone over 1.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Mo Alie-Cox has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Christian Watson has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Luke Musgrave has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 7 games.

Romeo Doubs has gone over 2.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Adonai Mitchell has gone over 2.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Alec Pierce has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.