Miami @ Kansas City props

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.98 seconds per snap. The Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.

This week's spread implies a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -4.5-point underdogs. Right now, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in football (62.8% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Dolphins. The leading projections forecast Devon Achane to garner 4.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite in this game. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to lessened passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased ground volume.

At the present time, the most pass-oriented team in the NFL (70.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to see 132.0 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week. In this week's contest, Rashee Rice is expected by the model to finish in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.3 targets. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs grades out as the 10th-best in football this year.

At the present time, the most pass-oriented team in the NFL (70.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to see 132.0 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week. This week, Travis Kelce is expected by the projections to position himself in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 8.5 targets. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs grades out as the 10th-best in football this year.

This week's spread implies a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -4.5-point underdogs. Right now, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in football (62.8% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Dolphins.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jaylen Waddle has gone over 3.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Raheem Mostert has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Justin Watson has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Kadarius Toney has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Alec Ingold has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Mecole Hardman Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Noah Gray has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.