Denver @ Las Vegas props

The Denver Broncos may pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) since they be starting backup QB Jarrett Stidham. The Broncos are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Broncos to pass on 63.9% of their chances: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. This year, the weak Raiders pass defense has surrendered a massive 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 6th-highest rate in the NFL.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The model projects Zamir White to earn 3.4 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 80th percentile among running backs. The model projects Zamir White to be much more involved in his offense's passing game in this week's contest (10.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.5% in games he has played). As it relates to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Raiders grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year. Zamir White ranks as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, hauling in a remarkable 92.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 76th percentile.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The predictive model expects Davante Adams to garner 11.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts. Davante Adams's 86.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 75.0. As it relates to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Raiders grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year. This year, the porous Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed a massive 67.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 8th-largest rate in the NFL.

A running game script is suggested by the Raiders being a 3-point favorite in this week's game. The predictive model expects the Raiders to be the 8th-least pass-focused offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.0% pass rate. Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.5 plays per game. Austin Hooper has gone out for fewer passes this year (42.1% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (60.1%).

Jakobi Meyers has gone over 3.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Tre Tucker has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jerry Jeudy has gone over 3.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.