Tampa Bay 1st NFC South9-8
Carolina 4th NFC South2-15
FOX

Tampa Bay @ Carolina props

Bank of America Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rachaad White Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

R. White
running back RB • Tampa Bay
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.2
Best Odds
Over
-121

Rachaad White has gone out for more passes this season (70.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (32.7%). In this game, Rachaad White is predicted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 88th percentile among RBs with 3.9 targets. With a terrific 3.8 adjusted catches per game (97th percentile) this year, Rachaad White rates among the best running backs in the pass game in the league. Rachaad White has been one of the best possession receivers in football when it comes to RBs, catching a remarkable 91.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 98th percentile.

Rachaad White

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.2
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.2

Rachaad White has gone out for more passes this season (70.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (32.7%). In this game, Rachaad White is predicted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 88th percentile among RBs with 3.9 targets. With a terrific 3.8 adjusted catches per game (97th percentile) this year, Rachaad White rates among the best running backs in the pass game in the league. Rachaad White has been one of the best possession receivers in football when it comes to RBs, catching a remarkable 91.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 98th percentile.

Mike Evans Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

M. Evans
wide receiver WR • Tampa Bay
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Under
-105

A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 4.5-point favorite this week. The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to call the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The 9th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers this year (just 56.3 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: fewest in the NFL. The Carolina Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

Mike Evans

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.4
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.4

A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 4.5-point favorite this week. The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to call the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The 9th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers this year (just 56.3 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: fewest in the NFL. The Carolina Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

Adam Thielen Receptions Made Props • Carolina

A. Thielen
wide receiver WR • Carolina
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Over
-138

A passing game script is implied by the Panthers being a -4.5-point underdog in this game. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a colossal 62.1 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the league. In this week's contest, Adam Thielen is projected by the projections to land in the 90th percentile among wideouts with 7.9 targets. Adam Thielen's receiving talent has been refined this season, compiling 6.3 adjusted catches compared to a measly 4.1 last season.

Adam Thielen

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.2
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.2

A passing game script is implied by the Panthers being a -4.5-point underdog in this game. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a colossal 62.1 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the league. In this week's contest, Adam Thielen is projected by the projections to land in the 90th percentile among wideouts with 7.9 targets. Adam Thielen's receiving talent has been refined this season, compiling 6.3 adjusted catches compared to a measly 4.1 last season.

Cade Otton Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

C. Otton
tight end TE • Tampa Bay
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
-113

Cade Otton has been less involved as a potential target this year (88.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (63.9%). In this game, Cade Otton is anticipated by the projections to place in the 77th percentile among TEs with 4.1 targets. Cade Otton's 70.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a significant progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 66.2% rate. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.6%) versus TEs this year (77.6%).

Cade Otton

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.7
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.7

Cade Otton has been less involved as a potential target this year (88.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (63.9%). In this game, Cade Otton is anticipated by the projections to place in the 77th percentile among TEs with 4.1 targets. Cade Otton's 70.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a significant progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 66.2% rate. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.6%) versus TEs this year (77.6%).

Chuba Hubbard Receptions Made Props • Carolina

C. Hubbard
running back RB • Carolina
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
1.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

A passing game script is implied by the Panthers being a -4.5-point underdog in this game. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a colossal 62.1 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the league. Chuba Hubbard's 42.6% Route Participation Rate this year marks a material boost in his pass attack utilization over last year's 24.7% figure. Chuba Hubbard's play as a receiver has been refined this season, accumulating 2.3 adjusted receptions compared to a measly 1.2 last season.

Chuba Hubbard

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.9
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.9

A passing game script is implied by the Panthers being a -4.5-point underdog in this game. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a colossal 62.1 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the league. Chuba Hubbard's 42.6% Route Participation Rate this year marks a material boost in his pass attack utilization over last year's 24.7% figure. Chuba Hubbard's play as a receiver has been refined this season, accumulating 2.3 adjusted receptions compared to a measly 1.2 last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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