Tampa Bay @ Carolina props

Rachaad White has gone out for more passes this season (70.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (32.7%). In this game, Rachaad White is predicted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 88th percentile among RBs with 3.9 targets. With a terrific 3.8 adjusted catches per game (97th percentile) this year, Rachaad White rates among the best running backs in the pass game in the league. Rachaad White has been one of the best possession receivers in football when it comes to RBs, catching a remarkable 91.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 98th percentile.

A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 4.5-point favorite this week. The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to call the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The 9th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers this year (just 56.3 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: fewest in the NFL. The Carolina Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

A passing game script is implied by the Panthers being a -4.5-point underdog in this game. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a colossal 62.1 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the league. In this week's contest, Adam Thielen is projected by the projections to land in the 90th percentile among wideouts with 7.9 targets. Adam Thielen's receiving talent has been refined this season, compiling 6.3 adjusted catches compared to a measly 4.1 last season.

Cade Otton has been less involved as a potential target this year (88.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (63.9%). In this game, Cade Otton is anticipated by the projections to place in the 77th percentile among TEs with 4.1 targets. Cade Otton's 70.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a significant progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 66.2% rate. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.6%) versus TEs this year (77.6%).

A passing game script is implied by the Panthers being a -4.5-point underdog in this game. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a colossal 62.1 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the league. Chuba Hubbard's 42.6% Route Participation Rate this year marks a material boost in his pass attack utilization over last year's 24.7% figure. Chuba Hubbard's play as a receiver has been refined this season, accumulating 2.3 adjusted receptions compared to a measly 1.2 last season.

Chris Godwin has gone over 4.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Trey Palmer has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Miles Sanders has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ihmir Smith-Marsette has gone over 2.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

DJ Chark Jr. has gone over 2.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.