Tampa Bay @ Houston props

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 131.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL. The model projects Devin Singletary to accrue 3.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs. While Devin Singletary has accounted for 4.2% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Houston's pass game in this week's game at 9.5%.

Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by the projection model to call 65.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. This week, Mike Evans is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.3 targets. With a terrific 4.6 adjusted catches per game (79th percentile) this year, Mike Evans places as one of the top pass-catching WRs in the league.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context). The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 56.7 plays per game.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 131.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL. Our trusted projections expect Nico Collins to accrue 7.9 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile among WRs. Nico Collins's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 4.7 adjusted receptions compared to just 3.7 last year.

Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by the projection model to call 65.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Rachaad White's 4.1 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates an impressive gain in his receiving proficiency over last year's 3.1 figure. The Texans pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (84.9%) to RBs this year (84.9%).

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 131.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL. In this contest, Dalton Schultz is anticipated by the predictive model to rank in the 89th percentile among TEs with 5.7 targets. Dalton Schultz slots into the 89th percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 35.7 mark this year.

Trey Palmer has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Noah Brown has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Tank Dell has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Chris Godwin has gone over 5.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.