Miami @ Los Angeles props

The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Tyreek Hill to earn 10.8 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among wideouts. Tyreek Hill has been among the best pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 7.0 receptions per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Raheem Mostert has run a route on 49.0% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs. THE BLITZ projects Raheem Mostert to notch 3.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.6 plays per game. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football. Austin Ekeler has been among the leading RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 6.3 receptions per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

The Los Angeles Chargers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized). The Chargers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

The Los Angeles Chargers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized). The Chargers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Mike Williams has gone over 4.5 in 2 of his last 3 games.

Braxton Berrios has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Joshua Palmer has gone over 2.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Jaylen Waddle has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.