James Madison vs Appalachian State Picks & Props
JMU vs APP Picks
NCAAF Picks
o34.5 Team Total (+104)
The Dukes rank 28th in available yards gained and 20th in EPA/pass. Add in their strong rushing attack against this weak App State defense, and JMU should clear 35 points without much problem. Play this to 54%.
o55.5 (-104)
Play this to 53% as the Dukes push the tempo from start to finish. The game script will see them leading throughout, and they don't sit on the ball when they have an advantage. They rank Top 30 in pace of play when leading after halftime. Look for the Dukes to keep their foot on the gas to push this number north of 55.5 points.
JMU -10.5 (+100)
Play this to -11.5 and 53%. George Pettaway is terrorizing defenses right now, and he's going to rip up an App State defense ranked 119th in tackling by PFF and 101st in success rate vs. the run. He's averaging 9.02 ypc in his last four games, and the Dukes will ride him all night as they extend the lead and wear down the Mountaineers' defense.
JMU -10.5 (-110)
James Madison is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS, with a +14.4 spread differential, and despite being on the road, I'm happy to lay the number against App State. The Dukes rank 13th in the nation in yards per carry (5.3) and should run the ball well against an App State defense that allows 155 rushing yards per game (73rd). The Mountaineers don't have anything to hang their hat on offensively, ranking 74th in yards per play and 106th in yards per carry. If JMU can make them one-dimensional on offense, they'll find the necessary separation on the scoreboard.
I'm very bullish on this James Madison offense. The bread and butter is the run game, and it's something the Dukes will rely on—and succeed with—regardless of how the game plays out. It also sets up the play-action game, where Camden Coleman can thrive. Per PFF, he's completing 65.3% of his passes off run action, with a 5.1% big time throw rate.
JMU vs APP Consensus Picks
60% picking James Madison
Total Picks JMU 256, APP 168
JMU vs APP Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
JMU
C. Coleman
(QB)
o199.5 Passing Yards
234.48 OVER
PROJECTION
+35.0
DIFFERENCE
26.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
JMU
C. Coleman
(QB)
o19.5 Rushing Yards
25.97 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.5
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
APP
J. Lewis
(RB)
o42.5 Rushing Yards
43.18 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-0.34%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
APP
C. Lofton
(WR)
o19.5 Receiving Yards
29.66 OVER
PROJECTION
+10.2
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
JMU
B. Wisloski
(WR)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
35.92 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.4
DIFFERENCE
26.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
APP
D. Fugitt
(TE)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
44.75 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.2
DIFFERENCE
26.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
APP
N. Branch
(WR)
o32.5 Receiving Yards
41.92 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.4
DIFFERENCE
24.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
JMU
M. Scott
(WR)
o40.5 Receiving Yards
45.09 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.6
DIFFERENCE
24.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
APP
S. Pickett III
(WR)
o59.5 Receiving Yards
68.44 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.9
DIFFERENCE
23.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
APP
D. Fugitt
(TE)
o3.5 Receptions
4.14 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
16.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
APP
C. Lofton
(WR)
o1.5 Receptions
2.07 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
15.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
APP
N. Branch
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
3.31 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
1.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
APP
M. Singleton
(QB)
o16.5 Completions
20.70 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.2
DIFFERENCE
22.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
JMU
C. Coleman
(QB)
o16.5 Completions
17.66 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
7.76%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Dukes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Over is 7-0 in Dukes last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Mountaineers last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Mountaineers last 4 games as a home underdog.
Dukes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Dukes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Dukes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Mountaineers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
ROI Trends
Check back shortly to see trends for each team.
JMU vs APP Top User Picks
'sprality777' is picking App State to cover (+10.5)
sprality777 is #1 on picking games that App State is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.
'Hoosier' is picking James Madison to cover (-10.5)
Hoosier is #2 on picking games that App State is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.
'ciarajo' is picking App State to cover (+10.5)
ciarajo is #3 on picking games that App State is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3400 units on the season.
'Gary64' is picking App State to cover (+10.5)
Gary64 is #3 on picking games that James Madison is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.
'Kazual12' is picking App State to cover (+10.5)
Kazual12 is #6 on picking games that James Madison is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.
'rollonotes' is picking App State to cover (+10.5)
rollonotes is #7 on picking games that James Madison is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.
'mccabe40' is picking James Madison to cover (-10.5)
mccabe40 is #8 on picking games that App State is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +2900 units on the season.
'GiantsFan123' is picking App State to cover (+10.5)
GiantsFan123 is #9 on picking games that App State is in with a record of (3-2-0) and +2900 units on the season.
'ArrowheadRanger' is picking James Madison to cover (-10.5)
ArrowheadRanger is #9 on picking games that James Madison is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.