Ohio State vs Indiana Picks & Props
OSU vs IU Picks
NCAAF PicksOhio State -2.5 first quarter gives me exposure to the Buckeyes' fast starts while preserving my Indiana full-game angle. Ohio State ranks second nationally in first-quarter scoring, while Indiana has been much stronger after halftime.
Over 49.5 is playable as long as it stays below 51.5. Hoover and Sayin lead the Big Ten in passer efficiency, both offenses have elite perimeter weapons, and each ranks in the 90th percentile or better in explosive-play rate.
Indiana +3.5 is playable down to pick 'em. The Hoosiers have the better standard-down and trench metrics, can make Ohio State one-dimensional, and Curt Cignetti has consistently delivered against Top-10 opponents.
We have a lot of similarities in this matchup to last season's Big 10 championship game that had a 13-10 final. I expect both teams to play conservatively early. The marquee games for both teams this season have been low scoring and conservative, so I question if either will take many risks offensively.
Ohio State can start fast without controlling the entire game. If Indiana responds after the opening quarter and Cignetti’s adjustments take hold, the scoring should stay active while the Hoosiers remain within striking distance late.
OSU vs IU Consensus Picks
OSU vs IU Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
J. Sayin
(QB)
u259.5 Passing Yards
242.65 UNDER
PROJECTION
-16.9
DIFFERENCE
24.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
J. Hoover
(QB)
u217.5 Passing Yards
214.79 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.7
DIFFERENCE
5.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
OSU
B. Jackson
(RB)
o69.5 Rushing Yards
80.91 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.4
DIFFERENCE
25.35%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
IU
L. Beebe Jr.
(RB)
o49.5 Rushing Yards
62.28 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.8
DIFFERENCE
22.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
IU
T. Richard
(RB)
o52.5 Rushing Yards
57.86 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.4
DIFFERENCE
21.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
IU
C. Becker
(WR)
o79.5 Receiving Yards
91.56 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.1
DIFFERENCE
26.19%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
IU
T. Richard
(RB)
o1.5 Receiving Yards
4.46 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.0
DIFFERENCE
26.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
IU
N. Marsh
(WR)
o79.5 Receiving Yards
81.89 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.4
DIFFERENCE
23.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
OSU
N. Roberts
(TE)
o14.5 Receiving Yards
19.33 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.8
DIFFERENCE
23.51%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
OSU
D. McCuin
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
40.79 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
15.05%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
J. Smith
(WR)
o124.5 Receiving Yards
130.92 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.4
DIFFERENCE
14.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
IU
C. Becker
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
5.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
14.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
IU
N. Marsh
(WR)
o5.5 Receptions
5.64 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
OSU
D. McCuin
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
3.04 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
J. Smith
(WR)
u8.5 Receptions
8.32 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-3.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
OSU
B. Jackson
(RB)
o1.5 Receptions
1.76 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-12.76%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
IU
T. Richard
(RB)
o0.5 Receptions
0.53 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-25.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
IU
T. Richard
(RB)
u12.5 Carries
11.51 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
13.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
IU
L. Beebe Jr.
(RB)
o13.5 Carries
14.04 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
11.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
J. Hoover
(QB)
o17.5 Completions
17.62 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
9.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
J. Sayin
(QB)
o19.5 Completions
19.59 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.99%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Under is 7-0 in Buckeyes last 7 road games.
Under is 6-0 in Buckeyes last 6 games as a road favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Buckeyes last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 6-0 in Buckeyes last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Buckeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite.
Buckeyes are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
ROI Trends
Check back shortly to see trends for each team.