Kentucky vs Oklahoma Picks & Props
UK vs OKLA Picks
NCAAF PicksPlayable to 54%, I'm backing the Under thanks to two outstanding defenses and two offenses that tend to sputter on third down.
Add in the questionable status of Kentucky RB CJ Baxter and you have the perfect ingredients for a low-scoring recipe.
Playable to 54%.
John Mateer is a turnover machine with a 5.8% turnover-worthy pass rate, and the Wildcats have one of the most opportunistic defenses in the nation.
I'm backing Kenny Menchey to keep this game close as the Wildcats have a chance to win late.
I'm playing this to 43%. The Wildcats and Sooners both already three non-offensive touchdowns each this season. With Mateer's turnover issues, the probability on this is a bit low.
Oklahoma has scored just two first-half touchdowns in the last four games. But the Sooners haven't scored a single first-quarter point in that span.
Meanwhile the Wildcats have scored a total of 21 first-quarter points in their last five games, and haven't scored in the opening 15 minutes in three of those contests.
UK vs OKLA Consensus Picks
UK vs OKLA Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
J. Mateer
(QB)
u228.5 Passing Yards
215.64 UNDER
PROJECTION
-12.9
DIFFERENCE
21.69%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
UK
K. Minchey
(QB)
o184.5 Passing Yards
191.90 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.4
DIFFERENCE
16.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
J. Mateer
(QB)
o27.5 Rushing Yards
35.91 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.4
DIFFERENCE
24.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
OKLA
L. Avant
(RB)
o47.5 Rushing Yards
53.86 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.4
DIFFERENCE
24.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
UK
C. Baxter
(RB)
o49.5 Rushing Yards
54.99 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.5
DIFFERENCE
19.7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
OKLA
R. Beers
(TE)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
53.57 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.1
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UK
K. Darby
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
65.37 OVER
PROJECTION
+15.9
DIFFERENCE
26.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UK
W. Rodriguez
(TE)
o30.5 Receiving Yards
41.66 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.2
DIFFERENCE
26.31%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UK
H. Boyer
(TE)
o7.5 Receiving Yards
13.14 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.6
DIFFERENCE
25.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
OKLA
I. Sategna III
(WR)
o66.5 Receiving Yards
79.82 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.3
DIFFERENCE
25.18%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UK
D. Miller
(WR)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
35.68 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.2
DIFFERENCE
25.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UK
C. Baxter
(RB)
o8.5 Receiving Yards
12.35 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.8
DIFFERENCE
23.76%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
OKLA
L. Avant
(RB)
o10.5 Receiving Yards
13.37 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.9
DIFFERENCE
21.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
OKLA
R. Beers
(TE)
o3.5 Receptions
4.11 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
15.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UK
K. Darby
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
4.79 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-17.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
OKLA
L. Avant
(RB)
o1.5 Receptions
1.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-17.8%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 5-0 in Wildcats last 5 games overall.
Over is 5-0 in Wildcats last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Wildcats last 5 games on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 games as an underdog.
Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.