Wake Forest vs California Picks & Props
WAKE vs CAL Picks
NCAAF Picks
o53.5 (-110)
I only like the Over at 53.5 or better because Cal's offense is sporadic. However, Wake Forest's offense has helped it hit the Over in three of four games against unranked opponents. The Demon Deacons lead the country in net EPA per drive on offense, but their defense is just 110th in success rate (47.7%).
o31.5 Team Total (-109)
I'd play the Over on Wake Forest's team total at 31.5 or better. The Demon Deacons have scored 38+ points in all four of their games against unranked opponents and are top 20 in both pass (51.2%) and rush success rates (49.5%).
I like Wake to cover -9.5 or better against a Cal team that has one of the worst offenses in the country. The Golden Bears are 122nd in net EPA per play on offense, while Gio Lopez has the Demon Deacons ranked No. 1 by that same metric.
Wake's offense is one of the best in college football and leads the country in net EPA per play. Against a Cal defense that's 93rd in available yards percentage (51.7%), the Demon Deacons should build a lead early that the Golden Bears can't overcome. Cal's offense ranks outside the top 100 in both EPA per pass and rush.
WAKE vs CAL Consensus Picks
WAKE vs CAL Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
CAL
J. Sagapolutele
(QB)
o248.5 Passing Yards
258.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+10.1
DIFFERENCE
20.26%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
WAKE
D. Lawrence
(RB)
o39.5 Rushing Yards
51.96 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.5
DIFFERENCE
25.34%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
WAKE
T. Clark III
(RB)
o46.5 Rushing Yards
55.73 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.2
DIFFERENCE
25.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
WAKE
G. Lopez
(QB)
o26.5 Rushing Yards
34.32 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.8
DIFFERENCE
24.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
CAL
C. Hendricks
(WR)
o54.5 Receiving Yards
71.82 OVER
PROJECTION
+17.3
DIFFERENCE
26.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WAKE
J. Foley
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
61.50 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.0
DIFFERENCE
25.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WAKE
C. Hernandez
(WR)
o99.5 Receiving Yards
113.19 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.7
DIFFERENCE
24.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WAKE
A. Meeks
(WR)
o24.5 Receiving Yards
25.15 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
2.46%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
CAL
J. King
(WR)
o1.5 Receptions
2.11 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
18.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
WAKE
J. Foley
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions
3.74 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
14.95%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
WAKE
C. Hernandez
(WR)
o7.5 Receptions
7.68 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-10.73%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
WAKE
A. Meeks
(WR)
o1.5 Receptions
1.67 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-16.69%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
WAKE
G. Lopez
(QB)
o9.5 Carries
9.80 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
0.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
WAKE
G. Lopez
(QB)
u20.5 Completions
19.68 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
12.82%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Under is 5-0 in Golden Bears last 5 games as a favorite.
Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Under is 4-0 in Golden Bears last 4 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-0 in Demon Deacons last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Demon Deacons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-0 in Demon Deacons last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Demon Deacons last 7 games as a favorite.
Under is 7-1 in Golden Bears last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
ROI Trends
Check back shortly to see trends for each team.