Oklahoma State vs Houston Picks & Props
OKST vs HOU Picks
NCAAF PicksThere's always the possibility that the first half ends up being lower-scoring than expected, but I already like the Cougars in this matchup. I'd rather trust Houston to come out firing and build a lead of at least a field goal than sweat both teams needing to combine for 32-plus points before halftime. Give me Houston to get the job done early!
Good old-fashioned Big 12 football is on the menu, and I'm expecting points in bunches. Both offenses rank in the top 35 nationally in scoring and average more than 460 yards per game. With defenses likely overwhelmed, expect a shootout. These teams are a combined 7-4 to the over this season.
Houston's offense ranks No. 1 in quality drives, and Oklahoma State's defense has struggled to stop the run, allowing nearly 170 rushing yards per game. Conner Weigman is coming off a four-touchdown performance against Kansas State and should be able to exploit this defense through the air and on the ground. Houston has the offensive firepower to cover -4.5.
Amare Thomas is averaging 70.3 receiving yards per game since the start of last season, and it's time to buy low after several down games. Oklahoma State is a pace-up team (24.3 seconds per snap) that just surrendered 265 passing yards and four passing scores to UCF's backup quarterback.
If you're looking to get involved in one of the more exciting matchups of the week, this one has all the makings of a high-scoring shootout with multiple lead changes. Combo all three plays above, Houston first half -2.5, Houston full game -4.5, and the over 62.5, and you're getting nearly 5.00x. That's a fun way to sweat this one!
OKST vs HOU Consensus Picks
OKST vs HOU Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
OKST
D. Mestemaker
(QB)
u284.5 Passing Yards
249.76 UNDER
PROJECTION
-34.7
DIFFERENCE
26.41%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
HOU
M. Hughes
(RB)
u74.5 Rushing Yards
63.23 UNDER
PROJECTION
-11.3
DIFFERENCE
25.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
OKST
C. Hawkins
(RB)
o86.5 Rushing Yards
98.45 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.0
DIFFERENCE
23.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
HOU
R. Sanford II
(RB)
u81.5 Rushing Yards
78.03 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.5
DIFFERENCE
19.32%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
HOU
P. Overmyer
(TE)
o69.5 Receiving Yards
82.18 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.7
DIFFERENCE
26.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
HOU
A. Thomas
(WR)
o52.5 Receiving Yards
62.64 OVER
PROJECTION
+10.1
DIFFERENCE
25.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
OKST
W. Young
(WR)
o68.5 Receiving Yards
84.71 OVER
PROJECTION
+16.2
DIFFERENCE
25.26%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
OKST
C. Hawkins
(RB)
o19.5 Receiving Yards
25.28 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.8
DIFFERENCE
24.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
OKST
J. Bowick
(WR)
o63.5 Receiving Yards
68.74 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.2
DIFFERENCE
22.19%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
HOU
T. Walker
(WR)
o43.5 Receiving Yards
45.99 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.5
DIFFERENCE
17.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
HOU
P. Overmyer
(TE)
o4.5 Receptions
5.95 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
15.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
HOU
T. Walker
(WR)
u3.5 Receptions
3.02 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
8.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
OKST
W. Young
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
5.32 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
6.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
HOU
M. Hughes
(RB)
o13.5 Carries
14.12 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-1.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
C. Weigman
(QB)
u19.5 Completions
18.32 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
7.99%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Under is 6-0 in Cougars last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Cowboys are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Over is 9-1 in Cougars last 10 games as a favorite.
Under is 6-1 in Cougars last 7 games as a home underdog.