Arizona State vs Texas Tech Picks & Props
ASU vs TTU Picks
NCAAF PicksTexas Tech should roll against an Arizona State defense allowing 33 points per game. The Red Raiders average more than 35 points per game, and the Sun Devils have surrendered 48 or more points twice this season. If Arizona State can contribute offensively, this total should sail over 50.5.
Texas Tech or nothing here. The Sun Devils' three wins aren't impressive, and their two losses to Baylor and Texas A&M came by a combined 64 points. The Red Raiders should run all over this defense, averaging over 180 rushing yards per game. Expect Texas Tech to dominate on both sides.
Backfield mate Cameron Dickey (1,635 yards, 20 touchdowns since the start of last season) is out with injury, so J'Koby Williams is the clear alpha of this offense. Arizona State is a fine matchup, checking in at 85th in EPA per rush and 99th in rushing explosiveness allowed, and Williams should get all the work he can handle.
I like the hook here which is a big deal around a key number. I'm not buying this Texas Tech team. Their last two games were miracle covers. Both teams have played a similar strength of schedule, but Arizona State has a slightly better yards per play margin, so I'll take advantage at this number.
Backing Texas Tech to take care of an Arizona State team that has yet to do anything against quality opponents, while adding the over to the equation for a 4.29x payout, is well worth the squeeze in my book. I fully expect the Red Raiders to carry the scoring load and hope the Sun Devils can sprinkle in a few late scores to push this one over the top.
ASU vs TTU Consensus Picks
49% picking Arizona State
Total Picks ASU 197, TTU 208
ASU vs TTU Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
TTU
W. Hammond
(QB)
o225.5 Passing Yards
250.97 OVER
PROJECTION
+25.5
DIFFERENCE
25.41%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
ASU
C. Boley
(QB)
o214.5 Passing Yards
216.13 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
22.31%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
ASU
C. Boley
(QB)
o8.5 Rushing Yards
17.02 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.5
DIFFERENCE
26.68%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
TTU
W. Hammond
(QB)
o12.5 Rushing Yards
20.56 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.1
DIFFERENCE
26%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
TTU
J. Williams
(RB)
o89.5 Rushing Yards
102.86 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.4
DIFFERENCE
24.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
ASU
K. Brown
(RB)
o26.5 Rushing Yards
32.46 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.0
DIFFERENCE
21.16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TTU
J. Williams
(RB)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
42.90 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.4
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TTU
T. Carter Jr.
(TE)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
51.91 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.4
DIFFERENCE
26.38%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TTU
C. Eakin
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
49.02 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.5
DIFFERENCE
26.32%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ASU
R. Harris
(WR)
o74.5 Receiving Yards
104.42 OVER
PROJECTION
+29.9
DIFFERENCE
26.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ASU
O. Miller
(WR)
o50.5 Receiving Yards
74.29 OVER
PROJECTION
+23.8
DIFFERENCE
25.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ASU
K. Brown
(RB)
o9.5 Receiving Yards
12.68 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.2
DIFFERENCE
23.31%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TTU
M. Hudson
(WR)
o22.5 Receiving Yards
24.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.0
DIFFERENCE
19.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TTU
K. Johnson
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
52.14 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.6
DIFFERENCE
13.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
ASU
R. Harris
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
7.11 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.6
DIFFERENCE
20.18%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
TTU
T. Carter Jr.
(TE)
o3.5 Receptions
4.31 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
15.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
TTU
K. Johnson
(WR)
u3.5 Receptions
3.30 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
10.52%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
ASU
O. Miller
(WR)
o5.5 Receptions
5.57 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
7.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
TTU
C. Eakin
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
3.40 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
4.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
TTU
M. Hudson
(WR)
o1.5 Receptions
1.70 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-16.85%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
TTU
J. Williams
(RB)
o17.5 Carries
19.56 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.1
DIFFERENCE
24.47%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
ASU
K. Brown
(RB)
o7.5 Carries
8.87 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.4
DIFFERENCE
17.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
ASU
C. Boley
(QB)
o20.5 Completions
21.03 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-2.73%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Over is 6-0 in Sun Devils last 6 games following a bye week.
Under is 5-0 in Red Raiders last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Sun Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Sun Devils last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Red Raiders last 4 games following a ATS win.
Sun Devils are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
ROI Trends
ASU vs TTU Top User Picks
'vwebb57' is picking Texas Tech to cover (-14.5)
vwebb57 is #2 on picking games that Arizona State is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3950 units on the season.
'Cuttynyc' is picking Arizona State to cover (+14.5)
Cuttynyc is #3 on picking games that Arizona State is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3450 units on the season.
'etrain25' is picking Arizona State to cover (+15.5)
etrain25 is #7 on picking games that Arizona State is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'wu1978' is picking Texas Tech to cover (-14.5)
wu1978 is #8 on picking games that Arizona State is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'Ducnrun13' is picking Arizona State to cover (+14.5)
Ducnrun13 is #8 on picking games that Texas Tech is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.