Joey Aguilar TD Passes Props • Tennessee
J. Aguilar
quarterback QB • Tennessee
SEC Network
Tennessee @ Mississippi State Picks & Props
TENN vs MSST Picks
NCAAF Picks
Total
o62.5 (-110)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Simply don't trust either defense
MoneyLine
MSST (+245)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
The Bulldogs rank fourth in rush success this season, and seven in EPA/rush. The offensive line is providing 3.6 line yards per rush and just one of eight rushing attempts are being stuffed. It’s a big reason why the offense is averaging 5.3 points per quality opportunity.
Receiving Yards
BS
Braylon Staley o48.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Staley’s Week 5 receiving yardage prop of 48.5 is too low. He’s averaging 70.1 yards per game
and has recorded 50+ yards in all three games against FBS opponents.
TD Passes
JA
Joey Aguilar u2.5 TD Passes (-213)
Projection 1.9811 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Passing Yards
JA
Joey Aguilar u272.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 245.0362 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Passing Yards
BS
Blake Shapen u251.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 233.8489 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Receiving Yards
BS
Braylon Staley o48.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 61.5385 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Receiving Yards
AE
Anthony Evans III u66.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
Projection 64.7186 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Receiving Yards
BT
Brenen Thompson o69.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 71.8753 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Receiving Yards
CB
Chris Brazzell II u74.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 73.808 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Rushing Yards
ST
Star Thomas o50.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Projection 58.6357 (Over)
EV Model Rating
TENN vs MSST Consensus Picks
View all Consensus PicksTENN vs MSST Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Blake Shapen TD Passes Props • MS State
B. Shapen
quarterback QB • MS State
TENN vs MSST Trends
Tennessee Trends
Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Tennessee has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (-11.95 Units / -2% ROI)
Tennessee has only hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 away games (-6.50 Units / -59% ROI)
TENN
MSST
Tennessee has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.90 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has not hit the Team Total Under in any of their last 4 games (-4.70 Units / -100% ROI)
Tennessee has not hit the 1H Game Total Under in any of their last 3 away games (-3.45 Units / -100% ROI)
Mississippi State Trends
Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
TENN
MSST
Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
Mississippi State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.30 Units / 30% ROI)
Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Over
Under
Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.85 Units / 2% ROI)
TENN
MSST
Mississippi State has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 2 of their last 7 games at home (-3.80 Units / -47% ROI)
Mississippi State has only hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 7 games at home (-3.50 Units / -45% ROI)
Over
Under