Saskatchewan Picks
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EDM @ SSK Picks
CFL Picks
u50.5 (-112)
Despite missing some key pieces on defence, Edmonton's stop unit still leads the league in fewest points allowed per game (24.8) and lowest opposing passer rating. Along with missing QB Trevor Harris, the Riders will be without running back A.J. Ouellette and star wideout KeeSean Johnson, leaving Saskatchewan's offence severely shorthanded. Meanwhile, the Elks will be without veteran pivot Cody Fajardo, and they likely won't have RB Justin Rankin or WR Austin Mack available. This is shaping up to resemble a preseason game featuring two sluggish offences, so I'd play the Under to 49.5.
EDM (+114)
When it comes to motivation, it’s essentially a wash between the two teams. As is often the case in Week 21, both teams are expected to rest key players as they turn their attention to the postseason. Jack Coan will make his first career CFL start for Saskatchewan, while Taylor Powell is expected to start under centre for Edmonton. My edge lies in Powell's considerably greater CFL experience, including 10 starts with the Hamilton Tiger-Cats from 2023-24. He also owns a career 93.4 passer rating, while Coan has attempted just 29 passes in the league. With this game essentially priced as a pick’em, I’ll take Edmonton at plus money (playable to +100).
Edmonton is an impressive 5-3 SU on the road this season, and I like the West's top seed to close out the regular season on a high note before its playoff bye. Points should come at a premium between these two teams, with the Under cashing in three of their last four meetings.
