New York @ Dallas picks

With some injury concerns hovering over both teams, and the size of Jonquel Jones and Emma Meesseman looming in the paint whenever Dallas ventures there, I’m banking on some cold stretches throughout, leading the Under of what seems like a lofty total.

In the five games with Breanna Stewart out, Sabrina Ionescu had averaged 27.4 points before a nine-point dud last game in the Liberty’s 85-76 win. But the outlier creates opportunity, as books have dropped her scoring total to a manageable 20.5 points against the Wings.

Paige Bueckers is expected to play tonight despite a back issue, but it’s fair to wonder what kind of limitations she’ll face, particularly with New York sure to ramp up the perimeter pressure and put that injury under the microscope. Paige has put together four straight games with 20+ points, but I see that streak coming to an end, as she's clearly not at 100%.