BOS -3.5 o231.0
TOR 3.5 u231.0
ORL -5.0 o219.5
PHI 5.0 u219.5
UTA 6.5 o232.5
SA -6.5 u232.5
SAC 3.0 o230.5
POR -3.0 u230.5
Final OT Oct 10
PHO 132 -5.5 o221.0
BK 127 5.5 u221.0
Phoenix 11th West36-46
Sacramento 9th West40-42

Phoenix @ Sacramento Picks & Props

PHO vs SAC Picks

NBA Picks
Spread
Phoenix Suns logo PHO +15.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

While I believe the Kings will win, that 15-point spread is massive, and I don’t think a team three games under .500 that’s struggled of late should be considered a safe cover. The Kings are also just 19-21 ATS at Golden 1 Center this season. This one won’t go down to the wire, but it should be close enough for the Suns to cover.

Total Rebounds
Domantas Sabonis logo Domantas Sabonis o13.5 Total Rebounds (+104)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Phoenix is averaging less than 108 points over its previous 10 games, shooting just 45.7% from the floor, including 34% from beyond the arc. All those misses add up, presenting plenty of rebound chances for Sacramento big Domantas Sabonis. He's been extra active on the glass in recent contests, hauling in more than 14 rebounds per game over his last 11 showings. The 7-footer had 16 boards in a loss to the Clippers on Friday.

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PHO vs SAC Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

66% picking Phoenix vs Sacramento to go Over

66%
34%

Total PicksPHO 227, SAC 119

Total
Over
Under

PHO vs SAC Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Zach LaVine Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Zach LaVine
Z. LaVine
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Zach LaVine has attempted 22.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year. In comparison to last year's 32.3% clip, Zach LaVine's three-point prowess has increased this year to 42.7%. Zach LaVine has averaged 41.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's averaged overall this year. With respect to shooting, the Kings's superb 115.8 points per game comes in as the 9th-most in the league this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.8 free throws per game this year when the Suns are the visiting team (2nd-most in the league).

Zach LaVine

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.7

Zach LaVine has attempted 22.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year. In comparison to last year's 32.3% clip, Zach LaVine's three-point prowess has increased this year to 42.7%. Zach LaVine has averaged 41.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's averaged overall this year. With respect to shooting, the Kings's superb 115.8 points per game comes in as the 9th-most in the league this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.8 free throws per game this year when the Suns are the visiting team (2nd-most in the league).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Domantas Sabonis
D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis comes in at the 93rd percentile for scoring prowess with the home court advantage with an outstanding 60.7% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile. With respect to shooting, the Kings's superb 115.8 points per game comes in as the 9th-most in the league this year. The number of points averaged against Mason Plumlee has been quite high (16.7 per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (97th percentile). Domantas Sabonis has made 97.1% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 23.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.1

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis comes in at the 93rd percentile for scoring prowess with the home court advantage with an outstanding 60.7% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile. With respect to shooting, the Kings's superb 115.8 points per game comes in as the 9th-most in the league this year. The number of points averaged against Mason Plumlee has been quite high (16.7 per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (97th percentile). Domantas Sabonis has made 97.1% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 23.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Keon Ellis
K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis has converted 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year while at home. Keon Ellis has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 9.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year at home. With respect to shooting, the Kings's superb 115.8 points per game comes in as the 9th-most in the league this year. Keon Ellis has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Keon Ellis will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improve player performance across the board.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Keon Ellis has converted 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year while at home. Keon Ellis has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 9.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year at home. With respect to shooting, the Kings's superb 115.8 points per game comes in as the 9th-most in the league this year. Keon Ellis has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Keon Ellis will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improve player performance across the board.

Oso Ighodaro Points Scored Props • Phoenix

Oso Ighodaro
O. Ighodaro
power forward PF • Phoenix
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As it relates to treys, the Suns's fantastic 37.8% rate of successful threes without the home court advantage places 2nd-most in the league this year.

Oso Ighodaro

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

As it relates to treys, the Suns's fantastic 37.8% rate of successful threes without the home court advantage places 2nd-most in the league this year.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

DeMar DeRozan
D. DeRozan
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 20.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's attempted in all games this year. DeMar DeRozan has attempted 5.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 35.2 minutes per game at home this year. With respect to shooting, the Kings's superb 115.8 points per game comes in as the 9th-most in the league this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 41.1% on 3-pointers (8th-best in the NBA) against the Suns, creating a strong matchup.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 20.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's attempted in all games this year. DeMar DeRozan has attempted 5.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 35.2 minutes per game at home this year. With respect to shooting, the Kings's superb 115.8 points per game comes in as the 9th-most in the league this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 41.1% on 3-pointers (8th-best in the NBA) against the Suns, creating a strong matchup.

Ryan Dunn Points Scored Props • Phoenix

Ryan Dunn
R. Dunn
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The most lethargic pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns. The Kings have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Suns.

Ryan Dunn

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

The most lethargic pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns. The Kings have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Suns.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Keegan Murray
K. Murray
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keegan Murray has successfully made 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year while at home. Keegan Murray has averaged 34.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile. With respect to shooting, the Kings's superb 115.8 points per game comes in as the 9th-most in the league this year. Keegan Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.5% more than he's converted in all games this year. The matchup against Phoenix may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 7.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Phoenix Suns are on the road (2nd-most in the NBA).

Keegan Murray

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Keegan Murray has successfully made 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year while at home. Keegan Murray has averaged 34.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile. With respect to shooting, the Kings's superb 115.8 points per game comes in as the 9th-most in the league this year. Keegan Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.5% more than he's converted in all games this year. The matchup against Phoenix may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 7.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Phoenix Suns are on the road (2nd-most in the NBA).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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