MIL 3.5 o221.5
MIA -3.5 u221.5
ATL 3.0 o226.5
HOU -3.0 u226.5
DET -4.0 o227.5
MEM 4.0 u227.5
OKC 4.5 o225.5
DAL -4.5 u225.5
DEN 2.0 o224.5
TOR -2.0 u224.5
Golden State 7th West53-41
Phoenix 11th West36-46

Golden State @ Phoenix Picks & Props

GS vs PHO Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
Stephen Curry logo Stephen Curry o25.5 Points Scored (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

I’m throwing out Stephen Curry’s 1-for-10 clunker against the Rockets on Sunday and picking Golden State’s main man to put on a show tonight in Phoenix. The recent numbers suggest a 25.5-point total is well within reach for Curry, who poured in 73 points across back-to-back wins against the Los Angeles Lakers and Denver Nuggets last week, on the heels of a 52-point masterpiece in last Tuesday’s victory over the Grizzlies. The Warriors have pushed their way into the title conversation since trading for Jimmy Butler, and Curry is enjoying a little extra space to operate. He’s splashed 4+ 3-pointers in six of his last nine contests, and this matchup should provide more open looks than usual. After all, there’s not much to like about the Suns’ defensive effort these days.

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Golden State Warriors logo GS -9.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

The Golden State Warriors visit the Phoenix Suns, hoping for a split to their four-game season series. Golden State is trying to hold off Minnesota and avoid the play-in tourney. The Warriors ended a five-game winning streak with a lackadaisical Sunday home loss to Houston, but they can turn it around against an injured Phoenix squad on a six-game losing streak. Golden State is 4-1-0 ATS across the previous five and should be motivated enough to win comfortably against Phoenix.

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GS vs PHO Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

70% picking Golden State vs Phoenix to go Over

70%
30%

Total PicksGS 273, PHO 119

Total
Over
Under

GS vs PHO Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nick Richards Points Scored Props • Phoenix

Nick Richards
N. Richards
center C • Phoenix
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds

Nick Richards has successfully made 65.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 10.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home when it comes to three-point attempts. Nick Richards has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.4% more than he's made in all games this season at home. Nick Richards is expected to get a boost in performance in all facets of the game on account of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Nick Richards

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Nick Richards has successfully made 65.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 10.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home when it comes to three-point attempts. Nick Richards has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.4% more than he's made in all games this season at home. Nick Richards is expected to get a boost in performance in all facets of the game on account of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

Devin Booker
D. Booker
point guard PG • Phoenix
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds

The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns. The Warriors have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer plays for the Phoenix Suns. The Suns rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Devin Booker

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Phoenix Suns. The Warriors have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer plays for the Phoenix Suns. The Suns rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

Moses Moody
M. Moody
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds

Moses Moody has sunk 53.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 16.5% more than he's converted overall this season. Moses Moody has averaged 28.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games when playing away from home, 5.7 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have averaged 1.9 3-pointers per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, designating this as a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the league away from home with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Moses Moody

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Moses Moody has sunk 53.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 16.5% more than he's converted overall this season. Moses Moody has averaged 28.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games when playing away from home, 5.7 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have averaged 1.9 3-pointers per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, designating this as a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the league away from home with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Ryan Dunn Points Scored Props • Phoenix

Ryan Dunn
R. Dunn
power forward PF • Phoenix
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds

Ryan Dunn has attempted 8.7 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Ryan Dunn has attempted 4.7 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Ryan Dunn has been on the court for 25.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 7.5 more than he's been on the court for overall this season at home. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home when it comes to three-point attempts. This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on 3-pointers (highest in the NBA) against the Warriors, designating this as a positive matchup.

Ryan Dunn

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Ryan Dunn has attempted 8.7 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Ryan Dunn has attempted 4.7 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Ryan Dunn has been on the court for 25.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 7.5 more than he's been on the court for overall this season at home. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home when it comes to three-point attempts. This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on 3-pointers (highest in the NBA) against the Warriors, designating this as a positive matchup.

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

Bradley Beal
B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds

Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal comes in at the 84th percentile for shots hit playing at home, posting an enormous 6.1 per game this year. Bradley Beal has converted 1.9 shots from downtown per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home when it comes to three-point attempts. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Warriors, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Bradley Beal

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal comes in at the 84th percentile for shots hit playing at home, posting an enormous 6.1 per game this year. Bradley Beal has converted 1.9 shots from downtown per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home when it comes to three-point attempts. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Warriors, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

Brandin Podziemski
B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Suns is a tough one for threes; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.5). The 9th-slowest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. The Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Golden State Warriors. Brandin Podziemski will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player production across the board.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Suns is a tough one for threes; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.5). The 9th-slowest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. The Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Golden State Warriors. Brandin Podziemski will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player production across the board.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

Jonathan Kuminga
J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds

Among all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga rates in the 81st percentile, posting a massive 14.8 points per game when playing on the road this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the league away from home with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 6.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 1.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Among all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga rates in the 81st percentile, posting a massive 14.8 points per game when playing on the road this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the league away from home with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 6.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 1.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

Draymond Green
D. Green
center C • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds

Draymond Green has attempted 4.7 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Draymond Green registers in the 77th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 29.1 minutes per game this year. The number of points put up against Nick Richards has been remarkably high (16.9 per game) when he is playing at home and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile). Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the league away from home with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Nick Richards has been remarkably high (3.0 free throws per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (90th percentile).

Draymond Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Draymond Green has attempted 4.7 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Draymond Green registers in the 77th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 29.1 minutes per game this year. The number of points put up against Nick Richards has been remarkably high (16.9 per game) when he is playing at home and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile). Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the league away from home with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Nick Richards has been remarkably high (3.0 free throws per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (90th percentile).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

Stephen Curry
S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.5
Best Odds

Stephen Curry has scored 32.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's scored over the course of the year. Stephen Curry has sunk 49.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 5.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this year while on the road. Stephen Curry has averaged 32.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 87th percentile. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted 29.2 points per game (highest in the league) against the Suns, designating this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the league away from home with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.5
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.5

Stephen Curry has scored 32.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's scored over the course of the year. Stephen Curry has sunk 49.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 5.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this year while on the road. Stephen Curry has averaged 32.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 87th percentile. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted 29.2 points per game (highest in the league) against the Suns, designating this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the league away from home with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Royce O'Neale Points Scored Props • Phoenix

Royce O'Neale
R. O'Neale
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds

Royce O'Neale has made 41.2% of his shots from downtown while at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Royce O'Neale has attempted 7.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home when it comes to three-point attempts. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 shot attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Warriors, making this a strong matchup. The matchup against Golden State is a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.9 foul shots per game this year when the Warriors are on the road (8th-most in the NBA).

Royce O'Neale

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Royce O'Neale has made 41.2% of his shots from downtown while at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Royce O'Neale has attempted 7.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home when it comes to three-point attempts. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 shot attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Warriors, making this a strong matchup. The matchup against Golden State is a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.9 foul shots per game this year when the Warriors are on the road (8th-most in the NBA).

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

Grayson Allen
G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds

Grayson Allen has made 53.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 8.4% more than he's put through the net overall this year. Grayson Allen has successfully made 2.2 3-point shots per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home when it comes to three-point attempts. Grayson Allen will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases stat production for all stats.

Grayson Allen

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Grayson Allen has made 53.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 8.4% more than he's put through the net overall this year. Grayson Allen has successfully made 2.2 3-point shots per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home when it comes to three-point attempts. Grayson Allen will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases stat production for all stats.

Tyus Jones Points Scored Props • Phoenix

Tyus Jones
T. Jones
point guard PG • Phoenix
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.23
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Tyus Jones has gone over 7.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Golden State

Buddy Hield
B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.20
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Buddy Hield has gone over 9.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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