NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 11, 2026

Cleveland Cavaliers logo CLE @ Orlando Magic logo ORL Wed, Mar 11 • 7:30 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Wendell Carter Jr. logo
Wendell Carter Jr. o9.5 Points Scored (-109)
Projection 11.63 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
When it comes to shooting, the Orlando Magic's impressive 116.4 points per game measures as the 9th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Total Rebounds
Wendell Carter Jr. logo
Wendell Carter Jr. o6.5 Total Rebounds (-108)
Projection 8.24 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
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Toronto Raptors logo TOR @ New Orleans Pelicans logo NO Wed, Mar 11 • 8:00 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Derik Queen logo
Derik Queen o7.5 Points Scored (-110)
Projection 9.35 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 3rd-best in in the league while at home with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Total Rebounds
Derik Queen logo
Derik Queen o4.5 Total Rebounds (+114)
Projection 5.63 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 3rd-best in in the league while at home with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
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New York Knicks logo NY @ Utah Jazz logo UTA Wed, Mar 11 • 9:00 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Keyonte George logo
Keyonte George u21.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 17.79 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Jazz rank as the 10th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.. This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 4.8 3-point attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, making this a challenging matchup.. The 8th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.. The New York Knicks have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Jazz.
Points Scored
John Konchar logo
John Konchar u4.5 Points Scored (+105)
Projection 4 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Jazz rank as the 10th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.. The 8th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.. The New York Knicks have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Jazz.. The matchup vs. the New York Knicks is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.9 free throws per game this year (4th-least in the league).
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Houston Rockets logo HOU @ Denver Nuggets logo DEN Wed, Mar 11 • 10:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 5 Computer Picks
Spread
Houston Rockets logo HOU +4.5 (-122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Denver is just 14-16 ATS at home this season, and with star point guard Jamal Murray listed as a game-time decision, I'll take the points with the Rockets on Wednesday night.

Points Scored
Tari Eason logo
Tari Eason o10.5 Points Scored (+100)
Projection 12.98 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Houston Rockets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).. The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
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Charlotte Hornets logo CHA @ Sacramento Kings logo SAC Wed, Mar 11 • 10:00 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Points Scored
Russell Westbrook logo
Russell Westbrook u16.5 Points Scored (-115)
Projection 14.38 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to offense, the Sacramento Kings's feeble 110.7 points per game ranks 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year.. The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (11.3).. The Hornets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games while traveling, which should decrease plays for the Kings.. The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 foul shots per game this year (3rd-least in the league).
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Minnesota Timberwolves logo MIN @ LA Clippers logo LAC Wed, Mar 11 • 10:30 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Kris Dunn logo
Kris Dunn o5.5 Points Scored (-130)
Projection 7.68 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Clippers rank as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year.. The matchup against Minnesota is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Timberwolves are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.6).. The Clippers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Points Scored
Brook Lopez logo
Brook Lopez o9.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 11.14 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Brook Lopez has registered 13.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's registered overall this year.. The Clippers rank as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year.. The Clippers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
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