NBA Picks

This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have posted 12.2 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, marking this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease possessions for the Chicago Bulls.. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls rank 7thworst in in the league with only 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease possessions for the Chicago Bulls.. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls rank 7thworst in in the league with only 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

With respect to 3-point shots, the Washington Wizards's exceptional 37.3% rate of successful threes comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games.. This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 2.9 three-pointers per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Nets, identifying this as a favorable matchup.. The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

In his last four games, Tatum is averaging 26.5 ppg. He’s also enjoyed some of his best shooting of the year recently, shooting 48.3% in his last three contests on heavy volume. I'm expecting more of the same today as the Celtics superstar continues to ramp himself up for Boston's playoff run.

Brown has played his way onto a lot of MVP ballots this season, and he’s putting the finishing touches on a career year. So, don’t count on the Raptors slowing him down here. With a 28.7 PPG average that ranks fourth in the NBA, Brown is rolling, and he’s gone past this points prop O/U in seven of his last eight outings.

Forget any concerns about Jayson Tatum’s return disrupting Brown’s rhythm. He’s still getting to his spots, as we saw in a 43-point masterpiece against the Miami Heat on Wednesday. In fact, he’s jacked up 20+ shots in six of his last eight contests. Likewise, his 3-point struggles are balanced out by a healthy dose of free throws - Brown averaged 9.5 FTA per game in March and knocked them down at an 86% clip. 

The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a tough one for field goals; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the least field goals per game in the league this year (4.3).. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.. The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Olivier-Maxence Prosper has notched 15.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's notched in all games this year.. In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA as the visting team over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 7th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.8).. The 6th-quickest tempo visiting team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.

The Pacers have been crushing the Over lately, with their fast-paced offense finally clicking while they still give up far too many points defensively. The Cavaliers will be happy to play into that style and should provide plenty of scoring against one of the NBA's weakest defenses. I'm taking the Over tonight.

The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.9).. The 8th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.. The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Donte DiVincenzo has been firing away from deep all season long for the Minnesota Timberwolves, averaging 3.0 made threes per game on 38.1% shooting from beyond the arc. His usage is only going up lately, especially with Jaden McDaniels down with a knee injury, and I'm expecting him to put up a high volume of shots from deep in this game.

The Hornets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.. As a team, the Charlotte Hornets have been bad at getting to the charity stripe in recent games: 2nd-worst in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court, totaling a measly 18.9 foul shot attempts per game.

OKC has beaten Utah by at least 23 points in four of the last five, including three wins  by 30+ points.

With respect to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 118.9 points per game places 5th-strongest in the NBA this year.. The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Jeremiah Fears has posted 16.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 more than he's posted overall this season.. The Pelicans have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.. The Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 6th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

The Pelicans have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.. The Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 6th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Cooper Flagg became the youngest player in NBA history to score 50 points when he dropped 51 against the Orlando Magic on Friday. He’s got major momentum heading into Sunday’s tilt with the shorthanded Lakers.

Flagg has gone for 24+ points in just 21 of 65 games, but his scoring has soared to new heights as of late. Over his first 43 games of the season, Flagg averaged just 18.8 points. Since his last meeting with the Lakers, Flagg has averaged 24.6 points in 22 games, clearing this scoring line 11 times.

The Rookie of the Year favorite has averaged a healthy 27.3 points across his last six games, going for 24+ four times. He’s been excellent at home, averaging 30.9 and scoring 24+ six times across his last nine outings at American Airlines Center.

Dallas can capitalize in a favorable spot with the vulnerable Lakers, and I expect Flagg to go for 24+ with ease.

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 4.6 3-point attempts per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making this a difficult matchup.. The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).. The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

The Kings are 7-7 over their last 14 games, 9-5 ATS. That run includes a win over the Clippers on March 14, despite being a 13.5-point underdog. The Clippers are 8-6 outright over that stretch but just 5-9 ATS. They've covered as a road favorite just three times in calendar year 2026 and not since March 2. 

Sacramento's interior game matches up well with a Clippers team that doesn't handle banging in the paint well. The Kings shot a season best 58.5% against L.A. in the win, and in their February meeting before that, Sacramento led by double figures early and was leading into the fourth quarter before the Clippers rallied to win—but not cover.

In regard to threes, the Clippers's exceptional 38.2% rate of converted threes measures as the 5th-most in the league over the last 15 games.. The matchup against the Kings is a positive one for field goals; opposing starting PFs have posted the 6th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (52.6%).

During the Rockets' current five-game winning streak, Eason is averaging 13.8 points and 6.4 rebounds per game, both up from his season averages. He's shooting more - and more confidently - than ever, and should also be able to find success on the boards against Golden State. This PRA number appears far too low given Eason's recent play and this matchup, so I'm backing the Over.

Across his last five games, KD has averaged 36.2 PRA and gone for 36+ three times. He’s been even more productive across his last seven games overall, averaging 39.1 PRA while clearing this combo line five times. The future Hall-of-Famer has averaged 34.5 PRA at home but a whopping 37.5 on the road, and he’s gone for 36+ PRA in three of his last four away games. Durant has cleared this line in 38 of 74 games overall, including 24 of 36 on the road.