Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game May 28, 2026
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Thu, May 28 • 8:30 PM ET
Amid all the headlines of Wembanyama’s 41-point, 24-rebound Game 1 in the Western Conference Finals, we overlook that he had just 27 points in regulation. Realizing that, Wembanyama has fallen short of this points prop in four of five regulation games, even though he hit multiple 3-pointers in two of those four contests. While that is counterintuitive, the reality is that Wembanyama affects a game in so many ways that his scoring does not always come via expected patterns. Obviously, one of those ways is via blocking shots. Taking the Under on Wembanyama’s blocks prop is actually meant as a compliment to him. There are fewer and fewer shots for him to challenge as the Thunder steer clear of the rim when he is around.
Victor Wembanyama o1.5 3-Pointers Made (-180)
The logic is as much about Wembanyama’s improved shooting at home as it is about his greater volume of shooting at home. Both aspects have been true all three years of the San Antonio Spurs’ superstar’s career. This season, Wembanyama shot 37.9% from deep at home, compared to 31.3% on the road, while taking 5.9 threes per game at home compared to just five per game on the road.
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