NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game Feb. 27, 2026

Cleveland Cavaliers logo CLE @ Detroit Pistons logo DET Fri, Feb 27 • 7:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 2 Computer Picks
Spread
Detroit Pistons logo DET -5.5 (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

James Harden and Donovan Mitchell could both be sidelined for Cleveland on Friday, leaving the Eastern Conference's top seed ready to strike at home. I'm all over the Pistons covering in a blowout.

Points Scored
Sam Merrill logo
Sam Merrill o11.5 Points Scored (-123)
Projection 13.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In contrast to last season's 7.0 clip, Sam Merrill's points per game have increased this season to 13.0.. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 8th-best in the NBA when playing on the road with 12.3 offensive boards per game this year.. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.
View 3 Picks
Brooklyn Nets logo BK @ Boston Celtics logo BOS Fri, Feb 27 • 7:30 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 3 Computer Picks
Spread
Boston Celtics logo BOS -17.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Joe Osborne image
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

Big number, but I love this spot for Boston. It’s their first home game since Feb. 11, they’re off tomorrow, and they’re coming off an ugly loss. Meanwhile, Brooklyn is 2-8 ATS in the second leg of back-to-backs and ranks dead last in offensive rating this month, while Boston is first in defensive rating. The Celtics have covered in six straight as double-digit favorites. The Nets are on an 0-7 ATS slide as a double-digit dog and their losses on the road have come by a league-worst average of 19.3 PPG.

Total Rebounds
Payton Pritchard logo
Payton Pritchard o3.5 Total Rebounds (+100)
Projection 4.63 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
View 4 Picks
New York Knicks logo NY @ Milwaukee Bucks logo MIL Fri, Feb 27 • 8:00 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Bobby Portis logo
Bobby Portis o9.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 11.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In terms of scoring, the Bucks's fantastic 119.8 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 6th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
3-Pointers Made
Kevin Porter Jr. logo
Kevin Porter Jr. o1.5 3-Pointers Made (+170)
Projection 1.93 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
In terms of 3-point shots, the Bucks's exceptional 40.8% rate of made threes playing at home measures as the highest in the league this year.. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 44.7% on threes (best in the league) against the Knicks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
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Memphis Grizzlies logo MEM @ Dallas Mavericks logo DAL Fri, Feb 27 • 8:30 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Caleb Martin logo
Caleb Martin u8.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 4.55 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
In contrast to last season's 7.6 clip, Caleb Martin's points per game have been reduced this season to 3.6.. The Mavericks rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Points Scored
Max Christie logo
Max Christie u16.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 13.24 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 4.3 shots made from the field per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, branding this as a difficult matchup.. The Mavericks rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
View 7 Picks
Denver Nuggets logo DEN @ Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC Fri, Feb 27 • 9:30 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Points Scored
Cameron Johnson logo
Cameron Johnson o11.5 Points Scored (-114)
Projection 13.96 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Nuggets check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team.. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.5 foul shots per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.
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