New York @ Toronto Picks & Props
NY vs TOR Picks
NBA Picks
Barnes is shooting the ball better than ever before, draining a career-high 39.8% of his threes. He’s shooting 40% from beyond the arc over his last five games, hitting two or more three times. That includes going 4-for-7 from deep in a November 30 meeting against the Knicks. New York surrenders the fourth-most threes per game and ranks 19th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage.
Mikal Bridges has gone under in back-to-back games, dropping his points total from 16.5 to 14.5 — and that’s created an edge we can take advantage of. I think the Over 14.5 should be priced closer to -155, yet FanDuel is hanging -118. Brandon Ingram has length, but he’s often lazy on closeouts, and I don’t expect Immanuel Quickley to keep Jalen Brunson out of the paint without help. That should generate plenty of clean catch-and-shoot looks for Bridges on Tuesday.
Brunson is averaging 28 points per game this season, and he's scored at least 29 in 12 of 21 appearances overall. That includes five of eight on the road and seven of his last 12 overall. The superstar guard has played some of his best games under the brightest lights, and I expect him to shine in the knockout round of the NBA Cup.
The big man averaged 8.3 rebounds per game across 26.5 minutes over the first 15 games of the season. Over his last three games, he’s pulled down just six rebounds across 24.7 minutes. He’s failed to record nine rebounds in three straight. New York has allowed the fifth-fewest rebounds per game this season, and given Poeltl’s health, minutes and recent play, I’ll take the Under on his rebound line.
With no Landry Shamet or Miles McBride, Kolek should operate as Jalen Brunson's top backup. Kolek has averaged 7.7 assists per 36 minutes in his career, and despite logging only 13.2 minutes per game this season, he's dished 3+ assists in seven of 19 games. With the potential for increased minutes, I like the plus-money odds on this assist line.
Toronto has failed to cover the spread in seven straight games. In that span, the Raps sport the second-lowest offensive rating and fourth-lowest net rating. Meanwhile, New York has won three straight and seven of eight with the second-best net rating. I'll take the visiting team and the points.
The Raptors are starting to look like the team we expected them to be this season. They've dropped three straight games, and defensive issues have started to rear their head. That's bad news against a Knicks side that is a Top 5 scoring offense and one of the best teams league at knocking down threes. Knicks win this one going away.
NY vs TOR Consensus Picks
66% picking New York vs Toronto to go Over
Total PicksNY 422, TOR 221
NY vs TOR Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
JW
Ja'Kobe Walter
(SG)
o5.5 Points Scored
8.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.3
DIFFERENCE
25.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jakob Poeltl
(C)
o9.5 Points Scored
11.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.1
DIFFERENCE
21.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
u21.5 Points Scored
19.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.2
DIFFERENCE
20.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
o9.5 Points Scored
10.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
17.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jordan Clarkson
(SG)
o10.5 Points Scored
12.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
16.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Mikal Bridges
(SF)
o15.5 Points Scored
16.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
13.38%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
u17.5 Points Scored
16.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.3
DIFFERENCE
11.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Ochai Agbaji
(SG)
o7.5 Points Scored
8.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
11.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Josh Hart
(SG)
u12.5 Points Scored
12.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
10.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
u23.5 Points Scored
22.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
9.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Karl-Anthony Towns
(C)
o21.5 Points Scored
22.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
5.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jalen Brunson
(PG)
u27.5 Points Scored
27.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
3.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
o8.5 Points Scored
9.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-3.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
OG Anunoby
(PF)
o14.5 Points Scored
15.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
OG Anunoby
(PF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
16.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jordan Clarkson
(SG)
o1.5 Total Rebounds
2.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
10.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jakob Poeltl
(C)
o7.5 Total Rebounds
8.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
8.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
7.68%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
7.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
o1.5 Total Rebounds
2.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
4.87%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
o7.5 Total Rebounds
8.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
1.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jalen Brunson
(PG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.05%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Ochai Agbaji
(SG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-0.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Josh Hart
(PF)
o8.5 Total Rebounds
9.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-1.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
JW
Ja'Kobe Walter
(SG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-2.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Mikal Bridges
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Karl-Anthony Towns
(C)
o11.5 Total Rebounds
11.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
JW
Ja'Kobe Walter
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
23.41%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Jalen Brunson
(PG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
8.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Josh Hart
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
8.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
OG Anunoby
(SF)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
4.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Jordan Clarkson
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Karl-Anthony Towns
(C)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-2.41%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Mikal Bridges
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-6.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-8.76%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-9.41%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Ochai Agbaji
(SG)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-12.32%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jordan Clarkson
(SG)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
20.19%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
u5.5 Total Assists
5.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
11.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o4.5 Total Assists
4.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
7.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jakob Poeltl
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
6.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Josh Hart
(SG)
u5.5 Total Assists
5.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
4.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.87%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jalen Brunson
(PG)
o6.5 Total Assists
6.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.19%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Karl-Anthony Towns
(C)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-2.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
OG Anunoby
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-2.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Mikal Bridges
(SF)
o3.5 Total Assists
3.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
o6.5 Total Assists
6.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-7.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
JW
Ja'Kobe Walter
(SG)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.5 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-7.68%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
o5.5 Total Assists
5.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-10.06%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
NY vs TOR Trends
Check back shortly to see trends for this matchup
NY vs TOR Top User Picks
New York Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | liveactiondockery | 7-3-0 | +12000 |
| 2 | ozmcgee | 5-5-0 | +10650 |
| 3 | swtknguy | 8-2-0 | +9900 |
| 4 | MojoSays | 7-3-0 | +9750 |
| 5 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +9100 |
| 6 | SouthernMotion | 8-2-0 | +8900 |
| 7 | Capizzano2000 | 8-2-0 | +8600 |
| 8 | PMaeson | 7-3-0 | +8300 |
| 9 | IronCity1 | 9-1-0 | +7850 |
| 10 | moman | 6-4-0 | +7850 |
| All Knicks Money Leaders | |||
Toronto Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | mjpalli | 7-3-0 | +10250 |
| 2 | witt297 | 7-3-0 | +9000 |
| 3 | bauer2015 | 8-2-0 | +8300 |
| 4 | Runupmoney97 | 4-6-0 | +7650 |
| 5 | rinv49 | 7-3-0 | +7580 |
| 6 | lusvegasluva | 5-5-0 | +7300 |
| 7 | kayg | 7-3-0 | +7150 |
| 8 | kmackie | 7-3-0 | +6750 |
| 9 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +6000 |
| 10 | All_in_on_RU | 9-1-0 | +5950 |
| All Raptors Money Leaders | |||