Oklahoma City 1st West83-21
Denver 4th West57-39

Oklahoma City @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

Michael Porter Jr.
M. Porter Jr.
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 17.9 points per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric. Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 56.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 16.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year while at home. Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 91st percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 33.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Nuggets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). The Denver Nuggets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 17.9 points per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric. Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 56.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 16.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year while at home. Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 91st percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 33.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Nuggets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). The Denver Nuggets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

Christian Braun
C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds

Christian Braun has made 1.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Christian Braun has averaged 34.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Nuggets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). The Denver Nuggets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 1.1 rate, Christian Braun's free throws converted have increased this year to 2.1 per game.

Christian Braun

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Christian Braun has made 1.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Christian Braun has averaged 34.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Nuggets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). The Denver Nuggets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 1.1 rate, Christian Braun's free throws converted have increased this year to 2.1 per game.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Luguentz Dort
L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds

Luguentz Dort has attempted 4.8 threes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA. Luguentz Dort has averaged 29.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 78th percentile. The matchup against Denver is a strong one; when the Denver Nuggets are at home, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Luguentz Dort has attempted 4.8 threes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA. Luguentz Dort has averaged 29.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 78th percentile. The matchup against Denver is a strong one; when the Denver Nuggets are at home, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

Nikola Jokic
N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has committed 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the year. In regard to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.3
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.3

Nikola Jokic has committed 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the year. In regard to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

Russell Westbrook
R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds

Russell Westbrook has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's been called for over the course of the season. In regard to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Russell Westbrook has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's been called for over the course of the season. In regard to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

Jamal Murray
J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.4
Best Odds

Jamal Murray has converted 9.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.2 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court. Jamal Murray has made 3.2 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's sunk overall this season when playing at home. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 41.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Nuggets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.4
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.4

Jamal Murray has converted 9.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.2 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court. Jamal Murray has made 3.2 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's sunk overall this season when playing at home. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 41.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Nuggets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Isaiah Hartenstein
I. Hartenstein
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds

In comparison to last season's 50.0% rate, Isaiah Hartenstein's three-point efficiency has tailed off this season to 0.0%. Isaiah Hartenstein has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's been called for overall this season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Thunder. Isaiah Hartenstein has made a lowly 62.8% of his foul shots this year, significantly less than his 73.3 mark last year. In regard to getting to the foul line, the Thunder's subpar 20.9 free throws per game places 8th-worst in the league this year.

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

In comparison to last season's 50.0% rate, Isaiah Hartenstein's three-point efficiency has tailed off this season to 0.0%. Isaiah Hartenstein has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's been called for overall this season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Thunder. Isaiah Hartenstein has made a lowly 62.8% of his foul shots this year, significantly less than his 73.3 mark last year. In regard to getting to the foul line, the Thunder's subpar 20.9 free throws per game places 8th-worst in the league this year.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

Aaron Gordon
A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds

Aaron Gordon has sunk an impressive 42.1% of his treys this season, quite a bit higher than his 26.9 mark last season. Aaron Gordon has tallied 40.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 9.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home. The Nuggets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). The Denver Nuggets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Aaron Gordon has sunk an impressive 42.1% of his treys this season, quite a bit higher than his 26.9 mark last season. Aaron Gordon has tallied 40.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 9.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home. The Nuggets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). The Denver Nuggets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Alex Caruso Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Alex Caruso
A. Caruso
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds

Alex Caruso has successfully made 1.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Alex Caruso has attempted 3.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games away from home, 1.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

Alex Caruso

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Alex Caruso has successfully made 1.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Alex Caruso has attempted 3.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games away from home, 1.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Jalen Williams
J. Williams
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds

Jalen Williams has averaged 29.4 points per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 6.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road. Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams places in the 79th percentile for three-point attempts, compiling 5.0 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams rates in the 89th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 32.7 minutes per game this year. The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Williams

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Jalen Williams has averaged 29.4 points per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 6.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road. Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams places in the 79th percentile for three-point attempts, compiling 5.0 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams rates in the 89th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 32.7 minutes per game this year. The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Chet Holmgren
C. Holmgren
power forward PF • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds

Chet Holmgren has attempted 5.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Chet Holmgren has tallied 27.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 75th percentile. The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Chet Holmgren has converted 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's made over the course of the year away from his home court.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

Chet Holmgren has attempted 5.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Chet Holmgren has tallied 27.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 75th percentile. The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Chet Holmgren has converted 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's made over the course of the year away from his home court.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.5
Best Odds

Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 100th percentile, totaling an enormous 32.2 points per game this year. Compared to last year's 1.3 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's three-point shots hit have risen this year to 2.1 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 34.4 minutes per game this year. The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.5
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.5

Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 100th percentile, totaling an enormous 32.2 points per game this year. Compared to last year's 1.3 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's three-point shots hit have risen this year to 2.1 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 34.4 minutes per game this year. The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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