Oklahoma City 1st West83-21
Denver 4th West57-39

Oklahoma City @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

Christian Braun
C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds

Christian Braun has converted 58.6% of his field goals while at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Christian Braun has played 34.3 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Christian Braun has converted a whopping 2.1 free throws per game this season, a big improvement over his 1.1 rate last season.

Christian Braun

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Christian Braun has converted 58.6% of his field goals while at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Christian Braun has played 34.3 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Christian Braun has converted a whopping 2.1 free throws per game this season, a big improvement over his 1.1 rate last season.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

Michael Porter Jr.
M. Porter Jr.
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 6.6 baskets per game at home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 2.4 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 33.2 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 6.6 baskets per game at home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 2.4 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 33.2 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

Nikola Jokic
N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.1
Best Odds
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.1
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.1

Nikola Jokic has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

Russell Westbrook
R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds

Russell Westbrook has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's committed over the course of the year. In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Russell Westbrook has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's committed over the course of the year. In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

Jamal Murray
J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
23
Best Odds

Jamal Murray has sunk 9.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's converted over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Jamal Murray has sunk 3.5 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.9 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season at home. Jamal Murray has played 36.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Thunder, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23

Jamal Murray has sunk 9.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's converted over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Jamal Murray has sunk 3.5 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.9 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season at home. Jamal Murray has played 36.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Thunder, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Alex Caruso Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Alex Caruso
A. Caruso
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds

Alex Caruso has made 2.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Alex Caruso has made 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season when playing away from home.

Alex Caruso

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Alex Caruso has made 2.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Alex Caruso has made 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season when playing away from home.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Luguentz Dort
L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds

Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort places in the 77th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing away from home, logging 4.9 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Luguentz Dort measures in the 78th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 29.3 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort places in the 77th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing away from home, logging 4.9 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Luguentz Dort measures in the 78th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 29.3 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

Aaron Gordon
A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds

Aaron Gordon has compiled 23.4 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 8.3 more than he's compiled overall this season at home. Aaron Gordon has made a whopping 41.7% of his 3-point attempts this season, quite a bit higher than his 26.9 rate last season. Aaron Gordon has tallied 39.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 9.4 higher than he's tallied overall this season at home. The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

Aaron Gordon has compiled 23.4 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 8.3 more than he's compiled overall this season at home. Aaron Gordon has made a whopping 41.7% of his 3-point attempts this season, quite a bit higher than his 26.9 rate last season. Aaron Gordon has tallied 39.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 9.4 higher than he's tallied overall this season at home. The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from competing against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Jalen Williams
J. Williams
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds

Jalen Williams has made 10.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season while playing away from home. Jalen Williams has attempted 5.0 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jalen Williams has played 32.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 88th percentile. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Williams

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Jalen Williams has made 10.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season while playing away from home. Jalen Williams has attempted 5.0 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jalen Williams has played 32.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 88th percentile. The most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Isaiah Hartenstein
I. Hartenstein
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds

Isaiah Hartenstein has successfully made a measly 0.0% of his attempts from downtown this year, quite a bit lower than his 50.0 rate last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Isaiah Hartenstein lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 3.0 fouls per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Thunder. Isaiah Hartenstein has successfully made a lowly 64.2% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly lower than his 73.3 mark last year. In terms of getting to the foul line, the Oklahoma City Thunder's unimpressive 20.9 free throws per game places 9th-worst in the league this year.

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Isaiah Hartenstein has successfully made a measly 0.0% of his attempts from downtown this year, quite a bit lower than his 50.0 rate last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Isaiah Hartenstein lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 3.0 fouls per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Thunder. Isaiah Hartenstein has successfully made a lowly 64.2% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly lower than his 73.3 mark last year. In terms of getting to the foul line, the Oklahoma City Thunder's unimpressive 20.9 free throws per game places 9th-worst in the league this year.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Chet Holmgren
C. Holmgren
power forward PF • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a challenging matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Thunder. In terms of getting to the foul line, the Oklahoma City Thunder's unimpressive 20.9 free throws per game places 9th-worst in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA). Chet Holmgren will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance for all stats.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a challenging matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Thunder. In terms of getting to the foul line, the Oklahoma City Thunder's unimpressive 20.9 free throws per game places 9th-worst in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA). Chet Holmgren will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance for all stats.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.9
Best Odds

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's committed in all games this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, resulting in a challenging matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Thunder. In terms of getting to the foul line, the Oklahoma City Thunder's unimpressive 20.9 free throws per game places 9th-worst in the league this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ought to suffer a reduction in performance across the board as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.9
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.9

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's committed in all games this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, resulting in a challenging matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Thunder. In terms of getting to the foul line, the Oklahoma City Thunder's unimpressive 20.9 free throws per game places 9th-worst in the league this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ought to suffer a reduction in performance across the board as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Cason Wallace
C. Wallace
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.62
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Cason Wallace has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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