Boston @ New York picks
Madison Square Garden
BOS vs NY Picks
NBA Picks
Points Scored

Kristaps Porzingis o6.5 Points Scored (-135)
Projection 12.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Out of all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis measures in the 86th percentile, logging a massive 17.3 points per game this year.. The Celtics have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).. Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 4.7 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Points Scored

Jalen Brunson u29.5 Points Scored (+110)
Projection 26.2 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Jalen Brunson has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.3 more than he's accumulated in all games this year at home.. The Knicks rank as the least aggressive offense in the league on their home court this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.. The 3rd-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the New York Knicks.. The Knicks will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year (the Celtics).. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.
Points Scored

Mikal Bridges o14.5 Points Scored (-155)
Projection 17.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mikal Bridges has sunk 7.1 shots made from the field per game this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.. Mikal Bridges has played 37.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 100th percentile.. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks rank 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.. Mikal Bridges has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.6% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.. Mikal Bridges figures to see a rise in production in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this game.
Points Scored

Luke Kornet u8.5 Points Scored (-145)
Projection 6.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Luke Kornet has successfully made a measly 0.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, significantly lower than his 100.0 mark last season.. Luke Kornet has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.. The matchup with Karl-Anthony Towns registers in the 25th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs scoring only 12.0 points per game this year.. The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year.. The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Celtics.
Total Rebounds

Kristaps Porzingis o3.5 Total Rebounds (+105)
Projection 5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kristaps Porzingis has compiled 6.4 rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 88th percentile.. The Celtics have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
3-Pointers Made

Karl-Anthony Towns o1.5 3-Pointers Made (+150)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns places in the 82nd percentile for 3-point proficiency with the home court advantage with a remarkable 39.7% rate this year.. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 34.7 minutes per game at home this year.. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks rank 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.. Karl-Anthony Towns is expected to get a boost in output in all stat categories due to owning the home court advantage in this game.
3-Pointers Made

Kristaps Porzingis o0.5 3-Pointers Made (-120)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kristaps Porzingis has made 2.0 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.. The matchup against Karl-Anthony Towns is a positive one for 3-point attempts; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 2.1 three-pointers per game (75th percentile).. The Celtics have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Total Assists

Jaylen Brown u5.5 Total Assists (+130)
Projection 4.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Jaylen Brown has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.1 higher than he's been called for in all games this season on the road.. The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year.. The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Celtics.. Jaylen Brown will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production for all stats.
Total Assists

Karl-Anthony Towns o1.5 Total Assists (-115)
Projection 2.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 2.8 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 76th percentile.. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 34.7 minutes per game at home this year.. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks rank 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.. Karl-Anthony Towns is expected to get a boost in output in all stat categories due to owning the home court advantage in this game.
Total Assists

Kristaps Porzingis o0.5 Total Assists (-120)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The Celtics have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
BOS vs NY Consensus Picks
View all Consensus Picks62% picking Boston vs New York to go Over
Total PicksBOS 450, NY 272
Total
Over
Under