Final Apr 30
GS 116 4.0 o203.0
HOU 131 -4.0 u203.0
Final Apr 30
MIN 103 6.0 o210.5
LAL 96 -6.0 u210.5
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE68-14
Memphis 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-34

Oklahoma City @ Memphis props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luke Kennard Points Scored Props • Memphis

L. Kennard
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Luke Kennard lands in the 18th percentile for personal fouls, compiling just 0.9 fouls per game this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 7.7 three attempts per game (most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a positive matchup. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the league this year. The Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Luke Kennard

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Among all players in the league, Luke Kennard lands in the 18th percentile for personal fouls, compiling just 0.9 fouls per game this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 7.7 three attempts per game (most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a positive matchup. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the league this year. The Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Zach Edey Points Scored Props • Memphis

Z. Edey
center C • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Zach Edey has successfully made 67.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 6.2% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season at home. Zach Edey has tallied 29.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.2 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. When squaring off against other starting Cs, Isaiah Hartenstein ranks in the 88th percentile with a whopping 2.3 shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against him per game this year. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the league this year. The Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Zach Edey

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Zach Edey has successfully made 67.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 6.2% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season at home. Zach Edey has tallied 29.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.2 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. When squaring off against other starting Cs, Isaiah Hartenstein ranks in the 88th percentile with a whopping 2.3 shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against him per game this year. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the league this year. The Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 3.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's sunk in all games this year. Luguentz Dort has played 29.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 78th percentile. The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 3.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's sunk in all games this year. Luguentz Dort has played 29.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 78th percentile. The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Alex Caruso Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Caruso
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-105

Alex Caruso has totaled 12.0 points per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 4.8 higher than he's totaled overall this year on the road. Alex Caruso has successfully made 49.8% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 9.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year away from home. The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Alex Caruso

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Alex Caruso has totaled 12.0 points per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 4.8 higher than he's totaled overall this year on the road. Alex Caruso has successfully made 49.8% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 9.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year away from home. The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Scotty Pippen Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Pippen Jr.
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

Scotty Pippen Jr. has successfully made 47.5% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 13.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. Scotty Pippen Jr. has tallied 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the league this year. The Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Scotty Pippen Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Scotty Pippen Jr. has successfully made 47.5% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 13.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. Scotty Pippen Jr. has tallied 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the league this year. The Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Hartenstein
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

The faceoff with Zach Edey measures in the 94th percentile with opposing starting Cs draining a massive 34.1% of their 3-pointers this year. The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

The faceoff with Zach Edey measures in the 94th percentile with opposing starting Cs draining a massive 34.1% of their 3-pointers this year. The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-112

Santi Aldama has attempted 6.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. Santi Aldama has averaged 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 4.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the league this year. The Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Santi Aldama has attempted 6.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. Santi Aldama has averaged 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 4.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the league this year. The Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Over
-118

Jaren Jackson Jr. has sunk 51.9% of his treys over the last 15 games at home, 11.9% more than he's made in all games this season when playing at home. Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 35.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.9 more than he's averaged overall this season. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the league this year. The Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.5
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.5

Jaren Jackson Jr. has sunk 51.9% of his treys over the last 15 games at home, 11.9% more than he's made in all games this season when playing at home. Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 35.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.9 more than he's averaged overall this season. The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the league this year. The Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.3
Best Odds
Under
-103

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. As a team, the Thunder have been poor at getting to the foul line: 5th-worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 20.4 free throw attempts per game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.3
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.3

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. As a team, the Thunder have been poor at getting to the foul line: 5th-worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 20.4 free throw attempts per game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.1
Best Odds
Over
-108

Jalen Williams has scored 30.6 points per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 7.9 more than he's scored in all games this season on the road. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 32.5 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a positive one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are playing at home, they have given up the 9th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (15.8). The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Jalen Williams

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.1
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.1

Jalen Williams has scored 30.6 points per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 7.9 more than he's scored in all games this season on the road. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 32.5 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a positive one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are playing at home, they have given up the 9th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (15.8). The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Under
-117

Among all players in the league, Desmond Bane lands in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game playing at home this year. In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 34.7% on shots from the field (lowest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a tough matchup. The matchup vs. Oklahoma may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting team (2nd-least in the NBA).

Desmond Bane

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

Among all players in the league, Desmond Bane lands in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game playing at home this year. In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 34.7% on shots from the field (lowest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a tough matchup. The matchup vs. Oklahoma may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting team (2nd-least in the NBA).

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

Chet Holmgren has successfully made 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's converted over the course of the season on the road. The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Chet Holmgren has successfully made 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Chet Holmgren has successfully made 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's converted over the course of the season on the road. The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Chet Holmgren has successfully made 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.75
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
11.75
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-115

Aaron Wiggins has gone over 5.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

John Konchar Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Konchar
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
2.58
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-118
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
2.58
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-118

John Konchar has gone over 3.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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