Final Apr 30
GS 116 4.0 o203.0
HOU 131 -4.0 u203.0
Final Apr 30
MIN 103 6.0 o210.5
LAL 96 -6.0 u210.5
Cleveland 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45

Cleveland @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Darius Garland Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Garland
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Over
-113

Darius Garland has attempted 6.9 threes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Darius Garland slots into the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 30.8 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Darius Garland has sunk 3.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's converted in all games this season while playing on the road.

Darius Garland

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Darius Garland has attempted 6.9 threes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Darius Garland slots into the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 30.8 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Darius Garland has sunk 3.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's converted in all games this season while playing on the road.

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has attempted 10.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. Kel'el Ware figures to see an increase in effectiveness for all stats considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Kel'el Ware has attempted 10.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. Kel'el Ware figures to see an increase in effectiveness for all stats considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Evan Mobley Points Scored Props • Cleveland

E. Mobley
power forward PF • Cleveland
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-113

Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley places in the 89th percentile for shots scored, tallying a colossal 7.1 per game this year. Evan Mobley has converted 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Evan Mobley has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have shot 46.4% on three-pointers (best in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, designating this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Evan Mobley

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley places in the 89th percentile for shots scored, tallying a colossal 7.1 per game this year. Evan Mobley has converted 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Evan Mobley has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have shot 46.4% on three-pointers (best in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, designating this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Ty Jerome Points Scored Props • Cleveland

T. Jerome
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Over
-114

Ty Jerome has sunk 7.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's sunk overall this year. Ty Jerome has successfully made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Ty Jerome

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

Ty Jerome has sunk 7.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's sunk overall this year. Ty Jerome has successfully made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Jarrett Allen Points Scored Props • Cleveland

J. Allen
center C • Cleveland
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-115

The showdown with Kel'el Ware registers in the 100th percentile with the other side's starting Cs converting an enormous 40.8% of their three-pointers this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Out of all players in the league, Jarrett Allen ranks in the 80th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, averaging a monstrous 2.8 foul shots per game without the home court advantage this year.

Jarrett Allen

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

The showdown with Kel'el Ware registers in the 100th percentile with the other side's starting Cs converting an enormous 40.8% of their three-pointers this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Out of all players in the league, Jarrett Allen ranks in the 80th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, averaging a monstrous 2.8 foul shots per game without the home court advantage this year.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-118

Andrew Wiggins has sunk 9.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's sunk overall this season on his home court. Andrew Wiggins has made 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season playing at home. Out of all players in the league, Andrew Wiggins measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 31.0 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. Cleveland may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Cavaliers are the visiting team (2nd-most in the league).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Andrew Wiggins has sunk 9.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's sunk overall this season on his home court. Andrew Wiggins has made 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season playing at home. Out of all players in the league, Andrew Wiggins measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 31.0 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. Cleveland may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Cavaliers are the visiting team (2nd-most in the league).

Sam Merrill Points Scored Props • Cleveland

S. Merrill
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Sam Merrill has converted 51.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 8.6% higher than he's converted in all games this year while playing away from home. Sam Merrill has sunk 49.5% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 9.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season when playing on the road. Sam Merrill has played 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 6.2 higher than he's played in all games this year on the road. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Sam Merrill

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Sam Merrill has converted 51.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 8.6% higher than he's converted in all games this year while playing away from home. Sam Merrill has sunk 49.5% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 9.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season when playing on the road. Sam Merrill has played 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 6.2 higher than he's played in all games this year on the road. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Under
+112

This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 12.1 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, resulting in a hard matchup for offensive performance. The 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Heat. The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Miami Heat. The Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 12.1 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, resulting in a hard matchup for offensive performance. The 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Heat. The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Miami Heat. The Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Under
-122

Tyler Herro has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for in all games this year. The 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Heat. The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Miami Heat. The Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.9
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.9

Tyler Herro has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for in all games this year. The 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Heat. The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Miami Heat. The Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 63.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 20.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Haywood Highsmith has converted 47.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year when playing at home. The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. Haywood Highsmith is expected to see a rise in efficiency in all stat categories on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 63.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 20.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Haywood Highsmith has converted 47.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year when playing at home. The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. Haywood Highsmith is expected to see a rise in efficiency in all stat categories on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Over
-108

Bam Adebayo has attempted 17.8 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 3.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Bam Adebayo has converted 46.2% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 15.8% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year. Bam Adebayo has tallied 33.9 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The matchup against the Cavaliers may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (7th-most in the NBA).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Bam Adebayo has attempted 17.8 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 3.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Bam Adebayo has converted 46.2% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 15.8% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year. Bam Adebayo has tallied 33.9 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The matchup against the Cavaliers may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (7th-most in the NBA).

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Cleveland

M. Strus
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-111

Max Strus has made 53.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 9.8% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Max Strus has converted 3.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's converted from three overall this season. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, identifying this as a positive matchup. The matchup with Andrew Wiggins slots into the 100th percentile with the opposing team's starting SFs converting a whopping 49.9% of their three-point attempts this year when they are playing on the road. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Max Strus

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Max Strus has made 53.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 9.8% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Max Strus has converted 3.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's converted from three overall this season. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, identifying this as a positive matchup. The matchup with Andrew Wiggins slots into the 100th percentile with the opposing team's starting SFs converting a whopping 49.9% of their three-point attempts this year when they are playing on the road. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Donovan Mitchell Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Mitchell
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Over
-117

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 18.6 shots per game this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, posting 8.9 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 31.5 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Donovan Mitchell

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.5
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.5

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 18.6 shots per game this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, posting 8.9 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 31.5 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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