LIVE 03:46 4th Apr 30
GS 101 4.0 o203.0
HOU 118 -4.0 u203.0
MIN 6.0 o210.5
LAL -6.0 u210.5
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45
Cleveland 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18

Miami @ Cleveland props

Rocket Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
0.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
+130

Alec Burks has converted a terrific 39.3% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a sizeable increase from his 33.8 mark last season. Alec Burks has committed 0.9 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 19th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled. When it comes to scoring, the Heat's excellent 120.6 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games. Alec Burks has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.7% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Alec Burks

Prop: 0.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
0.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.1

Alec Burks has converted a terrific 39.3% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a sizeable increase from his 33.8 mark last season. Alec Burks has committed 0.9 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 19th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled. When it comes to scoring, the Heat's excellent 120.6 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games. Alec Burks has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.7% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 56.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 14.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. When it comes to scoring, the Heat's excellent 120.6 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 56.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 14.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. When it comes to scoring, the Heat's excellent 120.6 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 60.3% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 6.8% higher than he's converted in all games this year away from his home court. Kel'el Ware has played 26.2 minutes per game over the last 15 games while playing on the road, 5.7 more than he's played overall this season on the road. When it comes to scoring, the Heat's excellent 120.6 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The number of shot attempts from the field against Jarrett Allen has been remarkably high (10.1 per game) when at home and facing opposing starting Cs this year (81st percentile). The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Jarrett Allen has been very high this year (3.2 foul shot attempts per game when they are playing on the road: 88th percentile).

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 60.3% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 6.8% higher than he's converted in all games this year away from his home court. Kel'el Ware has played 26.2 minutes per game over the last 15 games while playing on the road, 5.7 more than he's played overall this season on the road. When it comes to scoring, the Heat's excellent 120.6 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The number of shot attempts from the field against Jarrett Allen has been remarkably high (10.1 per game) when at home and facing opposing starting Cs this year (81st percentile). The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Jarrett Allen has been very high this year (3.2 foul shot attempts per game when they are playing on the road: 88th percentile).

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Cleveland

M. Strus
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-130

Max Strus has made 52.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 5.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the season at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Max Strus lands in the 87th percentile for three-pointers hit while on his home court, logging 2.3 per game this year. This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, marking this as a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Heat may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Max Strus

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Max Strus has made 52.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 5.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the season at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Max Strus lands in the 87th percentile for three-pointers hit while on his home court, logging 2.3 per game this year. This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, marking this as a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Heat may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

De'Andre Hunter Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Hunter
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-104

De'Andre Hunter has attempted 5.6 shots from downtown per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Among all players in the league, De'Andre Hunter ranks in the 89th percentile for free throws made, logging a massive 3.3 per game this year. De'Andre Hunter will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally raises player performance across the board.

De'Andre Hunter

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

De'Andre Hunter has attempted 5.6 shots from downtown per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Among all players in the league, De'Andre Hunter ranks in the 89th percentile for free throws made, logging a massive 3.3 per game this year. De'Andre Hunter will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally raises player performance across the board.

Evan Mobley Points Scored Props • Cleveland

E. Mobley
power forward PF • Cleveland
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-105

Evan Mobley has sunk 1.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley rates in the 81st percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 30.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (43.4%). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Evan Mobley has converted 85.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season when playing at home.

Evan Mobley

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Evan Mobley has sunk 1.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley rates in the 81st percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 30.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (43.4%). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Evan Mobley has converted 85.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season when playing at home.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Over
-125

Relative to last year's 1.3 mark, Andrew Wiggins's 3-pointers scored have increased this year to 2.2 per game. Andrew Wiggins has played 30.8 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. When it comes to scoring, the Heat's excellent 120.6 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Cavaliers is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 free throws per game this year (4th-most in the league).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Relative to last year's 1.3 mark, Andrew Wiggins's 3-pointers scored have increased this year to 2.2 per game. Andrew Wiggins has played 30.8 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. When it comes to scoring, the Heat's excellent 120.6 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Cavaliers is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 free throws per game this year (4th-most in the league).

Donovan Mitchell Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Mitchell
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Under
-120

The 8th-most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Donovan Mitchell

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.7
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.7

The 8th-most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.1
Best Odds
Over
+102

Tyler Herro has averaged 27.8 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.7 higher than he's averaged overall this season. Tyler Herro has played 35.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. When it comes to scoring, the Heat's excellent 120.6 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, resulting in a favorable matchup. Tyler Herro has successfully made 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's made over the course of the year away from his home court.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.1
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.1

Tyler Herro has averaged 27.8 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.7 higher than he's averaged overall this season. Tyler Herro has played 35.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. When it comes to scoring, the Heat's excellent 120.6 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, resulting in a favorable matchup. Tyler Herro has successfully made 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's made over the course of the year away from his home court.

Jarrett Allen Points Scored Props • Cleveland

J. Allen
center C • Cleveland
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-150

Among all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen rates in the 97th percentile for shooting efficiency while on his home court with an excellent 68.8% rate this year. The matchup against Kel'el Ware is a good one for 3-point shots; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a colossal 40.8% of their 3-point attempts (100th percentile). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Out of all players in the league, Jarrett Allen lands in the 84th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, registering a monstrous 3.4 free throws per game this year. Jarrett Allen will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player performance across the board.

Jarrett Allen

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Among all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen rates in the 97th percentile for shooting efficiency while on his home court with an excellent 68.8% rate this year. The matchup against Kel'el Ware is a good one for 3-point shots; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a colossal 40.8% of their 3-point attempts (100th percentile). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Out of all players in the league, Jarrett Allen lands in the 84th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, registering a monstrous 3.4 free throws per game this year. Jarrett Allen will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player performance across the board.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Over
-115

Bam Adebayo has attempted 17.8 shots per game over the last 10 games, 3.4 more than he's attempted overall this year. Bam Adebayo has successfully made 47.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 17.0% more than he's made from three in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 34.5 minutes per game this year. When it comes to scoring, the Heat's excellent 120.6 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Cleveland may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Cleveland Cavaliers are on their home court (3rd-most in the NBA).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Bam Adebayo has attempted 17.8 shots per game over the last 10 games, 3.4 more than he's attempted overall this year. Bam Adebayo has successfully made 47.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 17.0% more than he's made from three in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 34.5 minutes per game this year. When it comes to scoring, the Heat's excellent 120.6 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Cleveland may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Cleveland Cavaliers are on their home court (3rd-most in the NBA).

Darius Garland Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Garland
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the league, Darius Garland registers in the 91st percentile, compiling a whopping 20.7 points per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Darius Garland rates in the 95th percentile for 3-point shots made, logging 2.9 per game this year. Darius Garland has played 30.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a strong one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Darius Garland

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Among all players in the league, Darius Garland registers in the 91st percentile, compiling a whopping 20.7 points per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Darius Garland rates in the 95th percentile for 3-point shots made, logging 2.9 per game this year. Darius Garland has played 30.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a strong one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-129

Davion Mitchell has converted 64.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 18.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year. Davion Mitchell has successfully made 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing on the road. Davion Mitchell has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.7 more than he's played in all games this season. When it comes to scoring, the Heat's excellent 120.6 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games. Davion Mitchell has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Davion Mitchell has converted 64.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 18.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year. Davion Mitchell has successfully made 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing on the road. Davion Mitchell has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.7 more than he's played in all games this season. When it comes to scoring, the Heat's excellent 120.6 points per game places 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games. Davion Mitchell has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Isaac Okoro Points Scored Props • Cleveland

I. Okoro
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.02
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-125
Under
-105
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
6.02
Best Odds
Over
-125
Under
-105

Isaac Okoro has gone over 2.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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