OKC -6.0 o222.0
IND 6.0 u222.0
Houston 2nd West52-30
Golden State 7th West48-33

Houston @ Golden State props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Golden State

Buddy Hield
B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds

Buddy Hield has attempted 7.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home. The matchup vs. Houston is a good one for three-pointers; when the Houston Rockets are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (2.4). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year. Buddy Hield has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 17.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this season. Buddy Hield is expected to see an increase in output across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Buddy Hield

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Buddy Hield has attempted 7.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home. The matchup vs. Houston is a good one for three-pointers; when the Houston Rockets are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (2.4). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year. Buddy Hield has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 17.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this season. Buddy Hield is expected to see an increase in output across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Quinten Post Points Scored Props • Golden State

Quinten Post
Q. Post
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year. Quinten Post will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to increase stat production for all stats.

Quinten Post

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year. Quinten Post will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to increase stat production for all stats.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

Jalen Green
J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds

Jalen Green has attempted 7.5 three-point shots per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green comes in at the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 32.3 minutes per game away from home this year. The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) against the Warriors, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Jalen Green

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Jalen Green has attempted 7.5 three-point shots per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green comes in at the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 32.3 minutes per game away from home this year. The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) against the Warriors, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Gary Payton II Points Scored Props • Golden State

Gary Payton II
G. Payton II
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds

In terms of offense, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 45.0% field goal percentage places 5th-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home. The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors. Out of all players in the league, Gary Payton II registers in the 21st percentile for getting to the foul line, posting only 0.6 free throw attempts per game this year.

Gary Payton II

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

In terms of offense, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 45.0% field goal percentage places 5th-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home. The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors. Out of all players in the league, Gary Payton II registers in the 21st percentile for getting to the foul line, posting only 0.6 free throw attempts per game this year.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

Brandin Podziemski
B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds

Brandin Podziemski has registered 15.1 points per game over the last 15 games, 3.6 higher than he's registered over the course of the season. Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 3.0 threes per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from three overall this year. Brandin Podziemski has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 8.2 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year. Brandin Podziemski will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boost stat production for all stats.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Brandin Podziemski has registered 15.1 points per game over the last 15 games, 3.6 higher than he's registered over the course of the season. Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 3.0 threes per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from three overall this year. Brandin Podziemski has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 8.2 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year. Brandin Podziemski will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boost stat production for all stats.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

Alperen Sengun
A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds

Among all players in the league, Alperen Sengun measures in the 25th percentile for 3-point proficiency when playing away from home with a bad 26.4% rate this year. The Houston Rockets check in as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Rockets. Alperen Sengun will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player performance across the board.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Among all players in the league, Alperen Sengun measures in the 25th percentile for 3-point proficiency when playing away from home with a bad 26.4% rate this year. The Houston Rockets check in as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Rockets. Alperen Sengun will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player performance across the board.

Jimmy Butler III Points Scored Props • Golden State

Jimmy Butler III
J. Butler III
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds

In terms of offense, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 45.0% field goal percentage places 5th-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a tough one for three-point shots; opposing starting PFs have shot for the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (21.7%). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home. The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors.

Jimmy Butler III

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

In terms of offense, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 45.0% field goal percentage places 5th-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a tough one for three-point shots; opposing starting PFs have shot for the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (21.7%). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home. The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

Draymond Green
D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds

Draymond Green has played 29.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The matchup with Alperen Sengun places in the 100th percentile with the other team's starting Cs sinking an enormous 39.0% of their treys this year when they are on their home court. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year. Draymond Green has successfully made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 23.7% higher than he's made overall this year while at home. Draymond Green figures to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Draymond Green

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Draymond Green has played 29.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The matchup with Alperen Sengun places in the 100th percentile with the other team's starting Cs sinking an enormous 39.0% of their treys this year when they are on their home court. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year. Draymond Green has successfully made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 23.7% higher than he's made overall this year while at home. Draymond Green figures to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

Dillon Brooks
D. Brooks
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds

Relative to last year's 1.9 clip, Dillon Brooks's three-pointers made have risen this year to 2.5 per game. Dillon Brooks has averaged 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 85th percentile. This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, branding this as a positive matchup. The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Dillon Brooks has sunk 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Relative to last year's 1.9 clip, Dillon Brooks's three-pointers made have risen this year to 2.5 per game. Dillon Brooks has averaged 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 85th percentile. This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, branding this as a positive matchup. The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Dillon Brooks has sunk 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

Stephen Curry
S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.2
Best Odds

Stephen Curry has logged 31.2 points per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 7.6 higher than he's logged overall this season at home. Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry registers in the 100th percentile for three-point attempts, putting up 11.1 per game this year. Stephen Curry has averaged 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 6.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 45.5% on shots from the field (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Rockets, making this a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.2

Stephen Curry has logged 31.2 points per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 7.6 higher than he's logged overall this season at home. Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry registers in the 100th percentile for three-point attempts, putting up 11.1 per game this year. Stephen Curry has averaged 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 6.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 45.5% on shots from the field (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Rockets, making this a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Steven Adams Points Scored Props • Houston

Steven Adams
S. Adams
center C • Houston
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.1
Best Odds

Steven Adams has made 64.8% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.8% more than he's sunk in all games this season. The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Steven Adams has successfully made 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year when playing on the road.

Steven Adams

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.1
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.1

Steven Adams has made 64.8% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.8% more than he's sunk in all games this season. The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Steven Adams has successfully made 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year when playing on the road.

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

Amen Thompson
A. Thompson
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds

The Houston Rockets check in as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Rockets. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, making it tough to get to the charity stripe. Amen Thompson will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

Amen Thompson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

The Houston Rockets check in as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Rockets. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, making it tough to get to the charity stripe. Amen Thompson will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

Fred VanVleet
F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds

Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 96th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 38.4% on three-pointers (6th-best in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Fred VanVleet has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 96th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 38.4% on three-pointers (6th-best in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Fred VanVleet has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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