Final Apr 30
GS 116 4.0 o203.0
HOU 131 -4.0 u203.0
Final Apr 30
MIN 103 6.0 o210.5
LAL 96 -6.0 u210.5
Orlando 7th EASTERN CONFERENCE41-41
Boston 2nd EASTERN CONFERENCE61-21

Orlando @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
-112

Derrick White has put up 16.4 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 84th percentile. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White lands in the 99th percentile for threes scored, logging 3.5 per game this year. Derrick White has played 33.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Boston Celtics rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Derrick White figures to see a rise in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to having the home court advantage in this contest.

Derrick White

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

Derrick White has put up 16.4 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 84th percentile. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White lands in the 99th percentile for threes scored, logging 3.5 per game this year. Derrick White has played 33.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Boston Celtics rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Derrick White figures to see a rise in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to having the home court advantage in this contest.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Jrue Holiday ranks in the 78th percentile for 3-point attempts, averaging 4.9 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Jrue Holiday comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 30.7 minutes per game at home this year. The matchup vs. Orlando is a favorable one; when the Orlando Magic are away from home, they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (20.2). The Boston Celtics rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 7.5% more than he's converted over the course of the season on his home court.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Out of all players in the league, Jrue Holiday ranks in the 78th percentile for 3-point attempts, averaging 4.9 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Jrue Holiday comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 30.7 minutes per game at home this year. The matchup vs. Orlando is a favorable one; when the Orlando Magic are away from home, they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (20.2). The Boston Celtics rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 7.5% more than he's converted over the course of the season on his home court.

Anthony Black Points Scored Props • Orlando

A. Black
point guard PG • Orlando
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-108

Anthony Black has attempted 13.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. Anthony Black has converted 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 19.6% more than he's converted from three overall this season. Anthony Black has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's played overall this season. The Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Anthony Black

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Anthony Black has attempted 13.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. Anthony Black has converted 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 19.6% more than he's converted from three overall this season. Anthony Black has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's played overall this season. The Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 1.7 mark, Payton Pritchard's threes drained have spiked this year to 3.2 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Payton Pritchard registers in the 75th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 28.5 minutes per game at home this year. The Boston Celtics rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.5% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Payton Pritchard will likely get a boost in output across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Relative to last year's 1.7 mark, Payton Pritchard's threes drained have spiked this year to 3.2 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Payton Pritchard registers in the 75th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 28.5 minutes per game at home this year. The Boston Celtics rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.5% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Payton Pritchard will likely get a boost in output across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Under
-120

Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum rates in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.2 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. Orlando is a challenging one; when the Magic are on the road, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1). The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league this year (the Magic). As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line: worst in the NBA this year with a measly 19.1 free throws per game.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.7
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum rates in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.2 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. Orlando is a challenging one; when the Magic are on the road, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1). The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league this year (the Magic). As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line: worst in the NBA this year with a measly 19.1 free throws per game.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Orlando

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Orlando
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 57.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 13.6% higher than he's converted overall this year when playing on the road. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 46.1% of his treys over the last 10 games on the road, 11.9% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while playing on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 29.5 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.8 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 57.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 13.6% higher than he's converted overall this year when playing on the road. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 46.1% of his treys over the last 10 games on the road, 11.9% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while playing on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 29.5 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.8 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Over
-118

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 95th percentile for shots from the field scored, putting up a monstrous 8.2 per game this year. Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 34.3 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Orlando is a positive one; when the Orlando Magic are away from home, they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs this year (18.9). The Boston Celtics rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 95th percentile for shots from the field scored, putting up a monstrous 8.2 per game this year. Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 34.3 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Orlando is a positive one; when the Orlando Magic are away from home, they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs this year (18.9). The Boston Celtics rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
center C • Boston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Under
-124

Kristaps Porzingis has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league this year (the Magic). As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line: worst in the NBA this year with a measly 19.1 free throws per game.

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Kristaps Porzingis has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league this year (the Magic). As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line: worst in the NBA this year with a measly 19.1 free throws per game.

Cory Joseph Points Scored Props • Orlando

C. Joseph
point guard PG • Orlando
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Over
-104

Cory Joseph has made a whopping 40.6% of his field goals this season, significantly more than his 33.2 rate last season. Cory Joseph has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least-whistled players in the league (22nd percentile). The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a favorable one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (3.0). The Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Cory Joseph has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 22.0% more than he's made overall this year.

Cory Joseph

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.8
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.8

Cory Joseph has made a whopping 40.6% of his field goals this season, significantly more than his 33.2 rate last season. Cory Joseph has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least-whistled players in the league (22nd percentile). The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a favorable one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (3.0). The Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Cory Joseph has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 22.0% more than he's made overall this year.

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Scored Props • Orlando

W. Carter Jr.
center C • Orlando
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-107

Wendell Carter Jr. has converted 53.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 7.1% more than he's sunk overall this season. The Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Wendell Carter Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Wendell Carter Jr. has converted 53.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 7.1% more than he's sunk overall this season. The Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Franz Wagner Points Scored Props • Orlando

F. Wagner
small forward SF • Orlando
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Over
-110

Franz Wagner has attempted 19.3 shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 15.2 rate last season. Franz Wagner has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a favorable one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). The Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Franz Wagner has sunk 4.5 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Franz Wagner

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

Franz Wagner has attempted 19.3 shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 15.2 rate last season. Franz Wagner has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a favorable one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). The Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Franz Wagner has sunk 4.5 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Paolo Banchero Points Scored Props • Orlando

P. Banchero
power forward PF • Orlando
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Under
-114

With respect to offense, the Magic's subpar 105.2 points per game as the road team places 2nd-worst in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 14.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, creating a tough matchup for offensive efficiency. The Magic have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA when playing away from home this year. The Magic are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Boston Celtics). Paolo Banchero will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production across the board.

Paolo Banchero

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.4
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.4

With respect to offense, the Magic's subpar 105.2 points per game as the road team places 2nd-worst in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 14.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, creating a tough matchup for offensive efficiency. The Magic have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA when playing away from home this year. The Magic are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Boston Celtics). Paolo Banchero will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production across the board.

Caleb Houstan Points Scored Props • Orlando

C. Houstan
small forward SF • Orlando
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.83
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-108
Under
-112
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
3.83
Best Odds
Over
-108
Under
-112

Caleb Houstan has gone over 2.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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